«While
important scientific uncertainties remain as to which particular impacts will be experienced where,» the statement reads, «no uncertainties are known that could make the impacts of climate change inconsequential.»
Sometimes on Realclimate we discuss
important scientific uncertainties, and sometimes we try and clarify some subtle point or context, but at other times, we have a little fun in pointing out some of the absurdities that occasionally pass for serious «science» on the web and in the media.
Not exact matches
First of all it's
important to note that while there will always be
uncertainties associated with any area of
scientific research, we have learned a lot about how the Earth's climate functions.
Post-normal science seems to seek some reason to justify hiding or ignoring «
scientific uncertainty» instead of accepting that the
uncertainty on a number is as
important as the number itself.
That makes resolving
scientific uncertainties all the more
important.
Those
scientific uncertainties exist even with the acceptance of «indisputable» facts, as scientists seem to interpret those facts differently based on competing theories and differing views of what are the most
important facts.
Important ethical issues entailed by decision - making in the face of
scientific uncertainty will remain hidden including: (a) Who should have the burden of proof?
Guidance developed by Moss and Schneider (2000) for the IPCC on dealing with
uncertainty describes two key attributes that they argue are
important in any judgment about climate change: the amount of evidence available to support the judgment being made and the degree of consensus within the
scientific community about that judgment.
For me, personally, as a general principle it is
important to try to quantify
uncertainty when discussing
scientific conclusions.
Scientific uncertainty and disagreement, along with other factors such as the complexity of the issues, inefficient decision - making processes, and the influence of industry stakeholders, combine to delay
important agency decisions.