The overall level of consistency between attribution results derived from different models (as shown in Figure 9.9), and the ability of climate models to simulate large - scale temperature changes during the 20th century (Figures 9.5 and 9.6), indicate that such model differences are likely to have a relatively small
impact on attribution results of large - scale temperature change at the surface.
«But it has no direct
impact on attribution of 20th century warming.»
Not exact matches
The immediate and most revolutionary
impact of Kant
on his philosophical successors lay in his
attribution of a creative role to the mind.
That has led at least one outspoken scientist to question whether traditional
attribution downplays the
impact people have
on the climate.
Trenberth believes many
attribution studies tend to underestimate people's
impact on the climate.
Atmospheric heatwaves can have significant
impacts on human health31 and
attribution studies have shown that these events, and atmospheric heatwaves in general, have become much more likely as a result of anthropogenic warming32.
The complexity of the new study «had a big
impact on how certain we were» that «we would be able to do a sensible analysis,» said Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, a Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute climate scientist who was involved with this and prior rapid
attribution studies.
The carbon entity data allows for the differentiation between carbon emissions, produced and marketed by each of the 90 major multi-national and state - owned coal, oil and gas companies (and their predecessors), and the total human
attribution on climate change
impacts.
This book from the Florida Climate Institute provides a thorough review of the current state of research
on Florida's climate, including physical climate benchmarks; climate prediction, projection, and
attribution; and the
impacts of climate and climate change
on the people and natural resources of Florida.
Her talk — Extreme Event
Attribution: Towards an Inventory of the Climate Change
Impacts —
on Sunday 18th February, is part of the Understanding Causality to Inform -LSB-...]
There is a simple solution to the problem of overtesting and unfair
attribution of test score: Evaluate teachers by test scores only if there is a valid test to do so — one that rigorously isolates a teacher's
impact on student growth.
I have no desire to have a «blog debate» but rather I am making the point that hurried «interpretations» of results aren't generally very accurate and that people can be in too much of a hurry to jump to conclusions about the IPCC,
attribution,
impacts on policy etc..
Back in 2008, a cottage industry sprang up to assess what
impact the Thompson et al related changes would make
on the surface air temperature anomalies and trends — with estimates ranging from complete abandonment of the main IPCC finding
on attribution to, well, not very much.
It doesn't have any influence
on the
attribution of current climate changes to human forcings, it doesn't
impact the radiative properties of CO2, so really, why do you care so much that you are willing to just make up stuff?
We recently published a paper exploring the
impact of observational uncertainty
on an
attribution analysis.
Kerry Emanuel and I do point out in our piece that past work indicates that the AMO is unlikely to project substantially onto tropical Atlantic SST, and that the
attribution of recent trends in tropical Atlantic SST to the AMO is indeed probably an artifact of the
impact on the tropical Atlantic of competing anthropogenic forcings.
The non-AMO «regressors» (SolVolENSO) show little response within the MLR (which will
impact on the implied climate sensitivity) and, unlike F&R (2011), their
attribution of these «regressors» accounts for very little of the HadCRUT signal.
The fact that certain analytical conclusions about observed climate change,
attribution to human causes, in particular the energy system and deforestation, projected greater climate change in the future, observed
impacts of climate change
on natural and human systems, and projected very disruptive consequences in the future given our current trajectory, is not due to «group think» but rather to a generally shared analysis based
on evidence.
These
attribution calculations depend
on climate models because we can not measure the
impact each forcing agent has
on temperature alone.
However, from the perspective policymaking
on adaptation, it may be helpful in future to develop much more specific
attribution capacity in the science for the obvious reason that as part of the overall development of better forecasting of regional
impacts / events, it improves specific risk planning and claims for aid.
Hi Ed, I don't know if POGA - C includes volcanoes (I suspect not); the main implication for
attribution is the large amplitude
impact of internal variability
on the global surface temperatures.
