Sentences with phrase «in a secular bear market in»

Query whether such an all equity portfolio will perform as well in a secular bear market in equities, which I suggest to you we are in.

Not exact matches

I've argued now, for longer than I wish, that we are in a secular bear market driven by global imbalances.

It is generally agreed on that the period without many 2 % down days in the past (the late 60's and 70's) was part of a secular bear market.

So if you assume that the pattern holds, we are either in a secular bear market or we will get a large decline once we get a 2 % down day.

If we are in fact in a long, post-Bull trading range — see our 100 - year Dow chart — than this is year ~ 5 of what could be a 10 - 15 year secular Bear market.

In response to a standing request, here is updated comparison of four major secular bear markets.

However, we are not in the early stages of a new secular bear market for commodities (or the ETFs which represent those commodities like XLE).

I think the secular equity bear market we are currently in could continue for several more years, thus, lower volatility dividend stocks may offer some protection while still providing equity exposure.

Since the Internet bubble burst in 2000, stocks have been in what is called a secular bear market.

As the secular bear market drags on, investors become more and more discouraged with their buy and hold positions and they begin to lose faith in the system, their strategy and stocks in general.

The dollar should remain in a secular bear market for years due to its negative fundamentals.

The bottom line is that we expect U.S. stocks to stay in the secular bear market that started in 2000 for many years to come.

Some investors have known for over a decade that we are in a secular bear market.

However, after enormous bailouts of the largest financial institutions in the country, as well as the auto industry, and even more monetary ease than in 2003 (accompanied by TARP, the stimulus plan, QE, and QE2); we started another cyclical bull market within the secular bear market.

The stock market has been in a secular bear market since 2000.

In contrast, the recent «bull market» (probably better viewed as an upward correction in an ongoing secular bear market) started at valuations too rich to justify an aggressive investment positioIn contrast, the recent «bull market» (probably better viewed as an upward correction in an ongoing secular bear market) started at valuations too rich to justify an aggressive investment positioin an ongoing secular bear market) started at valuations too rich to justify an aggressive investment position.

Following the topping process in 2000, a prototypical secular bear market began that continues today.

Of course we were in the midst of a secular bear market in stocks then.

The counter to that is that this is merely a cyclical bull market in the context of the secular bear market that started in 2000.

Our Investment Philosophy is built on the belief that we have been in a secular bear market for the past decade and it may last several more years.

In the introduction to the last Bull Bear Market Report, I further developed the thesis that an impulsive equities bull market began in November 2012: Most analysts continue to make the mistake of believing that a secular bull market started in March of 200In the introduction to the last Bull Bear Market Report, I further developed the thesis that an impulsive equities bull market began in November 2012: Most analysts continue to make the mistake of believing that a secular bull market started in March ofMarket Report, I further developed the thesis that an impulsive equities bull market began in November 2012: Most analysts continue to make the mistake of believing that a secular bull market started in March ofmarket began in November 2012: Most analysts continue to make the mistake of believing that a secular bull market started in March of 200in November 2012: Most analysts continue to make the mistake of believing that a secular bull market started in March ofmarket started in March of 200in March of 2009.

Given the fact that crude oil is probably in the middle of a secular bear market, this means USO will be probably never exceed its 2008 high @ 119.17.

In between were secular bear markets: 1966 to 1982, when the Dow went nowhere in nominal terms, but after inflation it lost about 75 percent of its valuIn between were secular bear markets: 1966 to 1982, when the Dow went nowhere in nominal terms, but after inflation it lost about 75 percent of its valuin nominal terms, but after inflation it lost about 75 percent of its value.

In Asian and emerging markets, commodity producers are bearing the brunt of the downturn, but attractive values persist among well - capitalized, well - managed enterprises with good exposure to secular growth trends.

In the secular bear market we're in, we can have earnings growth but no PE expansion meaning the companies «grow into» the new PIn the secular bear market we're in, we can have earnings growth but no PE expansion meaning the companies «grow into» the new Pin, we can have earnings growth but no PE expansion meaning the companies «grow into» the new PE.

Ed Easterling makes a powerful case that we are in a secular bear market.

