I'm very curious to see if this line falls below Washington -2.5, and if it does,
if sharper bettors will quickly pounce on the home side.
Not exact matches
Bettors lose value taking the Spurs +9,
if sharp money took the Spurs +10.
As it gets closer to game time, we'll see
if there are some
sharp bettors looking to «buy back» on the other side.
It will be intriguing to see how
sharp bettors feel about USC this week, as there may be some value on Cal
if they get up to +7.
While the current data shows that
sharp and public
bettors are lining up on different sides, there's still plenty of time for that to change, especially
if this line gets to Philadelphia +3 and inspires buyback as limits continue to increase.
If Alabama wins the opener, however, their chances of the NCAAF title will only get better, so
sharp bettors are getting a better price now.
It's also worth noting that oddsmakers respect the opinion of their
sharpest bettors, and won't adjust based on public money
if those
sharps have taken a side.
Sharper bettors may be waiting to pounce on Miami +3.5 and +4 again
if they reach that threshold.
It's tough to say exactly why
bettors have made their bets, but it appears as
if there has been some
sharp action on Minnesota given the line movement and betting percentages.
If there's no buyback from
sharp bettors, oddsmakers will continue to move the line to encourage action on the underdog.
Early
bettors are all over Green Bay with 86 % of spread bets and it would be difficult to envision this line dropping back below -3 since
sharps will likely come back in and bet Green Bay at -2.5
if it does.
That's especially true
if it's a heavily bet game (i.e. Spurs vs. Warriors), or
if there's not enough buyback from
sharp bettors on the other side.
If books don't receive enough action from their
sharp bettors, those lines will continue to balloon.
We'd expect the public to continue to take Wichita St but for
sharp bettors to come back on Vanderbilt
if the line rises.
Sharp bettors have correctly backed the Falcons in consecutive weeks, and books know they'll take more sharp money if they adjust the spread to
Sharp bettors have correctly backed the Falcons in consecutive weeks, and books know they'll take more
sharp money if they adjust the spread to
sharp money
if they adjust the spread to 3.5.
You could have nine
bettors bet $ 100 on Duke but
if one
sharp bettor lays $ 2000 on North Carolina, the sportsbook would have $ 1100 of liability
if North Carolina wins.
Although many fans may be anxious to see Goff's debut,
sharp bettors clearly believe this move represents a downgrade — even
if it's in the best long - term interests of the franchise.
We encourage all Sportsbook Insider subscribers to continue monitoring the
Sharp Action report to see if Creighton continues to be a favorite play among sharp bettors closer to tip -
Sharp Action report to see
if Creighton continues to be a favorite play among
sharp bettors closer to tip -
sharp bettors closer to tip - off.
It's clear that
sharper bettors like Indiana at +7 so
if you can grab them at those odds, that's the bet to make right now.
If you're not crunching numbers on your supercomputer at home, you might find yourself wondering what sides and totals
sharp bettors are taking for these big games.
NFL lines are typically released on Sunday evening when the late games are still in play, and
sharp bettors will typically hammer those lines immediately
if there's an obvious mistake made by the oddsmakers.
Bettors lose value taking Duke -6
if sharp money took Duke -5.
Don't worry, you don't have to bet on Duke
if you don't want to, but Mark Gallant breaks down which side of this matchup has become a favorite of
sharp bettors.
When
sharp bettors aren't involved, sportsbooks will adjust their numbers
if there's a significant exposure on one side.
If we look a bit closer, it appears that some
sharper bettors are on the Cubs... or at least they were earlier.
If they move up to -7.5, then
sharp bettors will take notice on FSU.
Remember, the team names on the jerseys don't matter for
sharp bettors, only the value, even
if it means betting on a game involving some team named UNO.
They are okay
if the public loads up on one side as long as
sharps don't join in because they are able to predict who
bettors will like for each game, and set the lines accordingly.
If you don't get them right as they post,
sharp bettors will force the book to change the original line, and it will make a less advantageous situation for you.