Not exact matches
Quite a contrast to notable skeptics such as Joe Bastardi,
who continues to suggest that the current downward
trend in Arctic sea
ice is simple cyclical thing and that there is no
ice - free Arctic anywhere in our future whether it be 40 years or 240 years.
Those
who think that there's nothing to worry about, because sea
ice might recover on its own accord, are requiring some negative forcing or feedback effect to come into play, to make the PIOMAS
trend line do a U-turn.
Scientists at the University of Illinois, Urbana - Champaign,
who monitor the area of floating
ice, instead of the extent of ocean mostly covered with
ice, charted a similar
trend.
The next implication is that those
who try to predict
ice volume using past
ice volume data are largely picking up the artifical
trend that is built into the data.
Scientists
who study the warming seas and complicated climate and
ice trends around Antarctica got a big jolt in recent days as yet another great fringing, floating
ice shelf jutting from the Antarctic Peninsula began to disintegrate.
Vicky Pope, a meteorologist in England's climate and meteorology office, has a remarkable op - ed in the Guardian warning that scientists, the media and campaigners of all stripes
who use short - term
trends in weather or sea
ice to make points are misleading the public about global warming.
Well in the 70's and early 80's you had the cooling
trend crowd
who predicted that by now we would be having another
ice age.
We interpret the split of 2013 Outlooks above and below the 4.1 level to different interpretations of the guiding physics: those
who considered that observed sea
ice extent in 2012 being well below the 4.1 level indicates a shift in arctic conditions, especially with regard to reduced sea
ice thickness and increased sea
ice mobility; and those
who have estimates above 4.1
who support a return to the longer - term downward
trend line (1979 - 2007).
We interpret the split of 2013 Outlooks above and below the 4.1 median to different interpretations of the guiding physics: those
who considered that observed sea
ice extent in 2012 being well below the 4.1 level indicates a shift in arctic conditions, especially with regard to reduced sea
ice thickness and increased sea
ice mobility; and those with estimates above 4.1
who support a return to the longer - term downward
trend line (1979 - 2007).
One passage written by Heartland reads, «Scientists
who study the issue say it is impossible to tell if the recent small warming
trend is natural, a continuation of the planet's recovery from the more recent «Little
Ice Age,» or unnatural, the result of human greenhouse gas emissions.»
Does the person
who says were just seeing a natural
trend here similar to past
ice ages and warming
trends.....
The downward
trend is quite clear, according to Julienne Stroeve, a sea
ice expert at the National Snow and Ice Data Center, who is currently based at University College Lond
ice expert at the National Snow and
Ice Data Center, who is currently based at University College Lond
Ice Data Center,
who is currently based at University College London.
In light of
trends showing a likely 3 °C or more global temperature rise by the end of this century (a figure that could become much higher if all feedback processes, such as changes of sea
ice and water vapor, are taken into account) that could result in sea level rises ranging from 20 to 59 cm (again a conservative estimation), Hansen believes it is critical for scientists in the field to speak out about the consequences and rebuke the spin offered by pundits
who «have denigrated suggestions that business - as - usual greenhouse gas emissions may cause a sea level rise of the order of meters.»