The dollar should remain
in a secular bear market for years due to its negative fundamentals.
Our Investment Philosophy is built on the belief that we have been
in a secular bear market for the past decade and it may last several more years.
Not exact matches
I've argued now,
for longer than I wish, that we are
in a
secular bear market driven by global imbalances.
However, we are not
in the early stages of a new
secular bear market for commodities (or the ETFs which represent those commodities like XLE).
I think the
secular equity
bear market we are currently
in could continue
for several more years, thus, lower volatility dividend stocks may offer some protection while still providing equity exposure.
The bottom line is that we expect U.S. stocks to stay
in the
secular bear market that started
in 2000
for many years to come.
Some investors have known
for over a decade that we are
in a
secular bear market.
It is optimized
for mid-range valuations
in a long lasting (
secular)
Bear Market.
From a historical perspective, the 1966 through 1982
Secular Bear Market was the third one we have had since 1900 and was not overwhelming
in terms of loss, it simply meandered sideways virtually going nowhere
for 16.5 years.
Because
market technicians and economists believe we are in a «Secular Bear Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21,
market technicians and economists believe we are
in a «
Secular Bear Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21
Secular Bear Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21, 1
Bear Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21,
Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock
Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21,
Market Crash Coming
for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past
secular bear markets since December 21
secular bear markets since December 21, 1
bear markets since December 21, 1995.
Adjust your Expectations and Realize that we are probably
in the midst of a
secular bear market for stocks.
While this can be a good strategy
in a sideways or
bear market, this strategy does not work too well
for the option writer
in situations such as
secular bull
markets involving rapidly rising stock values, or catalysts such as analyst upgrades, surprising positive earnings or unanticipated positive business news etc..
We are
in a
secular bear market that started
in 2000 and may last
for many years more.
The orange trendlines (solid
for outer boundary and dotted
for the mid-point)
in the above chart ascend at approximately 7.5 % and have contained all the
market's movement since 1939 through two
Secular Bear Markets (1970 ′ s and 2000 ′ s), four wars (WWII, Korean, Viet Name and Middle - East Wars) and countless political and economic upheavals, domestic and international.
At the end of the 1966 though 1982
secular bear market the Dow Jones Industrial Average had lost over (17 %)-- it had traded
in a tight trading range
for over 16 years.
... The key point of this article is that relying solely on a passive strategic portfolio designed to produce near - benchmark returns
in a
secular bear market will do nothing but guarantee that clients will underperform long - term expectations
for an extended period of time and make it likely that they will fail to achieve their financial planning goals.
If you think we're
in a long - term,
secular bear market, with likely returns well below my 6 % example, this strategy is
for you.