2018 and 2017 are the two lowest winter time Arctic sea
ice records observed.
Not exact matches
Nie and Garzione suggest that the fluctuating Antarctic
ice sheet in the late Miocene, at a time when there was minimal
ice in the Northern Hemisphere, exerted the dominant control on the 100,000 year cycles
observed in the Qaidam Basin
record.
«Although a direct causal link has not been established between the atmospheric phenomena
observed in late October 2012 and the
record - breaking sea -
ice loss
observed during the preceding summer months, all of the observations are consistent with such an interpretation,» states the Oceanography article.
AWI researchers
observed a considerable decrease in the thickness of the sea
ice as early as the late summer of 2015, even though the overall
ice covered area of the September minimum ultimately exceeded the
record low of 2012 by approximately one million square kilometres.
That helped drive last summer's near -
record thaw of Arctic sea
ice, second only to the dramatic melt
observed in 2007.
When the researchers compared their results with the output of a number of climate models, they found that several of the newer models that have higher resolution and use updated
ice sheet configurations do «a very good job» of reproducing the patterns
observed in the proxy
records.
Complementary analyses of the surface mass balance of Greenland (Tedesco et al, 2011) also show that 2010 was a
record year for melt area extent... Extrapolating these melt rates forward to 2050, «the cumulative loss could raise sea level by 15 cm by 2050 ″ for a total of 32 cm (adding in 8 cm from glacial
ice caps and 9 cm from thermal expansion)- a number very close to the best estimate of Vermeer & Rahmstorf (2009), derived by linking the
observed rate of sea level rise to the
observed warming.
The
record melting of Arctic sea
ice observed this summer and fall led to
record - low levels of
ice in both September and October, but a
record - setting pace of re-freezing in November, according to the NASA Earth Observatory.
Indeed, Claude Lorius, Jim Hansen and others essentially predicted this finding fully 17 years ago, in a landmark paper that addressed the cause of temperature change
observed in Antarctic
ice core
records, well before the data showed that CO2 might lag temperature.
Evaluating ocean and atmospheric observations with advanced modeling tools, scientists from NOAA and CIRES found that about 60 percent of 2016's
record warmth was caused by
record - low sea
ice observed that year, and the ensuing transfer of ocean heat to the atmosphere across wide expanses of
ice - free or barely frozen Arctic Ocean.
More importantly, we must wonder what the satellites would have
observed happening in the Antarctic when Roald Amundsen sailed through the Arctic in 1903 - 1905 on the small wooden ship Gjøa when the Northwest Passage was open to sailing vessels, and again in 1940 - 42 and 1944 (St. Roch), it is possible the reduction in Arctic
ice is not an indicator of warming, since it was balanced by
record high Antarctic
ice levels and a rising trend line for the data set since 1979.
Ever since satellites allowed a detailed view of the Arctic and its
ice, a pronounced decrease in summer sea
ice cover has been
observed (with this year setting a new
record low).
Global mean temperatures in 2011 did not reach the
record - setting levels of 2010, but were still the highest
observed in a La Niña year, and Arctic sea -
ice extent fell to near -
record - low levels.
For now, all NSIDC and NASA researchers can do is
observe and
record these rising and decreasing sea
ice levels.
«Using a GCM, can we regenerate the land temperature
record from the ocean
record using
observed SSTs and sea
ice distribution as a boundary condition?
Their estimates, however, for the increases in nitrate and ammonium associated with a Younger Dryas — size comet are orders of magnitude larger than
observed in the Summit Greenland
ice core
records; the Younger Dryas nitrate and ammonium increases are at most just half of the Tunguska increase.
The National Snow and
Ice Data Center (NSIDC) issued a preliminary announcement on September 19 noting that it was likely the minimum extent for the year and the lowest extent
observed in the 33 - year satellite
record.
The 800 year lag is
observed in
ice core
records following (and prior to) Glacial Minima (Gm).
This is not what is
observed in, e.g., the
ice core
record, hence your assumptions are wrong.
In fact, 2015 and early 2016 set
records for the most sea
ice extent
observed.
This week, it was those darn walruses, who — after a summer when Arctic sea
ice was at its sixth - lowest level on
record — mobbed an Alaska beach in the largest such haul - out ever
observed there.
Although
ice extent at the end of June 2010 was slightly lower than that
observed in 2007 (Figure 2), the persistence of the Arctic Dipole Anomaly (DA) throughout the summer of 2007 resulted in an acceleration of
ice loss in July that led to the
record low
ice extent in September 2007.
The drop in estimate values between the two first Outlooks reflected in part
record ice loss rates
observed in June.
These have been
observed in the paleo
record including
ice core data plus many historical references, so are very likely to be real (unlike unicorns, which have only been sighted after a night of heavy drinking).
• Create a Bias - corrected
Observed Ice Thickness
Record consisting of all of the observations in the Sea
Ice CDR adjusted by subtracting a constant bias for each system which is found relative to a standard observation system (submarines).
Such an extended
ice sheet associated with strong katabatic winds should have caused polynya - like open - water conditions in front of the
ice sheet (Fig. 5a), resulting in increased fluxes of phytoplankton,
ice algae and terrigenous matter as
observed in the PS2757 - 8
record (Fig. 2c and Fig. 6, Scenario 2), i.e., a situation similar to that proposed for the Barents Sea continental margin (Fig. 5a) 57, 58.