To provide members of the public with the opportunity to contribute directly to research
on climate change in a vulnerable region and demonstrate the power of an evidence - based approach to climate
impact attribution.
My continued participation in the climate conversation is focused
on attribution, adaptation and
impacts — and the nature of the debate itself.
Dr Peter Stott, who leads the Climate Monitoring and
Attribution team at the Met Office and wasn't involved in the paper, says we shouldn't admit defeat and ignore the
impacts of climate change
on circulation patterns.
To extend the reach of and scope of our World Weather
Attribution project we are engaging in a new project with CDKN: Raising Risk Awareness — Using climate science to inform post disaster Policy & practice in developing countries Today we understand the
impact of human activities
on global mean temperature very well; however, high -
impact -LSB-...]
Other honourable mentions in the Carbon Brief survey of most influential climate papers go to Norman Phillips, whose 1956 paper described the first general circulation model, William Nordhaus's 1991 paperon the economics of the greenhouse effect, and a paper by Camile Parmesan and Gary Yohe in 2003, considered by many to provide the first formal
attribution of climate change
impacts on animal and plant species.
It looks to me like the data themselves are an improvement, but the interpretation of what they mean are doubtful, in particular regarding a) the UHI
impact on the record and b) the
attribution of the observed warming to GHG emissions.
The carbon entity data allows for the differentiation between carbon emissions, produced and marketed by each of the 90 major multi-national and state - owned coal, oil and gas companies (and their predecessors), and the total human
attribution on climate change
impacts.
Sceptics» work has directly and indirectly resulted in more reflection, by scientists, within and without the IPCC process
on issues such as detection and
attribution, and estimation of
impacts.
Whereas detection of OA by anthropogenic CO2 has been achieved in open - ocean time series, we contend that it has not yet been achieved reliably in coastal ecosystems and that
attribution of observed changes in vulnerable organisms to OA has been confounded in the past by failure to acknowledge the different components of anthropogenic
impacts on pH possibly involved.
More recently,
attribution of forcings have been made via specific emissions (which may have
impacts on multiple atmospheric components) or by processes (such as deforestation) that
impact multiple terms at once (e.g., Shindell et al., 2009).
some of this political statements may be reasonable proxies for a scientist's position
on the relative role of GHGs (e.g., the 2008 Manhattan Declaration) while others (e.g. the 1992 SePP Statement and the 1995 Leipzig Declaration) are decidely poor proxies, both because of the great amount of time between these statements and the 2007 AR4 report and because neither addresses
attribution in any meaningful way but rather objects to the assumption of «catastrophic»
impacts from the ongoing warming.
The latter would fit the accompanying example but, like the example itself, would say nothing at all about human
attribution; and while you can torture some sense into the former — «explicitly state that humans have had little
impact on global warming» or perhaps «explicitly pooh - pooh the claimed scale of human inputs to global warming» — you'd leave the example out in the cold.
In addition to a deep - dive
on the
impact of U.S. tax reform, we'll also address the OECD's work
on financial transactions, key developments in taxation of the digital economy and expert insights and analysis
on key transfer pricing issues including BEPS, country - by country reporting,
attribution of profits to PE's, APA's, the MLI and more.
Given that the
impact which material placed online is liable to have
on an individual's personality rights might best be assessed by the court of the place where the alleged victim has his centre of interests, the
attribution of jurisdiction to that court corresponds to the objective of the sound administration of justice, referred to in paragraph 40 above.
Geographic Information System Analyst — Duties & Responsibilities Serve as geographic system analyst responsible for major nationwide mapping and assessment projects Recruit, train, and direct junior team members ensuring they understand the brand and corporate protocols Set and strictly adhere to departmental and project budgets and schedules Maintain comprehensive records detailing project schedules, geographic information, and other pertinent data Consistently meet and exceed company goals through strong managerial skills Complete all phases of cartographic mapping and database management
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