It forms the hub of the movie and demonstrates how the rise
in average global temperatures over the past 50 years correlates directly with the rise in the atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide, the leading heat - trapping gas.
While 2014 temperatures continue the planet's long - term warming trend, scientists still expect to see year - to - year fluctuations
in average global temperature caused by phenomena such as El Niño or La Niña.
In any case, the impact estimates that I presented in my previous post were based on the worst case (A1FI) scenario which, according to the HadCM3 model, would increase CO2 concentrations to 810 ppm in 2085 and 970 ppm in 2100, and cause a 4 °C increase
in average global temperatures between 1990 and 2085.
A small change
in average global temperature leads to a dramatic change in the frequency of extreme events.23 24 25 The following graphs in Figure 5 help to illustrate this point.
But an April report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change finds that the current trajectory would translate to a rise
in average global temperatures in the 3.7 - 4.8 degrees Celsius range (6.7 - 8.4 degrees Fahrenheit) by the end of this century.
As to the ethics of climate disaster researchers, and the credibility of their models, data and reports, ClimateGate emails reveal that researchers used various «tricks» to mix datasets and «hide the decline»
in average global temperatures since 1998; colluded to keep skeptical scientific papers out of peer - reviewed journals; deleted potentially damaging or incriminating emails; and engaged in other practices designed to advance manmade climate change alarms.
Were the increase
in average global temperatures held below 2 degrees Celsius (3.6 degrees Fahrenheit), then drastic climate change and long - term irreversible damage — like the melting of Greenland's glaciers — could still be avoided.
Scientists estimate that at least 30 percent and as high as 50 percent roughly 30 - 40 percent of the manmade increase
in average global temperature measured to date is a function of climate destabilizers other than CO2, including methane, soot, tropospheric ozone precursor gases, and deforestation.
It is still called global warming, a good description of the general
shift in average global temperatures due to the greenhouse warning effect of the addition of 35 billion tons of CO2 into the air each year from burning fossil fuels.
They are very rapidly approaching levels consistent with a 2 - 2.4 degree Centigrade rise
in average global temperatures which scientists believe could trigger far reaching and irreversible changes in our Earth, biosphere and oceans.»
I present a graph from NOAA of change
in average global temperature from 1880 to today and then show the graph of the U.S. increase in heavy precipitation days from 1950 to today.
ExxonMobil admits that the emissions trajectory of its Outlook for Energy (which does not extend to 2100) «closely approximates in shape» an emissions profile of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) that «would
result in an average global temperature increase of approximately 2.4 °C by 2100 from the industrial age.»
This sharp, unprecedented rise
in the average global temperature during the last decade of the 20th century can not be explained as a temporary swing produced by natural causes alone, and its is very likely that heat - trapping waste gases are at least partly responsible for it.
World leaders are ostensibly committed to keeping the increase
in average global temperature below 2 °C relative to pre-industrial levels — the threshold beyond which the most catastrophic effects of global warming would be triggered.
Phrases with «in average global temperature»