A thirty year mortgage is a great thing at these rates (I wish I could get a 50 year mortgage), especially
if inflation returns to its historical averages of 3 — 4 % or higher, and if you can invest the difference between the monthly payments for the 15 and 30 year mortgage and earn more than 3.88 % on that money you will be much better off than if you'd gotten a 15 year mortgage.
Not exact matches
If it just keeps paying out all of its earnings, shareholders will get a
return equal to the earnings yield (inverse of the PE) of 6 % plus
inflation, or a decent total of around 8 %.
There's quite a bit of research, based on historical
returns, that finds
if you retire at age 65, you can withdraw 4 % a year (plus
inflation adjustments) from your nest egg with only a small risk of outliving your money.
If you do at that point, you must include an investment
return and an
inflation rate on everything else.
If you play it too conservatively, such as holding all your money in CDs,
inflation could outpace your
returns.
But being too conservative can hurt your
returns if inflation increases.
If you have checked out Annuity payouts lately (I have, very discouraging
returns just like every other investment class), they do not keep up with
inflation.
But to be clear that policy is seeking to maintain, or to
return to, low but above zero
inflation is probably a necessary, even
if not sufficient, condition for adequate outcomes.
If you use a low
return (5 %) and a realistic
inflation rate (3.5 %) that can add a nice cushion.
If we assume the market
returns to appreciation matching
inflation at 3 %, our portfolio is appreciating in value by about that same amount, $ 5,555 a month.
However, even in this situation bonds almost always provide a positive
return (
if held for their duration) because bond yields and
inflation rise together.
If core
inflation were to
return above 2 percent and continue trending moderately higher, it would be a game changer for rates,» said Graham.
When the day arrives that you begin taking money from savings to finance your golden years, you will be worse off
if your nominal
returns didn't beat the
inflation rate by a healthy margin.
Even
if you manage to keep up with
inflation, you may be taking the risk that your money may not grow fast enough without the higher
returns generated by stocks to meet your major financial goals in the years ahead.
Investing may earn you more based on oft - quoted long term averages but, consider this,
if the market tanks by 50 % in one year, it would take over 7 years of so called «average stock market
returns of 10 %» to
return to the same position you were in just prior to the loss, and that is not even factoring in
inflation.
It does not matter very much
if you earned a nominal
return of 9.5 % over the last 10 years
if inflation was 12 %.
If the I - Bond pegs
inflation at 1.18 % every six months, translating to 2.36 % annually, is the risk - free rate of
return a -2.16 %?
Additionally, CDs are susceptible to
inflation because they are not very liquid
if you go for bigger
returns through longer terms.
If the rate of
return on your money is lower than the
inflation rate you're actually losing money by keeping yours in a money market account.
What happens
if you get hit by 2 of these buggers say
inflation and poor market
return?
If an investor told you they wanted a 3 % real
return (i.e.,
return after
inflation) on their investments, do you consider that conservative?
There's no way you can avoid risk in the financial markets
if you hope to beat
inflation over the long - term and earn a respectable
return on your portfolio.
I use [RetirementView] right in front of the client, orient him / her to the visuals, and go through the «What
Ifs» such as higher
inflation, lower
returns, retiring later, etc..
In a rate environment we think of as normal (interest rates slightly higher than
inflation), we believe these companies can earn 10 % on equity and
if they don't have organic growth opportunities, can
return all of it to shareholders.
Going back to your post a couple days ago where Bob Brown gave his forecast for equity
returns of about 6 % (3.2 % after tax and
inflation),
if you give up another 2 % + in expense ratio, an investor might as well put their money in long term certificates of deposit and eliminate risk.
Even
if the Bank of Japan did keep real and nominal interest rates low after the country
returned to
inflation, the old «deflationary equilibrium» would be broken.
You had the prospect of solid
returns if the
inflation rate
returned to the pre-oil crisis levels.
Importantly, when a preferred share is trading at a high current yield relative to the market yield, the investor receives a measure of protection from the impact of rising interest rates (or,
if we're focused on real
returns, the impact of rising
inflation).
