An international team of experts supported by NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) has combined data from multiple satellites and aircraft to produce the most comprehensive and accurate assessment to date of
ice sheet losses in Greenland and Antarctica and their contributions to sea level rise.
Not exact matches
«West Greenland
Ice Sheet melting at the fastest rate in centuries: Weather patterns and summer warming trend combine to drive dramatic ice loss.&raq
Ice Sheet melting at the fastest rate
in centuries: Weather patterns and summer warming trend combine to drive dramatic
ice loss.&raq
ice loss.»
This gives confidence
in the predictions of the current generation of
ice -
sheet models which are used to forecast future
ice loss from Antarctica and resulting sea - level rise.»
For years, floating
ice in the bay abutting the
ice sheet in the northeast acted as a barrier to
ice loss.
As glaciologist Richard Alley of Pennsylvania State University notes: «The
ice sheet is losing mass, this
loss has increased over time, [and] it is not the dominant term
in sea - level rise — but it matters.»
Yet these model - based estimates do not include the possible acceleration of recently observed increases
in ice loss from the Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets.
The study fuels a growing concern among scientists about the factors affecting the Antarctic
ice sheet — namely, that warm ocean waters are helping to melt glaciers and drive greater levels of
ice loss, particularly
in West Antarctica.
«Warming greater than 2 degrees Celsius above 19th - century levels is projected to be disruptive, reducing global agricultural productivity, causing widespread
loss of biodiversity and — if sustained over centuries — melting much of the Greenland
ice sheet with ensuing rise
in sea levels of several meters,» the AGU declares
in its first statement
in four years on «Human Impacts on Climate.»
«By refining the spatial pattern of mass
loss in the world's second largest — and most unstable —
ice sheet, and learning how that pattern has evolved, we are steadily increasing our understanding of
ice loss processes, which will lead to better - informed projections of sea level rise.»
According to a new study
in the journal Science Advances, the hotspot softened the mantle rock beneath Greenland
in a way that ultimately distorted their calculations for
ice loss in the Greenland
ice sheet.
In other words, the
losses of mass of the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet will intensify — just like the models predict.»
Those changes may include the
loss of Arctic summer sea
ice, the collapse of
ice sheets in Greenland and western Antarctica, dieback of the Amazon rainforest and changes
in the jet stream and the pattern of El Niño and La Niña weather cycles.
Dr Ian Joughin at the University of Washington, author of a recent study simulating future Antarctic
ice sheet losses added: «This study does a nice job of revealing the strong thinning along the Amundsen Coast, which is consistent with theory and models indicating this region is
in the early stages of collapse.»
This paper represents the latest finding from GNET, the GPS network
in Greenland that measures
ice loss by weighing the
ice sheet as it presses down on the bedrock.
«Thus the increased snowfall we report here has not led to thickening of the
ice sheet, but is
in fact another symptom of the changes that are driving contemporary
ice sheet loss.»
Kuhn, from Germany's Alfred Wegener Institute, added, «This gives confidence
in the predictions of the current generation of
ice sheet models which are used to forecast future
ice loss from Antarctica and resulting sea - level rise.»
We know, however, that rapid warming of the planet increases the risk of crossing climatic points of no return, possibly setting
in motion large - scale ocean circulation changes, the
loss of major
ice sheets, and species extinctions.
Despite being trumpeted
in certain circles as meaning that there's really nothing to worry about regarding the Greenland
ice sheet, the authors made a point of noting (although not
in this press release) that an additional source of mass
loss needs to be identified
in order to reconcile their results with the GRACE data (which do not show a reduction
in mass
loss for the same period).
First, the
loss of mass
in the Antarctic
ice sheet is actually somewhat unexpected.
The relevant papers are [Velicogna and Wahr 2006 Measurements of time - variable gravity show mass
loss in Antarctica Science 311, 1754 - 1756 and Rignot and Thomas «Mass balance of polar
ice sheets» Science 297, 1502 - 1506]
[7] The IceCon project aims to gain a better understanding of the rate of the
loss of
ice — now and
in the past - from the Antarctic
ice sheet in the Dronning Maud Land area, and includes six partners: Université Libre de Bruxelles, Royal Observatory of Belgium, University of Luxembourg, Norwegian Polar Institute, and Aberystwyth University.
The information from the study helps improve scientists» understanding of the behavior of the
ice sheet and what processes control the
loss of
ice, Beata Csatho, a geophysicist at the University of Buffalo
in New York who was not involved with the work, said
in a commentary published
in the same issue of Nature.
His comments are based on the paper «Limits
in detecting acceleration of
ice sheet mass
loss due to climate variability», B. Wouters, J. L. Bamber, M. R. van den Broeke, J. T. M. Lenaerts and I. Sasgen, Nature Geoscience 6, 613 — 616 (2013) doi: 10.1038 / ngeo1874 Find the abstract and illustrations for that paper here.
For example,
ice loss in far - off West Antarctica will have more profound impacts
in Scandinavia than it will
in nearby Australia, while right now melting Alaskan glaciers contribute more to sea - level rise
in the Baltic than the Greenland
ice sheet.
