Developed countries need to get serious about the need to
improve predictability of climate finance and put new commitments to real money on the table by COP24, including for adaptation and for the Green Climate Fund.
Not exact matches
Gabriel Vecchi, head
of the
climate variations and
predictability group at NOAA's Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Lab and another author on the paper, says decades
of weather prediction data show that forecasts have
improved — and will
improve — as scientists learn more about hurricanes.
The source
of this
improved predictability is based on a combination
of factors, including tropical
climate variability, global
climate change and the natural filtering effects
of soils.
There are some source
of predictability that are still not fully resolved (including those dealing with
improving climate models, but also related to unexplored initial conditions or driving conditions), and a great benefit
of these
predictability studies is that they mimic the practice
of weather prediction by confronting models with observations at the relevant time and spatial scales, leading to the necessary inspiration for this model improvement.
Building on previous efforts, this three - day workshop will use the outcomes to guide synthesis efforts, coordinate on - going research to fill out key gaps, and provide specific recommendations for accelerating scientific progress — with the aim to
improve our understanding and
predictability of 1) high - to mid-latitude
climate variability on subseasonal - to - seasonal and on interannual - to - decadal timescales and 2)
climate extremes.
Understanding the magnitude and phasing
of the ENSO - CO2 relationship has important implications for
improving the
predictability of carbon -
climate feedbacks.
Coordinate US CLIVAR efforts to communicate with operational and decision - making communities on
improved understanding
of ocean and
climate phenomena and
predictability and on implementation
of this understanding in their activities.
The
Predictability, Predictions, and Applications Interface (PPAI) Panel's mission is to foster
improved practices in the provision, validation and uses
of climate information and forecasts through coordinated participation within the US and international
climate science and applications communities.