Sentences with phrase «in climate projections with»

Not exact matches

Published this week in Nature Climate Change, the initial study finds that embankments constructed since the 1960s are primarily to blame for lower land elevations along the Ganges - Brahmaputra River Delta, with some areas experiencing more than twice the rate of the most worrisome sea - level rise projections from the United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

The researchers then used a mathematical model that combined the conflict data with temperature and rainfall projections through 2050 to come up with predictions about the likelihood of climate - related violence in the future.

According to Irving Mintzer, a senior associate with the Energy and Climate Project of the World Resources Institute in Washington, there is another reason to be leery of projections for regional agricultural benefits.

«Any soil moisture increases consistent with climate model projections are expected to increase soil respiration in both vegetation types.

On March 31 Muller testified in front of Congress and confirmed what mainstream climate scientists had been saying: Earth is warming in line with the projections of climate models.

With this study we could show that small changes in one area can have large impacts in remote places, something that should be considered in future assessments of climate projections.»

The trends driven by earlier snowmelt are likely to as they are «are very much in line with the projections of future climate» from climate models, study co-author Berit Arheimer of the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute said.

«This quantitative attribution of human and natural climate influences on the IPWP expansion increases our confidence in the understanding of the causes of past changes as well as for projections of future changes under further greenhouse warming,» commented Seung - Ki Min, a professor with POSTECH's School of Environmental Science and Engineering.

Emerging evidence for variability in the coral calcification response to acidification, geographical variation in bleaching susceptibility and recovery, responses to past climate change, and potential rates of adaptation to rapid warming supports an alternative scenario in which reef degradation occurs with greater temporal and spatial heterogeneity than current projections suggest.

You May Also Like Toledo's Algae Bloom in Line with Climate Projections Has Your City Reached its Peak Heat Yet?

Decisions made today are made in the context of confident projections of future warming with continued emissions, but clearly there is more to do to better characterize the human and economic consequences of delaying action on climate change and how to frame these issues in the context of other concerns.

With no insight into how climate projections are judged, the public could take away from situations such as the IPCC's uncertain conclusion about Antarctica in 2007 that the problems of climate change are inconsequential or that scientists do not know enough to justify the effort (and possible expense) of a public - policy response, he said.

Throughout its climate modeling phase, Exxon researchers, like outside scientists, grappled with the uncertainties inherent in climate model projections.

An overall objective, aside from the desire to assess alternative means to combine human social system models with climate models, is to provide a rational basis to determine whether human risk perception and associated changes in behaviors can significantly affect climate projections.

«Many of California's water managers are now working with projections of a one foot rise by mid-century and a three to four foot rise by 2100, slightly above the levels projected in the higher emissions scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)...»

Having better economic models should increase confidence in projections of the effects of various policies, and greatly improve communication with climate modelers.

Consequently, in the chapter that follows we emphasize and place higher confidence in projections that are consistent with current climate trends and supported by agricultural data.

Climate model projections show a warmer Montana in the future, with mixed changes in precipitation, more extreme events, and mixed certainty on upcoming drought.

Our older projections, which were developed to be consistent with some key findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)'s Fifth Assessment Report, assumed a steady increase in the rate of ice - sheet shrinkage.

As we discussed recently in connection with climate «forecasting `, the kinds of simulations used in AR4 are all «projections» i.e. runs that attempt to estimate the forced response of the climate to emission changes, but that don't attempt to estimate the trajectory of the unforced «weather».

Scientists are using airborne observations of atmospheric trace gases, aerosols, and cloud properties from the North Slopes of Alaska to improve their understanding of global climate, with the goal of reducing the uncertainty in global and regional climate simulations and projections.

James Screen, a climate researcher at the University of Exeter, said in an email that while the findings are consistent with model projections and look more robust than the studies linking warming to the larger fluctuations of the jet stream, «I'd be cautious pinning the blame on Arctic warming.»

Combining the Climate Impact Lab sectoral models with probabilistic climate projections allows for quantitative risk analysis in the covered sClimate Impact Lab sectoral models with probabilistic climate projections allows for quantitative risk analysis in the covered sclimate projections allows for quantitative risk analysis in the covered sectors.

Reversing camera with guidance lines, Storage Package,Rain - sensing windscreen wipers, Rear armrest, Tyre pressure monitoring system, Rear seat fore / aft adjustment, Automatic climate control, Headlamps - projection beam, Vehicle freight packaging without tie - down loops, Technical modifications (06), 20.3 cm (8 - inch) TFT display, Heated windscreen washer system, Storage compartment under drivers seats, Storage compartment under passenger seat,Easy - Pack load - securing kit, Technical preparation for the use of Live Traffic Information, DYNAMIC SELECT, 17 5 - spoke light - alloy wheels, Tyres with optimised rolling resistance, 12 V Socket in luggage compartment,

Her current work, WATERSHED is a public art projection dealing with Climate Change that will be projected on the face of the National Theater on the Thames as part of the Totally Thames Festival in September 2015.

We have also done experiments with PIOMAS in a climate projection mode by scaling atmospheric forcing data from a reanalysis to 2xC02 projections from the CMIP3 models (Zhang et al. 2010).

(in general, whether for future projections or historical reconstructions or estimates of climate sensitivity, I tend to be sympathetic to arguments of more rather than less uncertainty because I feel like in general, models and statistical approaches are not exhaustive and it is «plausible» that additional factors could lead to either higher or lower estimates than seen with a single approach.

Does this prediction and the confidence with which it is made «The quasi-regularity of some natural climate forcing mechanisms, combined with knowledge of human - made forcings, allows projection of near - term global temperature trends with reasonably high confidence», reflect the consensus of climate scientists, in your opinion?

