And yet most of the multi-year ice has already disappeared, and
ice thickness continues to drop, as best as we can tell.
Not exact matches
This is because the «early camp» are missing a major factor, even though most of them don't know it: That factor is that first year sea
ice will
continue to grow to
thicknesses of around 1.5 to 2m through the winter, so the key issue in whether September can be virtually sea -
ice free is how much sea
ice can be lost between March and September.
Although the sea
ice extent has held up since 2007, the
thickness has declined; but the extent can not
continue to hold up indefinitely while the
thickness continues to decline.
The mean
ice concentration anomaly for June 2013 is 0.9 x 106 square kilometers greater than June 2012, however Arctic sea
ice thicknesses and volumes
continue to remain the lowest on record.
To determine how much
ice and snowfall enters a specific
ice shelf and how much makes it to an iceberg, where it may split off, the research team used a regional climate model for snow accumulation and combined the results with
ice velocity data from satellites,
ice shelf
thickness measurements from NASA's Operation IceBridge — a
continuing aerial survey of Earth's poles — and a new map of Antarctica's bedrock.
He said there has been a «very strong decline» in the
thickness of the
ice, and if the current trend
continues, the Arctic could be
ice - free on a summer's day by the end of the decade.
In response to your question I would refer you to my comment above Dave Wendt (14:39:39): where I discuss the Rigor and Wallace paper of 2004 which demonstrated that the decline in sea
ice age and
thickness began with a shift in state in Beaufort Gyre and the TransPolar Drift in 1989 which resulted in multiyear
ice declining from over 80 % of the Arctic to 30 % in about one year and that the persistence of that pattern has been responsible for the
continuing decline.
From the atmospheric temperature rise to the acidification of the sea, from
ice thickness and extent to sea levels, we really need to
continue to know what is going on.
That is the discovery made by scientists using data from CryoSat - 2, the European probe that has been measuring the
thickness of Earth's
ice sheets and glaciers since it was launched by [
continue reading...]
The roughly factor of two increase in speed shown is partly due to decreases in
ice thickness and strength, but it is safe to predict that if cyclonic storm events like this one ending 2015
continue penetrating the eastern Arctic Ocean, they will increase
ice export and reduce summer 2016
ice extent.
This year we
continued the effort to provide rapid - release
ice thickness data through coordinated measurement campaign in March and April by NASA's IceBridge Team.
The updated prediction of
ice thickness from the PIOMAS model, submitted by Zhang,
continues to show an
ice - free Northwest Passage (Figure 2a).