To
return to our example of replacing a # 25,000 salary with passive income,
if I invested mainly in shares and rental property and only diversified the portfolio into fixed income such as bonds in my final years of saving, I'd plan on investing around # 7,000 a year into shares for 25 years, assuming a pretty aggressive
inflation - adjusted annual
return of 7 %.
If well invested at our assumed rate of 3 per cent after
inflation, the
return would partially make up for the loss of 7.2 per cent per year penalty charged.
However,
if you will need your savings to live on,
inflation and taxes will eat up those low fixed - income
returns.
According to the math here, which assumes a rate of
return after
inflation of 5 % and that you live off 4 % of the nest egg in retirement, it will take 45 years to retire
if you save 15 %.
Even
if real estate only tracks
inflation over the long run, a 3 % increase on a property where you put 20 % down is a 15 % cash - on - cash
return.
If that is true, and low pay locks in, sustained
inflation might not
return even with low rates of unemployment.
She said that shortfall will grow
if inflation rises further with «damaging consequences for children», adding: «With the
return of
inflation the benefits freeze has become toxic for struggling families.»
But even
if the
returns to RSML end up amounting to no more than $ 20 million per annum, the total take will be in excess of $ 1 billion over the lifetime of the contract
if increases in the levy merely tracks
inflation in insurance premiums over the last decade.
While anthology films are rarely made and rarely seen as commercial enterprises, New York Stories grossed a respectable $ 10.8 million in theaters, which
inflation adjusts to $ 21.5 M today, a sum that would be appreciated by Allen and both generations of Coppola,
if not Scorsese who has been enjoying the biggest
returns of his career in recent years.
As discussed in [this post on investment real
returns], it doesn't matter how well your investments perform
if they don't exceed the
inflation rate over the long term.
If a severe market setback or a string of subpar
returns has put a serious dent in the value of your savings, you may want to cut back on your planned withdrawals or not boost them for
inflation for a year or two to give your savings balance a chance to recoup lost ground.
But whatever initial rate you choose, you need to remain flexible, say, forgoing an
inflation increase or even paring your withdrawal for a few years
if a big market setback or higher - than - expected spending puts a big dent in the value of your nest egg or spending more
if a string of stellar
returns causes your nest egg's value to balloon.
If the interest rates on your other debt - car or student loan or mortgage - is higher than what you could earn by saving or investing (consider that the average annual
inflation - adjusted historical
return of the U.S. stock market is just over 6 %), you'd be wise to pay that down first too.
Even so, once you consider
inflation and taxes, the real
returns from bank accounts or money market funds can be considered zero,
if not negative.
If well invested at our assumed rate of 3 per cent after
inflation, the
return would partially make up for the loss of 7.2 per cent per year penalty charged.
If you would like to accumulate sufficient corpus for a long - term goal, you may have to take calculated risk and invest in right financial product (s) which can beat
inflation & give better tax - adjusted
returns.
Conversely,
if the market takes a big hit or churns out a series of subpar
returns and your nest egg's value drops precipitously, you might want to skip a couple of
inflation increases or even scale back the amount you withdraw.
On the other hand,
if you really wanted to play it safe even a GIC could give you a 2 % annual
return: enough to spin off $ 200,000 a year for life, albeit gradually losing ground to
inflation and being subject to the highest level of tax.
If you're expected
returns on your retirement savings is in the 6 to 7 % range and
inflation eats about 2.3 % of that, you're left with about 4 to 5 % which can be spent.
If we assume
returns are around 10 % and at a
inflation rate of say 8 %, an investment of Rs 10 lakh can give you Rs 1.2 Lakh per year for next 10 years.
If the emergency never hits and I keep this fund around for the next 35 years until I retire, I've paid a HUGE price to have this «insurance» (considering some use 5.5 % as
returns after tax and
inflation on conservative dividend paying blue chips).
If they use the inheritance to start filling up their TFSAs in 2018 and add $ 5,500 each for the next 13 years, the combined accounts would, with the 3 per cent after
inflation return we assume, have a balance of $ 300,000 at Terry's age 55, and $ 408,300 at his age 60.