climate
impacts on decadal scale less important than population, land use and degradation (and how do you separate the four????); regions that adapt to current weather extremes and population will be better able to deal with any additional stresses from climate changes (apparently current stresses have nothing to do with climate)»
Not exact matches
The big takeaway from this study: While there is uncertainty in projections for changes in the climate indices reviewed here (especially El Niño and La Niña), this study serves to alert us to the fact that the climate
impacts that our local coastal communities face are based in large part
on changes that occur
on both a large, global
scale and over the long,
decadal term.
Another interesting question concerning a new Maunder Minimum would be the
impacts on decadal -
scale prediction, where both internal variability and changes in TSI are competitive with changing greenhouse gases.
So if there were, say, a
decadal -
scale 1 % -2 % reduction in cloud cover that allowed more SW radiation to penetrate into the ocean (as has been observed since the 1980s), do you think this would have an
impact of greater magnitude
on the heat in the oceans than a change of, say, +10 ppm (0.00001) in the atmospheric CO2 concentration?
That is precisely what I have done: Using annual sunspot number as a representative of the long term (
on the
decadal scale) solar magnetic field
impact and small variable component of the Earth's magnetic field, as calculated from data by Jackson and Bloxam.
The platform will complement existing GMES / Copernicus pre-operational components, but will focus
on datasets which provide information
on climate variability
on decadal to centennial time
scales from observed and projected climate change
impacts in Europe, and will provide a toolbox to generate, compare and rank key indicators.
Wu, Lee, and Liu (2005) said: «The 1970s North Pacific climate regime shift is marked by a notable transition from the persistent warming (cooling) condition over the central (eastern) North Pacific since the late 1960s toward the opposite condition around the mid 1970s... This large -
scale decadal climatic regime shift has produced far - reaching
impacts on both the physical and biological environment over the North Pacific and downstream over North America.»
This paper reviews advances made during the last decade to better understand the
impact of global SST variability
on West African rainfall at interannual to
decadal time
scales.
You may think these are unimportant at the
decadal scale, but this is exactly the topic of Cohn and Lins paper, and, getting back
on topic, the Tsonis paper — these larger
scale variations have a huge
impact on how we perceive climate in the 20th century, particularly in the interpretation of trends.
Within the confines of our work with RASM and CESM, we will: (i) quantify the added value of using regional models for downscaling arctic simulations from global models, (ii) address the
impacts of high resolution, improved process representations and coupling between model components
on predictions at seasonal to
decadal time
scales, (iii) identify the most important processes essential for inclusion in future high resolution GC / ESMs, e.g. ACME, using CESM as a test bed, and (iv) better quantify the relationship between skill and uncertainty in the Arctic Region for high fidelity models.
Di Lorenzo et al. (2010) presents evidence of the unique
impacts of Central Pacific (CPAC) El Niño events (i.e., El Niño episodes when the warmest waters are located in the central tropical Pacific)
on the Northern Hemisphere atmospheric and oceanic circulation
on interannual and
decadal time
scales.
Research has identified several design principles for creating effective interventions to achieve RAER from the highest -
impact household behaviors that occur
on a
decadal time
scale (e.g. upgrading heating equipment, choosing a fuel - efficient vehicle, installing solar panels).
The CET data for the period indicate a distinct climate shift of some 0.35 degrees centigrade
on a 50 year basis, but rather more
on a
decadal basis, so that well documented era can usefully be our benchmark for temperature comparisons, whilst demonstrating the usefulness of a
decadal time
scale in determining a change in the climate that is «noticeable» and has an
impact on humans and nature.
But stratospheric water vapor variations apparently do have a sizeable
impact on decadal -
scale trends.
It would seem that use of the 100 year factor linearizes a highly nonlinear process in a way that significantly underestimates the
impact of a CH4 release
on decadal time
scales.
It seems there are
on the millennial
scale sometimes events of great
impact on the Arctic, but
decadal and centennial appears probably overstated.