A Larkin retirement could have a significant impact on the fight for control of the state Senate, where Republicans hold a thin majority and are girding for a heavy turnout of
Democrats in a presidential election year.
TiVo owners so far haven't killed the traditional 15 - or 30 - second television spot, but DVRs in significant numbers also haven't encountered the kind of blizzard of political commercials that residents of battleground states have learned to
expect in a presidential election year.
They will represent districts Democrats carried with big
margins in presidential election years — seats the newly minted Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee Chairman Ben Ray Luján will probably want back.
Republicans have a potentially bigger challenge on their hands next year, when Democrats hope to take a full
majority in a presidential election year — a cycle that traditionally has brought out more Democratic voters.
Hannon is running for re-election in a Nassau County Senate district Democrats have long coveted, especially
in presidential election years when his margins of victory are often smaller than in non-presidential cycles.
He says that traditionally, more Democrats that Republicans come out to
vote in presidential election years in New York, though he concedes the GOP has some distinct advantages.
But until polls are released suggesting otherwise, there's no reason to think Gipson will enjoy the turnout edge that Democrats typically benefit
from in presidential election years: The district contains parts of Dutchess and Putnam counties, both of which went to Bernie Sanders in the Democratic primary and overwhelmingly to Donald Trump in the GOP's contest.
After pulling 33 percent in the Democratic primary against a sitting governor just two years ago, Teachout seems a good bet to get the House nomination now — and a real threat to win even a Republican - leaning
district in a presidential election year.
The issue has become a political
flashpoint in a presidential election year, and the lawsuit by attorneys general from Nebraska, Michigan, Ohio, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Florida and Texas was certain to keep it prominent.
«I didn't try out for the Olympics,» says politically minded Albert in the firm, conservative tones of a man who believes in first things first, «because they
came in a presidential election year.»
Even if the popular governor sits on his hands this fall in the Senate, Republicans will still face tough electoral
climate in a presidential election year, in which Democratic voters tend to turn out in droves.
Goldfeder noted New York's deadline is actually closer to the first state
primary in a presidential election year: Those seeking to change their party affiliation for the September state legislative primary have to make the switch more than 11 months before heading to the polls.
Pelosi is also pointing out that if Cuomo indeed has presidential aspirations, presiding over a Democrat - dominated state that loses Democratic House
members in a presidential election year because he declined to get engaged in the House redistricting process will not play well with party insiders.
Cragg, a small business owner from Wilmington was unlikely to change the GOP's fortunes, especially
in a presidential election year with Vice President Joe Biden, a Delaware native, on the Democratic ticket.
Dadey didn't put forward a specific plan for how he would assist Flanagan is holding on to
power in a presidential election year expected to boost Democratic turnout in this Democrat - dominated state.
Now de Blasio will need Senate Republicans to back mayoral control the same year their thin - majority is once again on the
line in a presidential election year that tends to draw out more Democrats.
But between the new district lines and the Democratic enrollment
edge in a presidential election year, the Republicans are probably going to need every penny to assist members in tough general election battles, and perhaps in trying to help non-incumbents like Bob Cohen, who's making his second attempt at winning retiring Democratic Sen. Suzi Oppenheimer's seat.
But Democrats outnumber Republicans by 63,000 in the district, an enrollment advantage that could be difficult to
assail in a presidential election year that will boost turnout dramatically.
He's won every Senate race he's been in since he was first elected in 1998 by a comfortable margin, though he's never had a major party
challenger in a presidential election year, when Democrats typically perform better.
«Nothing that happens on Tuesday is a reflection of what's likely to happen a year from
now in a presidential election year, high turnout year, when there are real campaigns going on across the state in a variety of districts between the Democrats and Republicans for control of the Senate.