This melt is the primary control on Antarctic
ice -
sheet loss, as the thinner
ice shelves are less able to buttress
ice in the interior, leading to faster
ice flow.
The rate of release from the tundra alone is predicted to reach 1.5 billion tons of carbon per annum before 2030, contributing to accelerated climate change, perhaps resulting
in sustained decadal doubling of
ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 201
ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland
Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 201
Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 2011).
«New observations from many different sources confirm that
ice -
sheet loss is accelerating,» the United States Global Change Research Program said
in its comprehensive special report on climate science.
In the figure right, from Rignot et al. 2008, you can see that mass
losses from Pine Island Glacier and Thwaites Glacier dominate Antarctic
Ice Sheet ice loss
Ice Sheet ice loss
ice losses.
This feedback could potentially result
in the rapid
loss of parts of the
ice sheet, as grounding lines retreat along troughs and basins that deepen towards the
ice sheet's interior.
IceCon aims to gain a better understanding of the rate of the
loss of
ice — now and
in the past - from the Antarctic
ice sheet in the Dronning...
Our modelled values are consistent with current rates of Antarctic
ice loss and sea - level rise, and imply that accelerated mass
loss from marine - based portions of Antarctic
ice sheets may ensue when an increase
in global mean air temperature of only 1.4 - 2.0 deg.
Our results thus show that, indeed, recent decades
in West Antarctica, which have been characterized by very rapid warming, and very rapid
loss of
ice from the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, are highly unusu
ice from the West Antarctic
Ice Sheet, are highly unusu
Ice Sheet, are highly unusual.
So unless the perimeter of the Greenland
ice sheet is the exact same thickness as the entire
ice sheet (say 3 km on average), an area
loss there, of 15 %, will produce a much smaller % volume
loss, than say if this area
loss were smack dab
in the middle of the Greenland
ice sheet.
Our experiments show a clear threshold
in the relationship between the rate of sea - level rise, and the rate of (sea - level contributing)
ice -
sheet mass
loss.
«As the
ice sheet in Greenland melts over thousands of years and becomes lower, the temperature will increase because of the elevation
loss.
From recent instrumental observations alone we are therefore unable to predict whether mass
loss from these
ice sheets will vary linearly with changes
in the rate of sea - level rise, or if a non-linear response is more likely.
The net
loss in volume and hence sea level contribution of the Greenland
Ice Sheet (GIS) has doubled
in recent years from 90 to 220 cubic kilometers / year has been noted recently (Rignot and Kanagaratnam, 2007).
This result would be strongly dependent on the exact dynamic response of the Greenland
ice sheet to surface meltwater, which is modeled poorly
in todays global models.Yes human influence on the climate is real and we might even now be able to document changes
in the behavior of weather phenomena related to disasters (e.g., Emanuel 2005), but we certainly haven't yet seen it
in the impact record (i.e., economic
losses) of extreme events.
For example,
in the NASA website, they quote 24 cu miles Greenland
ice sheet loss, presumably for 2002.
The relevant papers are [Velicogna and Wahr 2006 Measurements of time - variable gravity show mass
loss in Antarctica Science 311, 1754 - 1756 and Rignot and Thomas «Mass balance of polar
ice sheets» Science 297, 1502 - 1506]
Thus, the concept of an emissions budget is very useful to get the message across that the amount of CO2 that we can still emit
in total (not per year) is limited if we want to stabilise global temperature at a given level, so any delay
in reducing emissions can be detrimental — especially if we cross tipping points
in the climate system, e.g trigger the complete
loss of the Greenland
Ice Sheet.
Over the time period of our survey, the
ice sheet as a whole was certainly losing mass, and the mass
loss increased by 75 %
in 10 years.
First, the
loss of mass
in the Antarctic
ice sheet is actually somewhat unexpected.
Combined climate /
ice sheet model estimates
in which the Greenland surface temperature was as high during the Eemian as indicated by the NEEM
ice core record suggest that
loss of less than about 1 m sea level equivalent is very unlikely (e.g. Robinson et al. (2011).
This is despite using observed
ice sheet mass
loss (0.19 mm / year)
in the «modelled» number
in this comparison, otherwise the discrepancy would be even larger — the
ice sheet models predict that the
ice sheets gain mass due to global warming.
The Greenland
ice sheet gains mass via snowfall and
losses mass via the production of icebergs and by melt of
ice in the
ice marginal zone.
In a study of eight Antarctic glaciers, they found that speeds of descent increased by as much as a factor of eight after the
loss of the Larsen B
ice sheet.
Thus, whatever the contribution of mass
loss from the Greenland
ice sheet to the huge (4 - 8 m) rise
in sea level of the Eemian, it occurred under very strong temperature forcing.
Jonathan Bamber of the Bristol Glaciology Center
in England has led a new analysis of just how much the
loss of West Antarctica's
ice could raise sea levels if the
ice sheet fully disintegrated.
I would also keep
in mind the fact that we are only speaking of the short - term Charney Climate Sensitivity, and the long - term climate sensitivity is presumably going to be about twice that — due to
ice sheet loss and the like.