Not exact matches
In other words, if cash historically returned about 1 % a year, then an equity
risk premium of +4 % would
imply an
average return from equities of 5 %.
As a factual matter, on
average, the universe of
risk assets has become more expensive over time, and
implied future returns have come down.
Expected volatilities are based on a blend of historical and
implied volatilities of our common stock; the expected life represents the weighted
average period of time that options granted are expected to be outstanding giving consideration to vesting schedules and our historical exercise patterns; and the
risk - free rate is based on the U.S. Treasury yield curve in effect at the time of grant for periods corresponding with the expected life of the option.
The analysis concludes that even a less ambitious climate goal, like a 3 °C rise in
average global temperature or more, which would pose significantly greater
risks for our society and economy, would still
imply significant constraints on our use of fossil fuel reserves between now and 2050.
This
implies that at some point within the next decade, there is the
risk that the intensity of North Atlantic hurricanes could increase rapidly to the global
average (with possibly a concurrent decrease in another ocean basin).