Global climate model projections (in CMIP3 at least) appear to underestimate sea ice extent losses with respect to observations, though this is not universally true for all models and some of them actually have ensemble spreads that are compatible with PIOMAS ice volume estimates and satellite observations of sea ice extent.

There are many current attempts to improve the short - term predictability in climate models in line with the best weather models, though it is unclear what impact that will have on projections.

Well, it is a very ambitions and painstaking project which has managed to bring together all the aforementioned modeling groups which run specified model experiments with very similar forcings and then performed coordinated diagnostic analyses to evaluate these model simulations and determine the uncertainty in the future climate projections in their models.

This data product will be useful in future studies, including as a benchmark for comparisons with climate - model simulations that attempt to account for both anthropogenic and natural factors in projections of future climate.

Regardless of what we think about D - O events, I am in complete agreement with Stefan that there is no evidence of any kind at present that the present climate suffers any kind of initial - condition sensitivity that would compromise the value of projections of response of statistical quantities to increases in GHG's.

Those projections are detailed in Zhang et al, 2010 «Arctic sea ice response to atmospheric forcings with varying levels of anthropogenic warming and climate variability.»

It conveys the issues with some great examples, including looking at the challenges facing a water manager in Ghana given the deeply conflicting projections of rainfall and drying pattens generated by different climate simulations:

The new projections, published this month in the American Meteorological Society's Journal of Climate, indicate a median probability of surface warming of 5.2 degrees Celsius by 2100, with a 90 % probability range of 3.5 to 7.4 degrees.

The Times has published an article by Jonah Engel Bromwich assessing the storm's consistency with climate change projections, but also noting that the South was not among the areas identified in the 2014 National Climate Assessment as most at risk from more dowclimate change projections, but also noting that the South was not among the areas identified in the 2014 National Climate Assessment as most at risk from more dowClimate Assessment as most at risk from more downpours.

We used new satellite records of fire incidence to create fire models which we then drove with a broad range of future climate model scenarios to get a sense of where the climate projections agreed on the sign of the change in fire frequency and where they did not.

For projections of maximum expected climate change, we estimate species - level extinction across species included in the study to be 21â $ «32 % (range of the three methods) with universal dispersal, and 38â $ «52 % for no dispersal (Table 1).

In Addendum: Climate Change Impacts in the United States (pp. 26 - 28), Michaels and his colleague Chip Knappenberger discuss those studies in greater detail and also illustrate with two graphs how the IPCC AR4 warming projections should be adjusted in light of more recent climate sensitivity researcIn Addendum: Climate Change Impacts in the United States (pp. 26 - 28), Michaels and his colleague Chip Knappenberger discuss those studies in greater detail and also illustrate with two graphs how the IPCC AR4 warming projections should be adjusted in light of more recent climate sensitivity reClimate Change Impacts in the United States (pp. 26 - 28), Michaels and his colleague Chip Knappenberger discuss those studies in greater detail and also illustrate with two graphs how the IPCC AR4 warming projections should be adjusted in light of more recent climate sensitivity researcin the United States (pp. 26 - 28), Michaels and his colleague Chip Knappenberger discuss those studies in greater detail and also illustrate with two graphs how the IPCC AR4 warming projections should be adjusted in light of more recent climate sensitivity researcin greater detail and also illustrate with two graphs how the IPCC AR4 warming projections should be adjusted in light of more recent climate sensitivity researcin light of more recent climate sensitivity reclimate sensitivity research.

Dr. Judith Curry notes «The most recent climate model simulations used in the AR5 indicate that the warming stagnation since 1998 is no longer consistent with model projections even at the 2 % confidence level» This means the hypothesis upon which these models have been built is wrong and should be abandoned.

Skipjack tuna fisheries in the western Pacific warm pool will not be drastically impacted by climate change in the next 50 years, according to projections with an ocean model that divides the ocean into a high - resolution 10 km grid.

With this service, seasonal predictions, reanalyses and climate projections will be provided free of charge in the form of global and regional plots in real time.

In fact, uncertainties in how clouds change with warming are the primary source of the large spread in climate projections for the next century (Bony and Dufresne 2005; Vial et al. 2013; Brient and Schneider 2016In fact, uncertainties in how clouds change with warming are the primary source of the large spread in climate projections for the next century (Bony and Dufresne 2005; Vial et al. 2013; Brient and Schneider 2016in how clouds change with warming are the primary source of the large spread in climate projections for the next century (Bony and Dufresne 2005; Vial et al. 2013; Brient and Schneider 2016in climate projections for the next century (Bony and Dufresne 2005; Vial et al. 2013; Brient and Schneider 2016).

We want anyone with an interest in how climate projections are made and how they can be improved to be able to keep up to date with the exciting research going on under the EMBRACE project.

And further still with: «Recent research, presented at the Copenhagen climate congress in March 2009, projected sea - level rise from 75 centimetres to 190 centimetres relative to 1990, with 110 — 120 centimetres the mid-range of the projection.

This is all good news in light of Audubon's climate model projection that the species may lose 96 percent of its current summer range by 2080, with a limited chance of expansion.

• Representation of climate processes in models, especially feedbacks associated with clouds, oceans, sea ice and vegetation, in order to improve projections of rates and regional patterns of climate change.

Applying up - to - date solar PV and EV cost projections, along with climate policy effort in line with the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs), should now be the starting point for any scenario analysis.

Paleo - climate studies by Glikson and Brook (in prep) indicate sea level rise rates of well over 5 metres per 1 degree C, consistent with these projections.