Ed Easterling makes a powerful case that we are in a secular (i.e., relatively long - term as opposed to short - term, one or two decades as opposed to one or two years) bear market.

3) The stock market experiences extended periods of secular bull markets and secular bear markets based on the trend in P / E ratios, which is driven by the trend in inflation.

As I noted in Secular Bear Markets and the Volatility of Inflation, the uncertainty brought about by large swings in inflation is often harmful to investors.

In each case the level of economic volatility grinded higher throughout the secular bear market.

It is optimized for mid-range valuations in a long lasting (secular) Bear Market.

The market's valuation in 2000 was so extreme that the resulting secular bear has the potential to be more extended than others, unless the market was suddenly to collapse to valuations near those where historical secular bulls have started (where stocks have typically been priced to achieve 10 - year prospective returns near 20 % annually).

You can see the aftermath in the next set of graphs, which show the same interaction of market valuation and the volatility of inflation, but in this case during the three secular bear markets of last century, and the secular bear market beginning in 2000.

At secular bear market lows, the Shiller P / E (S&P 500 divided by the 10 - year average of inflation - adjusted earnings) has typically been about 7, as we saw in 1942 - 1950 and in 1982.

The main argument of the post — one that has been made many times before — is that passive investing is fine during bull markets, but it likely won't work going forward because «we are in a secular bear market that began in 2000.»

The main argument of the post — one that has been made many times before — is that passive investing is fine during bull markets, but it likely won't work going forward because «we are in a secular bear market that began -LSB-...]

From a historical perspective, the 1966 through 1982 Secular Bear Market was the third one we have had since 1900 and was not overwhelming in terms of loss, it simply meandered sideways virtually going nowhere for 16.5 years.

Right now, a fourth secular bear market cycle is emerging in the stock markets, which may last over the next seven to ten years.

There have been three secular bears in the U.S. stock market — the period between 1906 to 1921, the Great Depression period of 1929 to 1949, and the stagflation period of 1966 to 1982.

Because market technicians and economists believe we are in a «Secular Bear Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21,market technicians and economists believe we are in a «Secular Bear Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21Secular Bear Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21, 1Bear Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21,Market» which should last until the year 2020 or forecasters which see a «Major Stock Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21,Market Crash Coming for Stocks by September 2011 ``, the chart shows it's possible we could still fall another 38 % (721.42 points) inflation adjusted on the S&P 500 Index, bringing it to 610.99 — a level we have not seen since if it follows past secular bear markets since December 21secular bear markets since December 21, 1bear markets since December 21, 1995.

My own controversial perspective is that we are in a cyclical bull market, which is a part of a larger secular bear market.

Today, we are in a long lasting (secular) Bear Market with P / E10 around 15 or 16.

Since the secular bear market started in 2000, the markets could be flat or trending lower until 2020, which could be the worst bear market environment investors have ever seen since the last Great Depression.

I assumed that we are in a long lasting (secular) Bear Market.

This is partly because it doesn't work well in secular bear markets, and partly because investors let their emotions cause them to make poor decisions.

I decided to run some research that went back to 1950 and then back to 1928 which includes multiple secular bull and bear markets to determine whether the «Sell in May and Go Away» strategy had an edge or not and, if so, how good an edge.

Adjust your Expectations and Realize that we are probably in the midst of a secular bear market for stocks.

Run a3 starts at today's valuations (P / E10 = 27.3) in a secular (long lasting) bear market.

If we include the additional assumption that we are already in a secular Bear Market, then the BEAR MARKET STOCK - RETURN PREDICTOR will give more accurate predictiBear Market, then the BEAR MARKET STOCK - RETURN PREDICTOR will give more accurate predicMarket, then the BEAR MARKET STOCK - RETURN PREDICTOR will give more accurate predictiBEAR MARKET STOCK - RETURN PREDICTOR will give more accurate predicMARKET STOCK - RETURN PREDICTOR will give more accurate predictions.

Runs a1 to a8 on my Simplified Retirement Trainer A start with today's valuations P / E10 = 27.2 and today's TIPS interest rate of 2.2 % while in a long lasting (secular) Bear Market.