Sentences with phrase «in a secular bear market»
The stock market has been in a secular bear market since 2000.
investing.com
This is partly because it doesn't work well in secular bear markets, and partly because investors let their emotions cause them to make poor decisions.
I've argued now, for longer than I wish, that we are in a secular bear market driven by global imbalances.
So if you assume that the pattern holds, we are either in a secular bear market or we will get a large decline once we get a 2 % down day.
In our view we are currently in a secular bear market that began when the market peaked over 11 years ago in early 2000.
We know now that in 2007 we were still in the secular bear market that began at the turn of the millennium, but no one could have known that at the time.
Because people don't seek reassurance only one time in a secular bear market (there are always multiple price crashes in secular bears).
While Japan's market decoupled from foreign markets in the 1990s and remained mired in a secular bear market, it has shown no ability to decouple in the other direction since the 1970s (in the global bear market decade of the 1970s, it outperformed the DJIA roughly by a factor of 7.5).
But it is important to be selective in a secular bear market, so look at stocks that consistently raise their dividends, have solid balance sheets, leading market positions and a strong management team.
The bottom line is that we expect U.S. stocks to stay in the secular bear market that started in 2000 for many years to come.
As I noted in Secular Bear Markets and the Volatility of Inflation, the uncertainty brought about by large swings in inflation is often harmful to investors.
If we include the additional assumption that we are already in a secular Bear Market, then the BEAR MARKET STOCK - RETURN PREDICTOR will give more accurate predictions.
Arguing that we're in a secular bear market today implies that you can forecast the future: it's no different from predicting an imminent market crash, or at least many years of dismal returns that would erase the gains we've made since 2009.
Query whether such an all equity portfolio will perform as well in a secular bear market in equities, which I suggest to you we are in.
... The key point of this article is that relying solely on a passive strategic portfolio designed to produce near - benchmark returns in a secular bear market will do nothing but guarantee that clients will underperform long - term expectations for an extended period of time and make it likely that they will fail to achieve their financial planning goals.
The Dow was in a secular bear market from 1905 until 1921.
The author's thesis, backed by statistics and historical analysis, is that we are currently (and will be) in a secular bear market until 2017 (from the tippy - top in 2000).
NOTE: I believe that we have been in a secular Bear Market since 2000.
Our Investment Philosophy is built on the belief that we have been in a secular bear market for the past decade and it may last several more years.
They all reach the same conclusion: we are in a secular bear market.
In the secular bear market we're in, we can have earnings growth but no PE expansion meaning the companies «grow into» the new PE.
Ed Easterling makes a powerful case that we are in a secular bear market.
The main argument of the post — one that has been made many times before — is that passive investing is fine during bull markets, but it likely won't work going forward because «we are in a secular bear market that began in 2000.»
The main argument of the post — one that has been made many times before — is that passive investing is fine during bull markets, but it likely won't work going forward because «we are in a secular bear market that began -LSB-...]
If we are not in a secular Bear Market, the BEAR MARKET STOCK - RETURN PREDICTOR will be in error.
Stock prices always drop to one - half of fair value (a P / E10 value of 7 or 8) in the secular bear market that inevitably follows a secular bull.
I specified that we are in a secular Bear Market.
According to Crestmont Research — the firm that's leading the «we're in a secular bear market» refrain — there were eight prolonged trends between 1901 and 1999.
That's why it's frustrating to keep reading that we're in a secular bear market that began in 2000, most recently in the Financial Post this week.
In a secular bear market, however, employing active investment strategies like the ones discussed here, in combination with other financial planning recommendations, may be the only route by which clients can actually succeed.
I assumed that we are in a secular Bear Market.