Sentences with phrase «in climate projections for»

Within an international model intercomparison project, researchers were able to simulate the complex carbon cycle as well as vegetation dynamics in climate projections for the 21st century.

In fact, uncertainties in how clouds change with warming are the primary source of the large spread in climate projections for the next century (Bony and Dufresne 2005; Vial et al. 2013; Brient and Schneider 2016).

Not exact matches

Research group Climate Central has created a plug - in for Google Earth that illustrates how catastrophic an «extreme» sea - level rise scenario would be if the flooding happened now, based on projections in a 2017 report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency (NOAA).

The research group Climate Central took the projections laid out in NOAA's report and created a plug - in for Google Earth that shows how catastrophic the damage would be if the flooding happened today.

Over the last two years, scientists from the United States, the United Kingdom, and Sweden have examined projections and current data to identify ways in which the dairy industry may respond to challenges such as population growth, urbanisation, and climate change, in order to meet increased demand for dairy products over the next half century.

Published this week in Nature Climate Change, the initial study finds that embankments constructed since the 1960s are primarily to blame for lower land elevations along the Ganges - Brahmaputra River Delta, with some areas experiencing more than twice the rate of the most worrisome sea - level rise projections from the United Nations» Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Therefore, also changes in land cover should be represented in climate models for projections of future climate,» concludes Francesco S.R. Pausata.

Two important advances since the last IPCC assessment have increased confidence in the use of models for both attribution and projection of climate changes.

The results, shown in the above map (red means total economic damage and blue is total economic benefit; projections are for 2080 - 2100), could guide states and the federal government toward the communities most in need of help adapting to the changed climate — should lawmakers choose to act.

According to Irving Mintzer, a senior associate with the Energy and Climate Project of the World Resources Institute in Washington, there is another reason to be leery of projections for regional agricultural benefits.

We've narrowed the uncertainty in surface warming projections by generating thousands of climate simulations that each closely match observational records for nine key climate metrics, including warming and ocean heat content.»

Computer model projections of future conditions analyzed by the Scripps team indicate that regions such as the Amazon, Central America, Indonesia, and all Mediterranean climate regions around the world will likely see the greatest increase in the number of «dry days» per year, going without rain for as many as 30 days more every year.

Jef Huisman, an aquatic microbiology professor and theoretical ecologist at the University of Amsterdam in the Netherlands, said that the Princeton research shows that recently proposed early - warning signals for the desertification of arid ecosystems can be too simple, and possibly result in projections of future climate change that do not account for the complexity of nature.

Traditionally, scientists have been studying recovery in terms of decades — but climate projections suggest that, on average, severe coral bleaching will become a yearly occurrence by mid-century under «business as usual» and for some reefs this will be far sooner.

In the team's new analysis, Smith and Mizrahi use what they contend are more reasonable projections for emissions reductions, a more conservative timeline for the development and deployment of methane - capture technology, and more realistic estimates for how quickly Earth's climate will respond to reductions in methane and sooIn the team's new analysis, Smith and Mizrahi use what they contend are more reasonable projections for emissions reductions, a more conservative timeline for the development and deployment of methane - capture technology, and more realistic estimates for how quickly Earth's climate will respond to reductions in methane and sooin methane and soot.

Some coral populations in peripheral seas (or extreme environments such as tide pools) live today in environments that climate change projections expect for the tropical ocean in about a century.

When this model was then applied to the future, they found that in a world of continuing high greenhouse gas emissions, the threshold for widespread drought - induced vascular damage would be crossed and initiate widespread tree deaths on average across climate model projections in the 2050s.

Dr Sinha concluded: «The deeper understanding gained in this study of the processes and regions responsible for variations in oceanic heat drawdown and retention will improve the accuracy of future climate projections.»

The team's projection is almost certainly too pessimistic, counters Drew Shindell, a climate scientist at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies in New York City who was involved in both previous studies critiqued by Smith and Mizrahi.

«This quantitative attribution of human and natural climate influences on the IPWP expansion increases our confidence in the understanding of the causes of past changes as well as for projections of future changes under further greenhouse warming,» commented Seung - Ki Min, a professor with POSTECH's School of Environmental Science and Engineering.

Emerging evidence for variability in the coral calcification response to acidification, geographical variation in bleaching susceptibility and recovery, responses to past climate change, and potential rates of adaptation to rapid warming supports an alternative scenario in which reef degradation occurs with greater temporal and spatial heterogeneity than current projections suggest.

«The new work improves our understanding of history, allowing better model tests and allowing better assessment of how the ice responded to climate changes in the past,» Alley said, «and this will help in making better and more - reliable projections for the future.»

Air pollutant emission inventories are essential in measuring the impact of pollution on air quality and the climate, as they are fed into atmospheric and climate models to make projections for the future.

No one is more concerned than the Japanese, who are surrounded by seas; about 73 % of Japan is forested, mountainous, and unsuitable for agricultural, industrial, or residential use, as a result, the habitable zones are mainly located in or near coastal areas, so much so that, there are growing concerns in Japan of the impact of climate change on their coastal surroundings, prompting the Japanese government to set up an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to undertake a study on climate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) sceclimate change on their coastal surroundings, prompting the Japanese government to set up an Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to undertake a study on climate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) sceClimate Change (IPCC) to undertake a study on climate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) sceclimate change, to provide future projections of coastal erosion based on representative concentration pathway (RCP) scenarios.

«Currently, our planet is in a warm phase — an interglacial period — and the associated increased climate sensitivity needs to be taken into account for future projections of warming induced by human activities.»

