C - ROADS C - ROADS is an award - winning computer simulation that helps people understand the long - term climate
impacts of policy scenarios to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
Not exact matches
Comparing different
policy scenarios to reduce the consumption
of ultra-processed foods in UK:
impact on cardiovascular disease mortality using a modelling approach
The role
of the Climate Change Commission is to gather the latest science and information on climate change
impacts to Hawai`i and provide advice and recommendations to the mayor, City Council, and executive departments as they look to draft
policy and engage in planning for future climate
scenarios.
The Canadian Centre for
Policy Alternatives says it looked at the potential
impact of income splitting in three
scenarios: on pensions, for those families with children under 18 and for all families across the board.
The model explores short - term
scenarios of policy decisions by simulating social - economical - environmental systems, including the
impact of climate - induced drought on crop failures and food prices.
The latest relevant ABARE publication («Economic
impact of climate change
policy», ABARE Research Report 06 - 7) says that global CO2 emissions in its reference case closely follow those under the IPCC's A2
scenario to 2030 and that the latter
scenario assumes a decline in economic growth after that year (pps.
(2007) • Contribution
of Renewables to Energy Security (2007) • Modelling Investment Risks and Uncertainties with Real Options Approach (2007) • Financing Energy Efficient Homes Existing
Policy Responses to Financial Barriers (2007) • CO2 Allowance and Electricity Price Interaction -
Impact on Industry's Electricity Purchasing Strategies in Europe (2007) • CO2 Capture Ready Plants (2007) • Fuel - Efficient Road Vehicle Non-Engine Components (2007) •
Impact of Climate Change
Policy Uncertainty on Power Generation Investments (2006) • Raising the Profile
of Energy Efficiency in China — Case Study
of Standby Power Efficiency (2006) • Barriers to the Diffusion
of Solar Thermal Technologies (2006) • Barriers to Technology Diffusion: The Case
of Compact Fluorescent Lamps (2006) • Certainty versus Ambition — Economic Efficiency in Mitigating Climate Change (2006) • Sectoral Crediting Mechanisms for Greenhouse Gas Mitigation: Institutional and Operational Issues (2006) • Sectoral Approaches to GHG Mitigation:
Scenarios for Integration (2006) • Energy Efficiency in the Refurbishment
of High - Rise Residential Buildings (2006) • Can Energy - Efficient Electrical Appliances Be Considered «Environmental Goods»?
10:30 a.m. Panel II:
Scenarios and implications: the
impact of potential outcomes David Hunter, US Director, International Emissions Trading Association (moderator) Rob Brenner, Senior Fellow, Nicholas Institute, Duke University; Former EPA Director
of the Office
of Policy Analysis and Review at the Office
of Air and Radiation (invited) William Brownell, Partner, Hunton and Williams Megan Ceronsky, Attorney, Environmental Defense Fund Kyle Danish, Member, Van Ness Feldman
Scenarios represent many
of the major driving forces - including processes,
impacts (physical, ecological, and socioeconomic), and potential responses that are important for informing climate change
policy.
As described in section 1, evaluating climate change
impacts on society and the consequences
of alternative
policy approaches are key goals
of the
scenario framework.
But the
impact on the coal industry is effectively doubled, because under the current
policy scenario under which much
of the industry is making its investment, coal prices would be «significantly» higher, the IEA says, because
of increased demand.
The energy trends envisioned in the New
Policies Scenario imply that national commitments to reduce greenhouse - gas emissions, while expected to have some
impact, are collectively inadequate to meet the Copenhagen Accord's overall goal
of holding the global temperature increase to below 2 °C.
However, an updated and limited set
of scenarios that are credible from both a science and a
policy perspective, and yet diverse enough to capture key differences among potential deployment strategies will be essential for guiding these
impact assessments.
They merely compare the economic
impact of the climate
policy to a BAU
scenario where climate change does not
impact the economy.
To summarize, most
of these economic analyses agree that a carbon pricing
policy will reduce U.S. GDP - growth by less than 1 % over the next 10 — 40 years as compared to an unrealistically optimistic BAU
scenario in which climate change does not
impact the economy.
The ALP may have been over-emphatic in distancing itself from these numbers; but it would be a reasonable presumption that the modelling should be re-done to assess
impacts of changed
policy settings (revised
scenarios) using new data (revised assumptions).
Forward - looking
scenario analysis, focusing on macro - and micro-economic
impacts of energy efficiency
policy options,
None
of these
scenarios account for the
impact of policy on climate change.
As a result, the likely outcome
of the report's release will be more
of the same: a welter
of scary
scenarios, followed by politicians promising huge carbon cuts and expensive
policies that have virtually no
impact on climate change.
Second, there is an increasing interest in
scenarios that explicitly explore the
impact of different climate
policies in addition to the no - climate -
policy scenarios explored so far (e.g. SRES).
For example, distinctions can be made between
scenario needs for research in climate
scenario development and in the methods
of conducting
impact assessment (e.g., Woo, 1992; Mearns et al., 1997) and
scenario needs for direct application in
policy relevant
impact and integrated assessments (e.g., Carter et al., 1996a; Smith et al., 1996; Hulme and Jenkins, 1998).
In this report, ACEEE used its state -
of - the - art «DEEPER» energy
policy model to examine the economic
impacts of three cap - and - trade
policy scenarios designed to meet goals for reducing carbon emissions.
While DECC predict that climate change and energy
policies will cause gas prices to go up by 18 % and electricity prices by 33 % by 2020, they estimate (as
of July 2010) that because
of reductions in energy use «compared to the counterfactual
scenario in which climate change and energy
policies do not have an
impact on energy bills, on average, domestic energy bills will be 1 % higher in 2020.»
We recommend that the new
scenarios be used not only in the IPCC's future assessments
of climate change, its
impacts, and adaptation and mitigation options, but also as the basis for analyses by the wider research and
policy community
of climate change and other environmental problems.
Among other positions, Prof. Dr. Nakicenovic is Member
of the United Nations Secretary General High - Level Technical Group on Sustainable for Energy for All Initiative; Member
of the Advisory Council
of the German Government on Global Change (WBGU); Member
of the International Council for Science (ICSU) Committee on Scientific Planning and Review; Co-Chair, Scientific Steering Committee
of the Global Carbon Project (GCP); Member
of the Board, Climate Change Centre Austria (CCCA); Member
of the Working Group
of the Austrian Panel on Climate Change (AG - APCC); Member
of the Panel on Socioeconomic
Scenarios for Climate Change
Impact and Response Assessments; Member
of the Renewable Energy
Policy Network for the 21st Century (REN21) Steering Committee; Member
of the International Advisory Board
of the Helmholtz Programme on Technology, and Member
of the Earth League.
How scientific results
impact public
policy is controlled by how much confidence the general public has in the scientific results, and this confidence can be reduced if the public believes that the scientific results consist
of «scary
scenarios» put forward by scientists primarily in order to influence public
policy.
The macroeconomic
impacts of reducing greenhouse gas emissions are small, even with our relatively aggressive
policy scenarios.
Recent analyses conducted by the Guttmacher Institute have looked at the
impact of four different
scenarios that align with many
of the specific antiabortion
policy attacks that have been proposed at the federal and state levels.