Tropical cyclone activity and intensity increasing
Record droughts, floods, heat waves, cold spells, high tides occurring Unequivocal warming of the climate system
observed with very high confidence that human activities are to blame Temperature rising even more dramatically in Arctic, threatening
ice loss and extinction of species Halving human CO2 emissions immediately might save the planet from catastrophe.
Global sea
ice (Arctic plus Antarctic) continues to track at
record low levels in the satellite
record, but the deviation from average has moderated compared to what was
observed in November.
Those dangers are now being dramatically demonstrated around the globe: drought in the Marshall Islands in the Pacific, which has forced the government there to issue a state of emergency warning; France
observed its warmest winter since
records began; while the sea
ice that has formed in the Arctic this winter is about a million square kilometres less than its average for this time of year.
The prediction is initialised with the mean of the
observed sea
ice extent for September 2009 - 2013 and an ensemble prediction is created simply by adding all of the
observed changes in the sea
ice extent
record from one September to the next over the historical period 1979 - 2013.
The summer of 2012 brought Greenland far more extensive melt than anything
observed in the satellite
record: in July 2012, surface melt extended over nearly the entire
ice sheet.
Observed ice extent rapidly decreased over the last week of June, and the ensemble forecast has bifurcated in response to evolving conditions with three ensemble members indicating
record ice loss.
... Our analysis shows that the wind anomalies related to the negative SAM during the 2016/17 austral summer contributed to the
record minimum Antarctic sea
ice extent
observed in March 2017.
The researchers assert that the
record - breaking sea
ice loss from summer 2012, combined with the unusual atmospheric phenomena
observed in late October, appear to be linked to global warming.
That was the reaction from scientist after scientist to a new report by the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), which documented
record - breaking droughts, heatwaves, rainfall, melting of sea
ice and a host of tangible signs
observed in 2016 that the Earth's climate has changed.
Of course, we all know that Arctic sea
ice has been on a downward trend since satellite
records started in 1979, reversing a growing trend from the 1940s to the 1970s, which was
observed by other means by mostly Russian
records.
The dramatic increase in
ice is evident, when compared to the
record - low amount
observed Sept. 16 (below, right).
Still, the extent of sea
ice recorded in November was well shy of the median extent
observed over the past quarter century, as the image from Nov. 14 (above, right) shows.
«This situation is unlike anything
observed in previous
record low
ice seasons,» said Mark Drinkwater of the European Space Agency's Oceans / Ice Un
ice seasons,» said Mark Drinkwater of the European Space Agency's Oceans /
Ice Un
Ice Unit.
The
ice core data is insensitive to an epoch of 50 to 100 years, such as that
observed in the full MLO
record.
Second, and less important but still rather spectacular, was the melting of virtually every square inch of the surface of this
ice sheet over a short period of a few days during the hottest part of the summer, a phenomenon
observed every few hundred years but nevertheless an ominous event considering that it happened just as the aforementioned
record ice mass loss was being
observed and measured.
After all, at the same time the Arctic was melting, the Antarctic
Ice Cap at the South Pole was setting a record for the greatest extent of polar ice in observed history and at the same time South America and much of the Southern Hemisphere was experiencing the coldest and longest winter in at least 50 yea
Ice Cap at the South Pole was setting a
record for the greatest extent of polar
ice in observed history and at the same time South America and much of the Southern Hemisphere was experiencing the coldest and longest winter in at least 50 yea
ice in
observed history and at the same time South America and much of the Southern Hemisphere was experiencing the coldest and longest winter in at least 50 years.
Ice loss during the second half of August was in fact the slowest observed during the last decade, resulting in the observed, unexceptional September sea ice extent being recorded despite the extremely low ice conditions present at the start of the summ
Ice loss during the second half of August was in fact the slowest
observed during the last decade, resulting in the
observed, unexceptional September sea
ice extent being recorded despite the extremely low ice conditions present at the start of the summ
ice extent being
recorded despite the extremely low
ice conditions present at the start of the summ
ice conditions present at the start of the summer.
The paper found the pattern was
observed during the winter of 2012 - 2013, following the lowest fall sea
ice extent on
record in September 2012.
Our proxy - based reconstructed history of late - summer Arctic sea
ice extent over the period AD 561 — 1995 is presented in Fig. 3a along with the
observed sea
ice record.
However, the full study does indicate that multi-meter sea level rise before 2100 is likely, based on
ice loss doubling times, paleoclimate
records and
observed ocean current changes, among other factors.
2017 set a new
record for the lowest winter maximum sea
ice extent
observed.
Now comes a report in the UK Daily Mail that «eminent scientists» have
observed a
record return of the Arctic
ice cap as it grows by 60 percent in a year, covering with
ice almost 1 million more square miles of ocean than in 2012.
As has been
observed in the paleo
record, there seem to be two basic default modes, Hot House and
Ice Box.
The mean
ice extent for July was 8.39 million square kilometers, the second lowest July
ice extent
observed during the satellite data
record.