If this trend holds, Pennsylvania consumers would save $ 6.8 billion and U.S. consumers would save $ 205 billion annually compared to what they would have paid
if natural gas prices were in line with those of oil.
--
If natural gas prices were to rise from their depression - like lows, HAWK could experience a significant boost in demand for its services.
Moreover,
if natural gas prices remain low due to higher yields associated with the hydraulic fracturing of wells, other forms of electricity — including renewables — will have a hard time winning favor with utilities and state public utilities commissions that govern the growth of the electricity system.
The next quarter will also be rough for Precision Drilling
if natural gas prices do not increase.
However, coal demand can continue to decline
if natural gas prices stay low for a very long time allowing further replacement of coal - fired power plants with gas - fired ones.
Not exact matches
So we asked in our research: What would happen
if current low
natural gas prices or pollution control policies caused all US coal - burning power plants to be replaced by
natural gas generators?
Right now, liquefied
natural gas exported from Louisiana can't compete with Russia on
price, but that could change
if the sanctions threat makes it too risky to ship Russian product.
Many utilities can generate power using either coal or
natural gas, so
if the latter's
price gets cheap enough — typically below $ 4.50 per MCF — power companies will make the switch.
If contract talks with teachers and health workers get hot in the next couple of years, blame
natural gas prices.
On the shale revolution, the report concedes that energy
prices for U.S. businesses might well rise
if Washington decides to lift an old prohibition to export
natural gas to countries who haven't signed a free trade agreement with the U.S. (which includes Japan and China, among America's best potential customers.)
Natural gas is still so cheap that solar has trouble competing with existing plants, but when it comes to new
gas plants, solar is getting within striking distance, especially
if gas prices rise more than forecasted.
Is that number still accurate and what are the implications for
natural gas and
natural gas prices if production is cut in Alberta.
If you expect a heat wave — or a cold snap — you can anticipate some movement in the
price of
natural gas in the short - term.
If the heat wave does in fact break and injections begin to increase more in line with the historical weekly builds the large overhang of
natural gas in inventory that has been limiting any significant rally in
natural gas prices this summer could possibly then turn into a deeper bout of selling.
This is the first time I've covered
Natural Gas but have found the recent
price action very interesting so thought I'd share a few thoughts on it and take a look at whether a rebound is due anytime soon or
if the steady 14 month decline it has been in is likely to continue.
«
If you lose nuclear, you'll see that
natural gas will spike or we'll be subject to
price increases from other sources because we don't have balanced alternatives.
Adding a
price on carbon emissions at even a «modest» level of $ 25 per ton would make new nuclear energy competitive with coal and
natural gas even
if the risk premium remains, the MIT study concludes.
This risk factor pushes the «levelized» or all - in
price of nuclear power from new units to 8.4 cents per kilowatt - hour, the MIT study concludes, versus 6.2 cents for coal - fired plants and 6.5 cents for
natural gas generation (
if gas is
priced at $ 7 per million British thermal units, or roughly 1,000 cubic feet of flowing
gas).
And, even
if those targets are met, greenhouse
gas pollution may remain: Rising
prices for
natural gas in the U.S. meant an uptick in coal burning in 2013 — and an attendant 2 percent rise in CO2 from electricity production.
Solar panels could produce electricity at the same
price as coal - and
natural gas - burning power plants by the end of this decade
if countries direct resources at this rapidly advancing corner of the energy industry, according to the Paris - based International Energy Agency.
If you look at unconventional
gas production, we will have vast volumes of
natural gas available for the next 25 years at very low
prices.»
Both Ash and Roney pointed out the need for full cost accounting for
natural gas in order to figure out
if it is cost - effective: The industry must measure the
price of mining, shipping and infrastructure for the fuel, as well as the value of
natural gas's environmental and health consequences.»
If natural gas follows the oil
price though, that could put pressure on renewables, underlining the need for a robust carbon
price.
If you are interested in converting your existing Chevrolet to run on compressed
natural gas, contact the service department at Classic Chevy for more information and
pricing.
If the
price of oil rises, the share
price for an oil and
natural gas will go up, no matter where it is headquartered.
If you are an upstream company, your business results are strongly tied to the
price of oil and
natural gas because upstream companies are the ones that find oil and
natural gas and pump it from the ground.
If the
price of
natural gas recovers to the average levels between 2005 and 2008 ($ 6 - $ 8), and demand for Seahawk's rigs improves correspondingly, we believe the company can easily generate cash flow in the range of $ 175m.