«From a regional perspective, the differences in projected future changes are minor when you look at how much each projection says climate will change for the business - as - usual scenario,» said Yueyang Jiang, lead author and a postdoctoral scientist at OSU.

Projections of Future Changes in Climate «For the next two decades, a warming of about 0.2 °C per decade is projected for a range of SRES emission scenariFor the next two decades, a warming of about 0.2 °C per decade is projected for a range of SRES emission scenarifor a range of SRES emission scenarios.

Such near - term benefits provide the basis for a no - regrets GHG - reduction policy, in which substantial advantages accrue even if the impact of human - induced climate change turns out to be less than current projections show.

No single entity is capable of addressing the vast needs for improved climate services in these nations: for everything from projections of future sea - level rise that help planners identify places to build and develop that are out of harm's way, to maps that overlay population, infrastructure, and climate data to help decision makers target resources to areas of greatest vulnerability.

Climate Change 2007 The Physical Science Basis, the report of Working Group I, «assesses the current scientific knowledge of the natural and human drivers of climate change, observed changes in climate, the ability of science to attribute changes to different causes, and projections for future climate change.Climate Change 2007 The Physical Science Basis, the report of Working Group I, «assesses the current scientific knowledge of the natural and human drivers of climate change, observed changes in climate, the ability of science to attribute changes to different causes, and projections for future climate change.climate change, observed changes in climate, the ability of science to attribute changes to different causes, and projections for future climate change.climate, the ability of science to attribute changes to different causes, and projections for future climate change.climate change.»

In summary the projections of the IPCC — Met office models and all the impact studies (especially the Stern report) which derive from them are based on specifically structurally flawed and inherently useless models.They deserve no place in any serious discussion of future climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.cIn summary the projections of the IPCC — Met office models and all the impact studies (especially the Stern report) which derive from them are based on specifically structurally flawed and inherently useless models.They deserve no place in any serious discussion of future climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.cin any serious discussion of future climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.cin error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com

Climate projections need to account for enhanced warming due to global warming feedbacks as discussed by James Zachos, professor of Earth sciences at the University of California, Santa Cruz at the annual meeting of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) in St. Louis in Feb, 2006.

An important goal of climate research is to reduce and characterize uncertainty in the climate change projections so that they can be more useful for assessing climate change impacts and developing adaptation and mitigation strategies.

IIASA researchers have been involved in greenhouse gas emission projections since the beginning of climate change research in the 1970s, including research on both historical emissions as well as projections for future emissions based on multiple scenarios of economic and population growth and technological change.

Such improvements are urgently needed to increase the accuracy of climate change projections, particularly in the Arctic region, which may be a bellwether for the planet.

For example, the criticisms of James Hansen's 1988 global warming projections never go beyond «he was wrong,» when in reality it's important to evaluate what caused the discrepancy between his projections and actual climate changes, and what we can learn from this.

Future ocean projections for the year 2100 were compiled from all available data generated by Earth Systems Models as part of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Taylor et al., 2012) as in Mora et al. (2013).

We show historical trends in snowmelt and runoff timing; examine climate factors that most influence these patterns; and present model projections for stream runoff in the future.

We examine historical trends in total annual streamflow; discuss what climate factors most influence these patterns; and present model projections for the future.

Though irrigation is one of the major human practices that alters the Earth, it is not often accounted for in current climate models or climate change projections.

The findings could help scientists refine projections for climate change's impacts in Western states vulnerable to droughts, flooding and vicious wildfires.

Global climate projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, showing temperature and precipitation trends for two different future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC climate projections from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, showing temperature and precipitation trends for two different future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC Climate Change, showing temperature and precipitation trends for two different future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC Climate chapter of this assessment (IPCC 2014a).

In particular, we used the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projection (NEX - GDDP) dataset, prepared by the Climate Analytics Group and NASA Ames Research Center using the NASA Earth Exchange, and distributed by the NASA Center for Climate Simulation (NCCS).

As noted in the Key Climate Projections for Montana section (above), precipitation is projected to increase in some regions, and in some seasons, but not in others.

This combination of uncertain projections, local and global effects, and potential for human adaptation makes it difficult to attribute current, much less future, changes and trends in Montana agriculture solely to climate change.

The findings could help scientists refine projections for climate change's impacts in Western states vulnerable to

As research leaders in developing and using models to provide scientific insights into weather and climate change, Qian and others are striving to understand uncertainty in systems and modeling to improve projections and help prepare vulnerable regions for potential climate change impact.

The assessments in this chapter are based on the climate trends for which we had sufficient data and climate projections that represent plausible future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (see Water chapter for snowpack trends and projections) and summarized in Tableclimate trends for which we had sufficient data and climate projections that represent plausible future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (see Water chapter for snowpack trends and projections) and summarized in Tableclimate projections that represent plausible future scenarios, as described in the Climate chapter of this assessment (see Water chapter for snowpack trends and projections) and summarized in TableClimate chapter of this assessment (see Water chapter for snowpack trends and projections) and summarized in Table 4 - 1.

The big takeaway from this study: While there is uncertainty in projections for changes in the climate indices reviewed here (especially El Niño and La Niña), this study serves to alert us to the fact that the climate impacts that our local coastal communities face are based in large part on changes that occur on both a large, global scale and over the long, decadal term.

It is not all that earthshaking that the numbers in Schmittner et al come in a little low: the 2.3 ºC is well within previously accepted uncertainty, and three of the IPCC AR4 models used for future projections have a climate sensitivity of 2.3 ºC or lower, so that the range of IPCC projections already encompasses this possibility.