Sentences with phrase «if economic index»

Not exact matches

Earnings / Macro Pulse: But if you look at a couple of key indicators we track: the «nominal surprise index» (this tracks a combination of the Citi US inflation surprise index and the economic surprise index - giving a view on how the inflation and general economic data is turning out vs expectations), and the «earnings revisions indicator» (this combines earnings revisions ratio and the rate of change in forward earnings).

As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by breadth and other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.

If you own shares of McDonald's, Johnson & Johnson, an S&P 500 index fund, or any other countless security, when you glance over your reports, you should know exactly why you own them — how much you expect earnings per share to rise over the next decade, management's capital allocation policies (dividends vs. share repurchases vs. debt reduction vs. acquisitions, vs. growing organically), as well a legal and economic trends that might affect your position.

If we're right, however, aggregate price indices like the CPI and PPI will continue to drop in economic recovery and verify the arrival of chronic deflation.

The act also contains a «reverse trigger,» which will delay the law from taking effect if the New York City «Coincident Economic Index» falls below its January 2012 level.

The Upstate minimum could increase after that to $ 15 an hour if the governor's budget director, examining undesignated economic indexes, ruled that an increase would not hurt the economy.

For example, if economic and growth in China and Asia are deemed stronger than the USA, then an international investor will allocate more money to Asian counties by buying a handful of blue chips, country index funds or exchange traded funds or sector specific funds.

When economic growth slows, a quality index will outperform — but if this is coupled with low inflation then minimum volatility will outperform.

If funds invest as we advise, sticking with well - established, mostly dividend - paying companies and spreading their assets out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors, they will tend to lose a lot less than the market indexes in periods when the indexes fall sharplIf funds invest as we advise, sticking with well - established, mostly dividend - paying companies and spreading their assets out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors, they will tend to lose a lot less than the market indexes in periods when the indexes fall sharplif not all of the five main economic sectors, they will tend to lose a lot less than the market indexes in periods when the indexes fall sharply.

If you follow the markets daily you've probably seen statements like this actual example from a national newspaper: «U.S. stock index futures were under pressure on Friday, weighed by bearish concern over Spain's rising borrowing costs and Chinese economic data.»

But if the theory behind the Valuation - Informed Indexing model is on the mark, it is not economic conditions that are causing our troubles — it is the largely ignored reality that we borrowed $ 12 trillion from future investors to pay for the bull markets of the late 1990s and that we now need to pay that money back.

While the stock market saw a marked positive response to the results of the Consumer Confidence Index, if I were a retailer, I would be hesitant to go out on a limb and base any major business decisions on economic guesswork by the average Joe.

Even if there is strong economic equality in a nation measured by the Gini index, one can not conclude that climate change policies are distributively just.

«If the Fed can maintain a low but positive rate of inflation, within a narrow band of about 1.5 percent of the Consumer Price Index, as it's been doing, inflation will be a non-issue in economic decisions in 2005,» says Doug Duncan, chief economist at the Mortgage Bankers Association.