Sentences with phrase «in attribution research»

Look out for more on the latest in attribution research as Carbon Brief reports on the Our Common Futures Under Climate Change conference taking place in Paris this week.

The upcoming report claims there has been substantial progress in attribution research since the IPCC covered this topic extensively in 2013.

Not exact matches

«Human - induced climate change likely increased Harvey's total rainfall around Houston by at least 19 percent, with a best estimate of 37 percent,» Michael Wehner, a co-author on an attribution study recently published in Geophysical Research Letters, said at the American Geophysical Union conference in December.

The report highlights the value — and limitations — of «attribution research,» said Thomas Karl, the director of the National Climatic Data Center (NCDC) in Asheville, North Carolina, at a press conference today.

«While the detection of greening is based on data, the attribution to various drivers is based on models,» said co-author Josep Canadell of the Oceans and Atmosphere Division in the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation in Canberra, Australia.

Attribution research is relatively new, and scientists are still learning how to untangle the contribution of long - term global warming in a given weather event.

In recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factorsIn recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factorsin fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factorsin climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factorsin incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors).

This information can then be used to keep local systems up - to - date, which will result in accurate attribution, less time spent filling out forms, and more complete information with which to map the research ecosystem — a benefit to everyone in R&D.

Because these moderate extremes are by definition more common, and because the authors looked at global statistics rather than those for highly localized, rare events, the conclusions are extremely robust, said Peter Stott, leader of the Climate Monitoring and Attribution Team at the Met Office Hadley Centre, in the U.K. «I think this paper is very convincing,» said Stott, who was not involved in the research.

The new research differs from other so - called extreme event attribution studies, not just in its broad - brush approach, but also in how the term «extreme» is defined.

A new analysis published in the journal Environmental Research Letters establishes that seasonal forecast sea surface temperature (SSTs) can be used to perform probabilistic extreme - event attribution, thereby accelerating the time it takes climate scientists to understand and quantify the role of global warming in certain classes of extreme weather events.

«It's a real achievement of the scientific community,» said Noah Diffenbaugh, a Stanford University climate researcher who has conducted attribution research but wasn't involved in this year's BAMS issue.

* «Attribution of Extreme Rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017» by Geert Jan van Oldenborgh et al. published in Environmental Research Letters on Wednesday 13 December 2017.

Eventually these unverified breed attributions make their way to databases that are then used in retrospective research studies to make claims about canine behavior.

Of those incidents for which the researchers could find no breed attributions (n = 89), Karen Delise of the National Canine Research Council  later located breed attributions in 40; and 37 of these cases involved dogs identified as other than Rottweiler and pit bull, a result that confirmed the researchers concerns regarding «differential ascertainment» of incidents because of breed bias.

Further evidence of this has emerged in new attributions made through Christie's research before the sale of his collection on 27 September.

A collaboration with the Musée des Arts décoratifs in Paris, this was a scholarly exhibition that displayed new research on, and clarified attributions to, the great 18th - century metalworker Pierre Gouthière.

«The approaches used in detection and attribution research described above can not fully account for all uncertainties, and thus ultimately expert judgement is required to give a calibrated assessment of whether a specific cause is responsible for a given climate change.

It's doubtful we will come to a conclusion in real - time on the attribution of this event — or any event — without significant research, better tools / models, and observations.

It is true that the attribution of recent trends in intensity has not (yet) been made, but it is a valid subject for research and discussion.

While the basics of global warming science are now firmly established, climatologists immersed in «attribution» research, investigating the mix of factors shaping a particular heat wave, deluge or drought, are still arguing long and hard about whether there is a discernible contribution from human - driven warming.

I have NO IDEA where either of these students stands on the issue of attribution of global warming (note the complexities of attribution are nicely summarized in a current post over at RC); none of us conducts specific research in that area and that is not what we talk about.

The research proposals that i write and review are about addressing some uncertainty or other, i have no idea where the proposer stands on the attribution of global warming, it simply doesn't come up in the proposal process at least for the grant proposals that I review).

For the entire Northern Hemisphere, there is evidence of an increase in both storm frequency and intensity during the cold season since 1950,1 with storm tracks having shifted slightly towards the poles.2, 3 Extremely heavy snowstorms increased in number during the last century in northern and eastern parts of the United States, but have been less frequent since 2000.11,15 Total seasonal snowfall has generally decreased in southern and some western areas, 16 increased in the northern Great Plains and Great Lakes region, 16,17 and not changed in other areas, such as the Sierra Nevada, although snow is melting earlier in the year and more precipitation is falling as rain versus snow.18 Very snowy winters have generally been decreasing in frequency in most regions over the last 10 to 20 years, although the Northeast has been seeing a normal number of such winters.19 Heavier - than - normal snowfalls recently observed in the Midwest and Northeast U.S. in some years, with little snow in other years, are consistent with indications of increased blocking (a large scale pressure pattern with little or no movement) of the wintertime circulation of the Northern Hemisphere.5 However, conclusions about trends in blocking have been found to depend on the method of analysis, 6 so the assessment and attribution of trends in blocking remains an active research area.

