Data for the modern rate of annual
ice sheet mass changes indicate an accelerating rate of mass loss consistent with a mass loss doubling time of a decade or less (Fig. 10).
The most - optimal values for changes in bedrock elevation (GIA) in response to
ice sheet mass changes have to be used
«A high - resolution record of Greenland mass balance» «Antarctica, Greenland and Gulf of Alaska land - ice evolution from an iterated GRACE global mascon solution» «Greenland and Antarctica
ice sheet mass changes and effects on global sea level»
Not exact matches
Understanding sea level
change in relation to the
mass balance of Greenland's and Antarctica's
ice sheets is at the heart of the CReSIS mission.
Estimated
changes in the
mass of Greenland's
ice sheet suggest it is melting at a rate of about 239 cubic kilometres (57.3 cubic miles) per year.
Today, as warming waters caused by climate
change flow underneath the floating
ice shelves in Pine Island Bay, the Antarctic Ice Sheet is once again at risk of losing mass from rapidly retreating glacie
ice shelves in Pine Island Bay, the Antarctic
Ice Sheet is once again at risk of losing mass from rapidly retreating glacie
Ice Sheet is once again at risk of losing
mass from rapidly retreating glaciers.
To better understand and anticipate
changes in sea level rise, scientists have sought to quantify how much snow falls on the
ice sheet in any given year, and where, since snow is the primary source of the
ice sheet's
mass.
«This is probably the best method to look at
mass changes of
ice sheets if you want to get a number that you can trust,» Rignot says.
When the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites began measuring gravity signals around the world in 2002, scientists knew they would have to separate
mass flow beneath the earth's crust from
changes in the
mass of the overlying
ice sheet.
«It doesn't
change our estimates of the total
mass loss all over Greenland by that much, but it brings a more significant
change to our understanding of where within the
ice sheet that loss has happened, and where it is happening now.»
The second is the gravity method, which utilizes NASA's GRACE satellite pair to essentially weigh the
ice sheets from space (it measures minute
changes in their flight path due to the shifting gravity field of
mass below).
But that could soon
change, Rignot said, because the rate at which
ice sheets are losing
mass is increasing three times faster than the rate of
ice loss from mountain glaciers and
ice caps.
Mitrovica, J. X., Tamisiea, M. E., Davis, J. L. & Milne, G. A. Recent
mass balance of polar
ice sheets inferred from patterns of global sea - level
change.
This implies that large - scale observations — for example, of global mean sea - level
change or of the
change mass of the Antarctic
ice sheet — will not on their own significantly narrow the range of late - century sea - level projections for decades to come.
This spring, NASA and the German Research Centre for Geosciences are scheduled to launch the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment Follow - On (GRACE - FO) mission, twin satellites that will continue the original GRACE mission's legacy of tracking fluctuations in Earth's gravity field in order to detect
changes in
mass, including the
mass of
ice sheets and aquifers.
That estimate was based in part on the fact that sea level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid
change of
ice sheet mass balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing
mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
The latter is almost linearly related to
changes in
ice sheet volume; the former, however, is influenced by a range of factors, including atmosphere / ocean dynamics and
changes in Earth's gravitational field, rotation, and crustal and the mantle deformation associated with the redistribution of
mass between land
ice and the ocean.
So does
mass change at the Earth's surface, which can come from shifts in
ice sheets, or even possibly in major atmospheric wind currents.
And this is just one element in the sea level rise — small
ice caps are melting faster, thermal expansion will increase in line with ocean heat content
changes and Antarctic
ice sheets are also losing
mass.
From recent instrumental observations alone we are therefore unable to predict whether
mass loss from these
ice sheets will vary linearly with
changes in the rate of sea - level rise, or if a non-linear response is more likely.
I do think it has been clear for a while that interactions with the ocean provide the greatest potential for surprises and rapid
changes, and that Greenland's
ice sheet would mostly pull out of the ocean before it lost most of its
mass.
The satellites measure
changes in gravity to determine
mass variations of the entire Antarctic
ice sheet.
The GRACE data offers a complete picture of the entire
ice sheet, allowing comparisons of
mass changes in coastal regions (eg - elevations below 2000 metres) with the Greenland interior (above 2000 metres).
Figure 3: Estimated
ice mass change over time for the entire Antarctic
ice sheet, West Antarctica, West Antarctica without the rapidly
changing Amundsen Sea Coast (ASC) region and East Antarctica.
Postscript: A grouping of 40 + scientists, including four of our Nature co-authors, participated in the NASA / ESA
Ice Sheet Mass Balance Intercomparison project (IMBIE) in an attempt to understand the reasons for previously disparate ice mass change estimat
Ice Sheet Mass Balance Intercomparison project (IMBIE) in an attempt to understand the reasons for previously disparate
ice mass change estimat
ice mass change estimates.
We used an ensemble of
ice sheet model runs and plausible Earth models to place bounded constraints on our
mass change estimate.
Because
ice sheets contain so much
ice and have the potential to raise or lower global sea level so dramatically, measuring the
mass balance of the
ice sheets and tracking any
mass balance
changes and their causes is very important for forecasting sea level rise.
Then in 2003 the launch of two new satellites, ICESat and GRACE, led to vast improvements in one of the methods for
mass balance determination, volume
change, and introduced the ability to conduct gravimetric measurements of
ice sheet mass over time.
At the beginning of the 1990s, scientists were unsure of the sign (positive or negative) of the
mass balance of Greenland or Antarctica, and knew only that it could not be
changing rapidly relative to the size of the
ice sheet.