The United States
Natural Gas Fund (UNG) is the best tool available for those looking to bet on a short - term jump in
prices;
if your anticipated holding period is just a few days, this product will deliver the greatest sensitivity to spot
prices and generally deliver the best returns
if there is a spike.
Experts say that
if we bought $ 50 to $ 200 billion worth of solar panels over the next 10 — 20 years, the
price of solar could come to down to the
price of
natural gas and even coal, not just in the U.S. but even in developing countries like China, where coal is especially cheap.
If there is any significant increase in usage, that
natural gas price will probably soar to previously unimagined heights.
But you can see that
if energy
prices, especially for
natural gas, stay low for a long period of time, we'll be back in a trance and the imperative for other tougher pushes, whether it's a build - out of renewables, as Joe Romm would like, or much more R. and D., as I would like, it's just going to be really hard to sustain that.
The value of doing this is clear: «Experts say that
if we bought $ 50 to $ 200 billion worth of solar panels over the next 10 — 20 years, the
price of solar could come to down to the
price of
natural gas and even coal, not just in the U.S. but even in developing countries like China, where coal is especially cheap.»
But
if natural gas continues growing at the pace it has, the
price will keep falling and coal power will lose even more market share and clout in Washington.
As I've explained, there are in effect many buyers and many sellers in CO2E
pricing, even
if there is a government - enforced standard of delivering equal share equitably to all sellers per capita as there are different carbon intensities of essentially the same energy: electricity need not be produced from fossil fuels, and where it is, the fossil fuels may be less carbon intensive
natural gas, or enriched through geothermal or solar hydrotreating to become less carbon intensive, or the CO2 emissions can be directly sequestered or used in coproduction to reduce net influx of CO2.
If there can be a
price floor and ceiling for
natural gas and an offset for bio-SNG it might work.
If these actions lowered
prices sufficiently one could even conceive of making the US the new Saudi Arabia of oil,
natural gas, and coal.
If I felt the
natural gas reserves had legs at reasonable
prices I wouldn't be so cautious.
If the
natural gas is in such high demand in winter and utilities had to pay really high
prices for
natural gas, why does Kinder Morgan need rate payer to pay in advance really high
prices when some competitor might offer an alternative?
If price projections for coal, oil,
natural gas, wind and solar are approximately correct, the market will make a transition in that time frame following what is disparagingly called «business as usual».
Natural gas is still so cheap that solar has trouble competing with existing plants, but when it comes to new
gas plants, solar is getting within striking distance, especially
if gas prices rise more than forecasted.
Even
if switching to
natural gas in the short term reduces the US carbon footprint somewhat, it is still not sufficient by itself to put the US on an emissions reduction pathway consistent with its ethical obligations without other policy interventions including putting a
price on carbon or rapid ramp up of renewable energy.
I can also forward my slides which have attached spreadsheets where it was necessary to calculate graphed values directly from the EIA data (such as the ratio of oil
prices to
natural gas prices)
if you'll just add a request for them.
However, for new plant construction I believe that
if the problem of
natural gas price spikes can be mitigated, the market will choose
gas over coal.
If accident tolerant fuels prove successful, the cost of operating nuclear plants could decline by as much as 30 percent, making nuclear energy instantly competitive even with rock - bottom
natural gas prices.
Again, states have plenty of leeway on how to reduce emissions: they can switch from coal to
natural gas, expand renewables or nuclear, boost energy efficiency, enact carbon
pricing... And
if states refuse to submit a plan, the EPA will impose its own federal plan, which could involve some sort of cap - and - trade program.
If, however, coal with CCS has to compete with
gas with CCS then the situation is more balanced, particularly in markets such as China where the capital costs for coal power plants and coal
prices are relatively low compared to
natural gas.
Shale
gas companies, in fact, try to illustrate how they've benefited consumers by pointing to how the
price of
natural gas on the New York commodities market began to take a sharply divergent path from the
price of oil in 2005
if the
prices are compared by heating value.
A plant may retire
if higher coal
prices, lower wholesale electricity
prices (often tied to
natural gas prices), or reduced utilization make investment in equipment like scrubbers uneconomical.
These state - level initiatives, along with fluctuations in the supply and demand of
natural gas and oil, may also lead to electricity
price increases in the future — although it is worth noting these increases would be less significant than
if the CPP is implemented.
Mark my words,
natural gas prices will shoot up
if that happens, even though the US has abundant sources of it.