Current work1 has provided evidence of the increase in frequency and intensity of winter storms, with the storm tracks shifting poleward, 2,3 but some areas have experienced a decrease in winter storm frequency.4 Although there are some indications of increased blocking (a large - scale pressure pattern with little or no movement) of the wintertime circulation of the Northern Hemisphere, 5 the assessment and attribution of trends in blocking remain an active research area.6 Some recent research has provided insight into the connection of global warming to tornadoes and severe thunderstorms.7, 8

In the second talk, Dr Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, from the Royal National Meteorological Institute (KNMI, The Netherlands), gave the talk with the title «Event attribution: from research to climate service».

The Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) is organizing, in collaboration with the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP), a Summer School on Attribution and Prediction of Extreme Events, to be held at ICTP, Trieste (Italy).

To provide members of the public with the opportunity to contribute directly to research on climate change in a vulnerable region and demonstrate the power of an evidence - based approach to climate impact attribution.

I would appeal to those who influence future funding to redress the balance of academic research toward greater understanding, and thus attribution, of natural controls, for in the last analysis, it is they that have the greater power and threat.

But this is an approach that many attribution scientists have considered and rejected, says Dr Friederike Otto, a senior research at the University of Oxford, who also wasn't involved in the study:

E. P. Maurer et al., Detection, attribution, and sensitivity of trends toward earlier streamflow in the Sierra Nevada, Journal of Geophysical Research, vol.

Interesting that they state: Peter Stott, Head of Climate Attribution at the Met Office, said: «Our research shows current global average temperatures are highly unlikely in a world without human influence on the climate.

It consisted of two talks: «Communicating uncertainty in climate information: insights from the behavioural sciences», by Andrea Taylor, University of Leeds (UK) «Event attribution: from research to climate service», by Geert Jan van Oldenborgh, Royal National Meteorological Institute - KNMI (The Netherlands)

Although the science of event attribution has developed rapidly in recent years, geographical coverage of events remains patchy and based on the interests and capabilities of individual research groups.

After all, there's no reason for most climate research to say «humans are causing > 50 % of global warming» (except attribution research), especially in the abstract.»

In addition, several international research programs came together to develop the World Weather Attribution project to analyze the role of climate change in extreme eventIn addition, several international research programs came together to develop the World Weather Attribution project to analyze the role of climate change in extreme eventin extreme events.

Proponents of AGW, such of yourself, who argue that these issues do not exist, will likely have little role in designing the attribution research program.

We are also collaborating with other research groups who are interested in using our simulations to perform similar attribution studies, for snowmelt in western North America, and heatwaves in South Africa and India.

Her main research interest is the quantification of uncertainty and validation of climate models, in particular with respect to extreme events, in order to undertake attribution studies of extreme weather events to external climate drivers.

In one instance in an October 2002 draft of a regularly published summary of government climate research, «Our Changing Planet,» Mr. Cooney amplified the sense of uncertainty by adding the word «extremely» to this sentence: «The attribution of the causes of biological and ecological changes to climate change or variability is extremely difficult.&raquIn one instance in an October 2002 draft of a regularly published summary of government climate research, «Our Changing Planet,» Mr. Cooney amplified the sense of uncertainty by adding the word «extremely» to this sentence: «The attribution of the causes of biological and ecological changes to climate change or variability is extremely difficult.&raquin an October 2002 draft of a regularly published summary of government climate research, «Our Changing Planet,» Mr. Cooney amplified the sense of uncertainty by adding the word «extremely» to this sentence: «The attribution of the causes of biological and ecological changes to climate change or variability is extremely difficult.»

As such, I would say: more time spent on research could easily indicate less time spent on being careful in regards to attribution.

Posted by Olive Heffernan Categories: Attribution, Biodiversity and Ecology, In the News, Olive Heffernan, Research

«The approaches used in detection and attribution research described above can not fully account for all uncertainties, and thus ultimately expert judgment is required to give a calibrated assessment of whether a specific cause is responsible for a given climate change.

American analyst Dr David Wojick warns of a new term in pseudoscience: attribution research.

Besides the more traditional duties expected of an in - house lawyer and corporate secretary, Shull's appointment has also seen him jump head - first into CIGI's Global Security Program, contributing research that explores the legality of cyber espionage and the rules of attribution and state responsibility for offensive cyber activities.

Decreasing negative attributions surrounding intimacy may improve overall relationship satisfaction, according to research published in the «Journal of Marital and Family Therapy.»

This is an open - access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work, first published in the Journal of Medical Internet Research, is properly cited.

Future research investigating associations between staff - patient relationships, staff attributions, and burnout is particularly important in informing the development of interventions to improve relationships.

Consistent with findings in familial research, staff attributions may play a key role in driving critical responses, and it may be possible to reduce staff high EE by modifying negative appraisals.

In keeping with past research (Hains et al., 2006), negative attributions of friend reactions had a direct effect on anticipated adherence difficulties, which had a direct effect on diabetes stress, which in turn had a direct effect on metabolic controIn keeping with past research (Hains et al., 2006), negative attributions of friend reactions had a direct effect on anticipated adherence difficulties, which had a direct effect on diabetes stress, which in turn had a direct effect on metabolic controin turn had a direct effect on metabolic control.