Sentences with phrase «implied odds»

The implied odds suggest the Tar Heels win their 6th title 54.3 % of the time.

In fact the team has nearly a third of all the losses (11 out of 36) in baseball of teams that were favored by -200 or greater odds (the implied odds suggest these favorites should win 66.7 % of the time or more).

The implied odds suggest -LSB-...]

The implied odds suggest that the Gators have a 88.2 % chance to win.

Bettors have an advantage over their sportsbook when the actual probability of an event occurring is higher than the implied odds (or implied probability).

By comparing these probabilities with the implied odds for each team to win the national championship, I'm able to determine which futures are offering a positive expected value.

Though Rodgers trails Tom Brady in several statistical categories, his big drive in Dallas against a formidable opponent has helped improve his implied odds by 15 %.

By comparing these probabilities with the implied odds for each team to win the national championship, I'm able to determine which futures are the smartest bets.

Our bracket simulator gives Saint Mary's a 0.9 % probability to win the national championship, which translates to implied odds of roughly +11,000.

The Chiefs» implied odds rose the most of anyone in the league following their win in Houston, while the Steelers» implied odds fell the most after their dismal performance against the Jaguars.

Alex Smith has also taken a huge jump, moving from 16/1 to 6/1 — close to a 9 % jump in implied odds.

Our simulations give the Cyclones a 45.4 % probability of advancing to the Sweet 16, which equates to implied odds of +120.

Based on our earlier findings and the current spread juice, the current implied odds are suggesting Atlanta will cover 46.85 % of the time, New England will cover 44.53 % of the time, and the game will push 8.62 % of the time.

By comparing these probabilities with the implied odds for each team to win the national championship, I was able to determine which college basketball futures were offering a positive expected value.

The Chiefs, who initially had moved to 14/1 the morning after their victory, end up settling in at 16/1 — a 2.65 % uptick in implied odds.

We then compared these probabilities with the implied odds for each team to win the national championship in order to determine which college basketball futures were offering value.

It's worth noting that these implied odds add up to 120 % in each division, meaning that Bovada is currently charging a 20 - cent juice (a very respectable figure for such an early prop bet).

Since yesterday the implied odds have jumped from 58.3 % to 72.6 % -LRB--140 to -265 at BetOnline)-- SportsInsights.com (@SportsInsights) May 8, 2014

It's worth noting that we used closing lines from Pinnacle and that our implied odds account for juice, meaning that the actual probability for all of these figures would be slightly higher.

That probability works out to implied odds of -900.

Using our bracket simulator tool, we also found that Duke would beat North Carolina in 46.9 % of their matchups on a neutral court, which translates to implied odds of +113.

The Patriots did not look good at all in their season debut and their implied odds to win the Super Bowl have taken the biggest hit.

That move would correspond with nearly a 20 % swing in implied odds.

By converting implied odds into percentages,...

Based on the discrepancies between FiveThirtyEight's implied odds and the current odds at Bovada, these were the four best group winner bets based on value:

Even if Mike Trout sits a game out, the line movement would only correspond with a 1 - 2 % swing in implied odds.

The list below compares the current 5Dimes futures with our estimation for their implied odds.

We then compared these probabilities with the implied odds for each team to win the national championship in order to determine which College Basketball futures were offering value.

This game opened with Cleveland as a -190 favorite at Bookmaker, but the line has since moved to -201, suggesting that the Indians have essentially a 2/3 chance of winning based off implied odds.

Based on these implied odds, there is a 1.25 % chance that the Pats will go 16 - 0.

I've gone ahead and looked at the spreads posted at 5Dimes for Weeks 2 to 17 (except when noted) and assigned each one a typical moneyline for that number, as well as the corresponding implied odds.

Even if they become an unstoppable wagon and their odds become more inflated after each victory, the implied odds wouldn't be close to the 11.76 % suggested by 5Dimes» prop.

The three guards behind Westbrook also saw their odds improve, with Steph Curry making the biggest jump from +250 to +135 (14 % higher implied odds).

Note: The implied odds do not account for juice.

At -300, the implied odds of LeBron James remaining with the Cavs are 75 % and I believe those odds should be much higher.

The table is sorted by change in percentage, meaning the teams that saw their implied odds increase the most are at the top.

This line move of -131 to -107 corresponds with an implied odds drop of over five percent.

For what it's worth, our bracket simulator only gives Florida Gulf Coast an 8.8 % probability of winning this game, which equates to implied odds of +1036.

In the past 15 minutes LeBron's odds of signing with the #Cavs have dropped from -560 to -320 — implied odds of 76.2 %.

In fact, if you add up the implied odds at Bovada you'll get 130 % which is equal to a fairly high 30 - cent juice.

This doesn't necessarily mean to bet on every team whose odds from FiveThirtyEight are higher than the implied odds, but it's a great reference point to use and shows how important it is to shop for the best line.

Based on the implied odds and FiveThirtyEight.com's odds, here are some teams that may have some value to progress:

With their move from 9/1 to 6/1, the Chiefs» Super Bowl implied odds rose by 4.29 % — most of any team this week.

The Capitals may not be offering value, but by comparing Luszczyszyn's probabilities with the implied odds for each team to win the championship, I was able to determine which Stanley Cup futures were offering a positive expected value.

That probability equates to implied odds of +101, meaning there might be slight value taking the underdog on the moneyline.

By converting implied odds into percentages, I calculated the odds of each team to end up in each of the possible playoff spots.

The market - implied odds of a December rate increase have slid to less than 50 percent, versus as high as 80 percent last month, according to overnight index swap data compiled by Bloomberg, fueled by a slew of weak data prints.

Important: this is a delayed but not derailed story: after the April 15th statement and Monetary Policy Report come out, implied odds of the overnight rate being at 0.75 % are ~ 30 % (when I left the Bloomie)-- 20 % odds of it being at 0.25 %.

We went from > 80 % implied odds of rate cut next week in overnight index swaps to just above 40 % in about an hour.

The move in implied odds of a rate cut for the upcoming meeting was... well, I'm not sure, but would be willing to bet it's one of the biggest ever (excluding days on which rate decisions have been made).