Figure 2:
Ice mass changes for the Antarctic ice sheet from April 2002 to February 20
Ice mass changes for the Antarctic
ice sheet from April 2002 to February 20
ice sheet from April 2002 to February 2009.
«These
changes on the Greenland
ice sheet are happening fast, and we are definitely losing more
ice mass than we had anticipated,» said Isabella Velicogna, lead author of the study last year.
Figure 2: Time series of
ice mass changes for the Greenland
ice sheet estimated from GRACE monthly
mass solutions for the period from April 2002 to February 2009.
To assess these implications, we translate global into local SLR projections using a model of spatial variation in sea - level contributions caused by isostatic deformation and
changes in gravity as the Greenland and Antarctic
ice sheets lose
mass (36 ⇓ — 38), represented as two global 0.5 ° matrices of scalar adjustment factors to the
ice sheets» respective median global contributions to SLR and (squared) to their variances.
The map shows the distribution of glaciers on the European continent, Svalbard, Iceland and in the periphery of the Greenland
Ice Sheet together with the locations of glaciers with long - term
mass change measurements.
«Models traditionally have projected that this difference doesn't become negative (i.e. net loss of Antarctic
ice sheet mass) for several decades,» Mann said, adding that detailed gravimetric measurements, which looks at
changes in Earth's gravity over spots to estimate, among other things,
ice mass.
Hanna, E., Navarro, F., Pattyn, F., Domingues, C., Fettweis, X., Ivins, E., Nicholls, R., Ritz, C., Smith, B., Tulaczyk, S.... (2013)
Ice -
sheet mass balance and climate
change.
In addition, the running sum total of the accumulated
mass change over the Greenland
Ice Sheet is shown on a graph overlay in gigatons.
Since its launch in 2002, GRACE has provided a continuous record of
changes in the
mass of the Earth's
ice sheets.
A leading theory, presented by Dr. Bill McGuire, Hugh Tuffin, J. Maclennan, Peter Huybers and many others is that
changes in stress to the Earth's crust caused by the loss of billions of tons of
mass by
ice sheets and the displacement of those billions of tons into the world's ocean system spurred previously stable magma systems into a chaotic displacement.
«The observed
changes in sea
ice on the Arctic Ocean, in the
mass of the Greenland
ice sheet and Arctic
ice caps and glaciers over the past 10 years are dramatic and represent an obvious departure from long - term patterns,» says the report.
That estimate was based in part on the fact that sea level is now rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid
change of
ice sheet mass balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing
mass at accelerating rates [23]--[24].
«This implies that
changes at the margin can affect the
mass balance deep in the centre of the
ice sheet,» said Dr Khan.
The models are certainly wrong when it comes to simulating the rate of arctic sea
ice loss, or the full dynamics of
ice sheet mass balance
changes.
Mass Gains of the Antarctic
Ice Sheet Exceed Losses http://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20120013495 SCAR ISMASS Workshop, July 14, 2012 «During 2003 to 2008, the mass gain of the Antarctic ice sheet from snow accumulation exceeded the mass loss from ice discharge by 49 Gt / yr (2.5 % of input), as derived from ICESat laser measurements of elevation cha
Ice Sheet Exceed Losses http://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20120013495 SCAR ISMASS Workshop, July 14, 2012 «During 2003 to 2008, the mass gain of the Antarctic ice sheet from snow accumulation exceeded the mass loss from ice discharge by 49 Gt / yr (2.5 % of input), as derived from ICESat laser measurements of elevation c
Sheet Exceed Losses http://ntrs.nasa.gov/search.jsp?R=20120013495 SCAR ISMASS Workshop, July 14, 2012 «During 2003 to 2008, the
mass gain of the Antarctic
ice sheet from snow accumulation exceeded the mass loss from ice discharge by 49 Gt / yr (2.5 % of input), as derived from ICESat laser measurements of elevation cha
ice sheet from snow accumulation exceeded the mass loss from ice discharge by 49 Gt / yr (2.5 % of input), as derived from ICESat laser measurements of elevation c
sheet from snow accumulation exceeded the
mass loss from
ice discharge by 49 Gt / yr (2.5 % of input), as derived from ICESat laser measurements of elevation cha
ice discharge by 49 Gt / yr (2.5 % of input), as derived from ICESat laser measurements of elevation
change
As Earth became colder and continental
ice sheets grew, further increase of δ18O was due in equal parts to deep ocean temperature
change and
ice mass change.
According to the most highly - cited analyses of polar
ice sheet melt and contribution to sea level rise, the Antarctic
ice sheet as a whole
changed in
mass by -71 gigatonnes (GT) per year between 1992 and 2011.
The most recent calculations of
ice mass balance in the antarctic also do indicate loss of
ice, though nothing close to the
changes seen in the arctic sea
ice and Greenland
ice sheet.
Great progress has been made recently in assessing the current rate of
mass loss from the
ice sheets (Shepherd et al., 2012), as well as monitoring the
changing snowfall, surface melting, and temperature contributing to the
changes.
In 2007, Denmark launched the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland
Ice Sheet (PROMICE) to assess changes in the mass balance of the ice she
Ice Sheet (PROMICE) to assess changes in the mass balance of the ice s
Sheet (PROMICE) to assess
changes in the
mass balance of the
ice she
ice sheetsheet.
Our assumption that global temperature passed the Holocene mean a few decades ago is consistent with the rapid
change of
ice sheet mass balance in the past few decades [75].