Mercer further commented that the loss of ice shelves on the Antarctic Peninsula, as has since been observed, would be an indicator that this process of
ice sheet loss due to global warming was underway.
Not exact matches
The new result focuses on
ice loss due to a major retreat of an outlet glacier connected to a long «river» of
ice — known as an
ice stream — that drains
ice from the interior of the
ice sheet.
His comments are based on the paper «Limits in detecting acceleration of
ice sheet mass
loss due to climate variability», B. Wouters, J. L. Bamber, M. R. van den Broeke, J. T. M. Lenaerts and I. Sasgen, Nature Geoscience 6, 613 — 616 (2013) doi: 10.1038 / ngeo1874 Find the abstract and illustrations for that paper here.
Under all RCP scenarios the rate of sea level rise will very likely exceed that observed during 1971 — 2010
due to increased ocean warming and increased
loss of mass from glaciers and
ice sheets.
This is despite using observed
ice sheet mass
loss (0.19 mm / year) in the «modelled» number in this comparison, otherwise the discrepancy would be even larger — the
ice sheet models predict that the
ice sheets gain mass
due to global warming.
I would also keep in mind the fact that we are only speaking of the short - term Charney Climate Sensitivity, and the long - term climate sensitivity is presumably going to be about twice that —
due to
ice sheet loss and the like.
At this stage, corresponding to a peak warming of 2 ° to 3 °C, both the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet and the Wilkes Basin are experiencing rapid ice loss due to their instability, which manifests itself in a visible threshold in sea - level rise (see Imag
Ice Sheet and the Wilkes Basin are experiencing rapid
ice loss due to their instability, which manifests itself in a visible threshold in sea - level rise (see Imag
ice loss due to their instability, which manifests itself in a visible threshold in sea - level rise (see Image).
Collecting data from NASA's satellite Gravity and Recovery Climate Experiment, known as GRACE, and GPS measurements of the bedrock on the edges of the
ice sheet, the Denmark Technical Institute's National Space Institute in Copenhagen was able to show that crustal uplift
due to
ice loss has gone up by 1.5 inches between October 2005 and August 2009 along the northwest coast, a change that study co-author John Wahr calls «very dramatic».
«It is very likely that the rate of global mean sea level rise during the 21st century will exceed the rate observed during 1971 — 2010 for all Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios
due to increases in ocean warming and
loss of mass from glaciers and
ice sheets.
In draft versions at least, the new IPCC report does tackle the question of
ice sheet loss, finding it «very likely» that melting
ice and the expansion of the ocean
due to its heating will lead to sea - level rise exceeding that of the last century.
Sea level will increase slowly at first,... but as Greenland and West Antarctic
ice is softened and lubricated by melt - water and as buttressing
ice shelves disappear
due to a warming ocean, the balance will tip toward
ice loss, thus... causing rapid
ice sheet disintegration.
To say nothing of the warming trends also noticed in, for example: * ocean heat content * wasting glaciers * Greenland and West Antarctic
ice sheet mass
loss * sea level rise
due to all of the above * sea surface temperatures * borehole temperatures * troposphere warming (with stratosphere cooling) * Arctic sea
ice reductions in volume and extent * permafrost thawing * ecosystem shifts involving plants, animals and insects
Ice - sheet volume is controlled by the balance between mass input and mass loss; mass input is almost entirely due to snowfall, and mass loss is from iceberg calving supplied by flow of the ice sheet, or runoff of melt wat
Ice -
sheet volume is controlled by the balance between mass input and mass
loss; mass input is almost entirely
due to snowfall, and mass
loss is from iceberg calving supplied by flow of the
ice sheet, or runoff of melt wat
ice sheet, or runoff of melt water.
As explained in the press release, the scientists began with the measure of sea level rise between 2005 and 2013, then deducted the amount of rise
due to meltwater (e.g., melting
ice sheets and
loss of glacier mass worldwide) and then the amount of rise
due to the expansion of water from the warming in the upper portion of the world's oceans (which scientists have good data on).
Sea - level rise
due to polar
ice -
sheet mass
loss during past warm periods.
But one modeling study put the threshold level for the eventual near - complete
loss of Greenland's
ice sheet at a local warming of just 2.7 C — which,
due to Arctic amplification, means a global warming of only 1.2 C. Total melting of Greenland — luckily, something that would likely take centuries — would raise sea levels by 7 meters, submerging Miami and most of Manhattan, as well as large chunks of London, Shanghai, Bangkok and Mumbai.
«Significant
loss of
ice from polar
ice sheets» Of course, this does not apply to floating
ice (with the exception of small changes
due to higher temperature and water expansion that might happen incidentally).