High - latitude ocean and sea
ice surface fluxes: challenges for climate research.
Not exact matches
However,
ice is a poor conductor so, unless
ice is very thin or the geothermal heat
flux very high, tends not to influence melt at the
ice surface.
The warming being seen during the Autumn and Winter is mainly due to increased heat
fluxes from the
surface (Screen & Simmonds 2010) due to thinner
ice and more open water, so represents a net heat loss to the atmosphere.
This study proposes a mechanism sustaining the enhanced westerly winds by a cyclonic atmospheric circulation in the Barents Sea region created by a strong
surface heat
flux over the
ice - free areas.
We quantify sea - level commitment in the baseline case by building on Levermann et al. (10), who used physical simulations to model the SLR within a 2,000 - y envelope as the sum of the contributions of (i) ocean thermal expansion, based on six coupled climate models; (ii) mountain glacier and
ice cap melting, based on
surface mass balance and simplified
ice dynamic models; (iii) Greenland
ice sheet decay, based on a coupled regional climate model and
ice sheet dynamic model; and (iv) Antarctic
ice sheet decay, based on a continental - scale model parameterizing grounding line
ice flux in relation to temperature.
«Just when the
surface ice melted in the lab, he measured a large
flux of carbon and methane.
When the
flux is increased, the planet undergoes a decrease in
surface albedo which is due to the melting of the permanent polar
ice caps and the reduced seasonal snow cover.
The OSI SAF team focuses on scatterometer winds (and soon microwave winds), Sea
Surface Temperature (SST) and sea
Ice Surface Temperature (IST), radiative fluxes: Solar Surface Irradiance (SSI) and Downward Longwave Irradiance (DLI), sea ice concentration, edge, type, emissivity, dri
Ice Surface Temperature (IST), radiative
fluxes: Solar
Surface Irradiance (SSI) and Downward Longwave Irradiance (DLI), sea
ice concentration, edge, type, emissivity, dri
ice concentration, edge, type, emissivity, drift.
The idea is that Arctic sea
ice decline would expose the ocean to anomalous
surface heat and freshwater
fluxes, resulting in positive buoyancy anomalies that can propagate downstream to the North Atlantic, in due time suppressing deep convection and weakening the AMOC.
On page 16 here: https://curryja.files.wordpress.com/2014/10/sea-
ice-physical-processes.pdf There is the «Annual cycle of net
surface heat
flux for various
ice thicknesses» Roughly interpolating the no sea
ice flux I got an average of — 310 Wm2 over the course of a year.
Therefore, a greater open ocean from loss of sea
ice concentration allows for a larger exchange of these
surface heat
fluxes.
Leads opening in the
ice will change the
fluxes of heat and light penetration through the sea
surface and the lower trophic levels of the marine ecosystem.
Precipitation: increased freshwater / iceberg
flux cools ocean mixed layer, increases sea
ice area, causing increase of precipitation that falls before it reaches Antarctica, adding to ocean
surface freshening and reducing
ice sheet growth.
To summarise the arguments presented so far concerning
ice - loss in the arctic basin, at least four mechanisms must be recognised: (i) a momentum - induced slowing of winter
ice formation, (ii) upward heat -
flux from anomalously warm Atlantic water through the
surface low ‐ salinity layer below the
ice, (iii) wind patterns that cause the export of anomalous amounts of drift
ice through the Fram Straits and disperse pack -
ice in the western basin and (iv) the anomalous
flux of warm Bering Sea water into the eastern Arctic of the mid 1990s.
Future work must track how changes in sea
ice and
surface turbulent
fluxes influence specific atmospheric regimes related to the episodic events.
In a new paper, researchers conclude that changes in sensible heat transfer and evaporation
fluxes — in response to strong regional trends in the air -
surface temperature contrast related to the changing character of the sea
ice cover — are becoming increasingly consequential to Arctic climate variability and change.
So all it takes is some
surface reconstructions and some
flux data from a crude GCM to provide a test for a continental scale model of
ice sheets that incorporate basic physics and include the Schoof mechanism.
Persson P. O. G., M. D. Shupe, D. K. Perovich and A. Solomon (August 2017): Linking atmospheric synoptic transport, cloud phase,
surface energy
fluxes, and sea -
ice growth: observations of midwinter SHEBA conditions.
These processes include arctic clouds and their radiative impacts, sea -
ice albedo changes,
surface energy
fluxes, vertical momentum transfer, and ocean vertical heat transport.
Scientific confidence of the occurrence of climate change include, for example, that over at least the last 50 years there have been increases in the atmospheric concentration of CO2; increased nitrogen and soot (black carbon) deposition; changes in the
surface heat and moisture
fluxes over land; increases in lower tropospheric and upper ocean temperatures and ocean heat content; the elevation of sea level; and a large decrease in summer Arctic sea
ice coverage and a modest increase in Antarctic sea
ice coverage.
«Fs», the fixed SST forcing, is a combination of the
flux change at the top of (and throughout) the atmosphere and of the global
surface air temperature change after the forcing and with observed sea
surface temperature (SST) and sea
ice (SI) held fixed.
Or what if stronger tides increased glacial flow or calving at the coasts, or tidal currents openned up gaps in sea
ice covering by piling sea
ice against islands, thus affecting albedo and
surface heat
fluxes?
The US CLIVAR High Latitude
Surface Flux Working Group was formed in January 2008, with the particular goal of addressing some of the challenges associated with air - sea and air -
ice - ocean exchanges in Arctic, Antarctic, and Southern Ocean regions.
I would not regard heat being stored in the ocean and melting snow /
ice but not completely melting it (and thereby changing the
surface albedo), since this does not have any sort of direct change to the planetary radiative
fluxes.
Use the calculated
fluxes to force the
surface component of a climate model (without the atmosphere), including the ocean, sea
ice, and land subsystem models, for the baseline (preindustrial) and the doubled CO2 forcing.
I do not run climate models myself, but am actively contributing to the development of parameterizations for clouds, sea
ice, boundary layer, radiative transfer, and ocean
surface fluxes.
Features of the model described here include the following: (1) tripolar grid to resolve the Arctic Ocean without polar filtering, (2) partial bottom step representation of topography to better represent topographically influenced advective and wave processes, (3) more accurate equation of state, (4) three - dimensional
flux limited tracer advection to reduce overshoots and undershoots, (5) incorporation of regional climatological variability in shortwave penetration, (6) neutral physics parameterization for representation of the pathways of tracer transport, (7) staggered time stepping for tracer conservation and numerical efficiency, (8) anisotropic horizontal viscosities for representation of equatorial currents, (9) parameterization of exchange with marginal seas, (10) incorporation of a free
surface that accommodates a dynamic
ice model and wave propagation, (11) transport of water across the ocean free
surface to eliminate unphysical «virtual tracer
flux» methods, (12) parameterization of tidal mixing on continental shelves.