Just pop around the site today and you'll see Amelia Urry's interesting piece explaining why a study finding vastly more fish
in a deep ocean layer than previous estimates doesn't mean worries about overfishing are overblown.
For example, as discussed in Nuccitelli et al. (2012), the ocean heat content data set compiled by a National Oceanographic Data Center (NODC) team led by Sydney Levitus shows that over the past decade, approximately 30 percent of ocean heat absorption has occurred
in the deeper ocean layers, consistent with the results of Balmaseda et al. (2013).
In the Atlantic Ocean, the current known as the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) ferries warm surface waters northward — where the heat is released into the atmosphere — and carries cold water south
in the deeper ocean layers, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
Not exact matches
Last year, a study published
in Science Advances found that the
oceans have been steadily storing more heat since the 1980s and that
deeper layers of the
ocean are starting to warm up, as well.
The smoke, from fires
deep in Africa, is nearly invisible to satellites
in space, and because the southeast Atlantic
Ocean has few islands, the
layers are hard to study from below.
This enabled the research team to reconstruct, for the first time, a detailed picture of the environmental conditions at the
ocean's surface, as well as
in deeper water
layers, over the last 30,000 years.
They compared isotope measurements on the silica skeletons of diatoms, which store environmental signals from the
ocean's surface, with isotope signals from radiolarians, which live
in deeper water
layers.
Most important, the work simulated the movement of dye — not viscous oil — injected
in the upper
layers of the
ocean — not the
deep seafloor — for a total of two months — not the ongoing no - end -
in - sight disaster.
Trenbeth and others have used simulation - based studies to suggest that the
ocean is continuing to warm, but the
deeper layers have been warming up more
in the last decade.
«
In that area, like on the eastern boundaries of other tropical
oceans, nutrient - rich waters from
deeper water
layers are transported to the surface,» explains co-author Prof. Dr. Hermann Bange, also from GEOMAR.
That means it sinks into the
deeper layers of the
ocean, and the contrast between this warm water and the undersea ice canyons contributes an unknown but substantial amount of sea level rise, said Josh Willis, an oceanographer at JPL
in Pasadena, California.
One, which the authors themselves note, is that the warming of the Arctic
Ocean that is already happening could trap nutrients
in deeper, cooler
layers that would make them less available to feed algae blooms.
Bacteria, however, have remained Earth's most successful form of life — found miles
deep below as well as within and on surface rock, within and beneath the
oceans and polar ice, floating
in the air, and within as well as on Homo sapiens sapiens; and some Arctic thermophiles apparently even have life - cycle hibernation periods of up to a 100 million years while waiting for warmer conditions underneath increasing
layers of sea sediments (Lewis Dartnell, New Scientist, September 20, 2010; and Hubert et al, 2010).
The second standout feature is
in the
deeper layers of
ocean.
The biggest increases
in ocean heat content were
in those
deeper layers, showing «that the
deep ocean has played an increasingly important role
in the
ocean energy budget since 1998,» according to the study.
Nakano, H., and N. Suginohara, 2002: Effects of bottom boundary
layer parameterization on reproducing
deep and bottom waters
in a World
Ocean model.
A subsequent study by Balmaseda, Trenberth, and Källén (2013) determined that over the past decade, approximately 30 % of
ocean warming has occurred
in the
deeper layers, below 700 meters.
In the
oceans, warmer weather is driving stronger winds that are exposing
deeper layers of water, which are already saturated with carbon and not as able to absorb as much from the atmosphere.
Some heat is being transferred to the
deeper ocean by wind changes, reducing the rate of increase
in the upper
layer, which reduces the warming rate on land.
This is because (a) the rate of heat penetration into the
deeper ocean increases
in proportion to temperature (like for ice melt), and (b) the second term we added models the mixed
layer response successfully.
The standard assumption has been that, while heat is transferred rapidly into a relatively thin, well - mixed surface
layer of the
ocean (averaging about 70 m
in depth), the transfer into the
deeper waters is so slow that the atmospheric temperature reaches effective equilibrium with the mixed
layer in a decade or so.
A lot of reseach energy is being devoted to the study of Methane Clathrates — a huge source of greenhouse gases which could be released from the
ocean if the thermocline (the buoyant stable
layer of warm water which overlies the near - freezing
deep ocean) dropped
in depth considerably (due to GHG warming), or especially if the
deep ocean waters were warmed by very, very extreme changes from the current climate, such that
deep water temperatures no longer hovered within 4C of freezing, but warmed to something like 18C.
To some extent, this is again due to the factors mentioned above, but additionally, the models predict that the North Atlantic as a whole will not warm as fast as the rest of globe (due to both the
deep mixed
layers in this region which have a large thermal inertia and a mild slowdown
in the
ocean heat transports).
And
in the long term, human emissions would have to drop to ZERO
in order to stabilize concentrations, because the
deep ocean will eventually reach equilibrium with the surface
layers.
The surface heat capacity C (j = 0) was set to the equivalent of a global
layer of water 50 m
deep (which would be a
layer ~ 70 m thick over the
oceans) plus 70 % of the atmosphere, the latent heat of vaporization corresponding to a 20 % increase
in water vapor per 3 K warming (linearized for current conditions), and a little land surface; expressed as W * yr per m ^ 2 * K (a convenient unit), I got about 7.093.
If somehow and I can't possibly imagine how, there was a huge increase
in circulation between the surface and the
deeper layers of the
ocean, that would be disastrous for global temperatures but not upwards but downwards!
In colder
oceans, the separating
layer (thermocline) does not form, or only for parts of the year, so phytoplankton at the top receives nutrients from the
deeper sea and provides oxygen for the the upper and
deeper layers (as well as nutrients, when phytoplankton decomposes).
SAT
in zones of
deep ocean mixed
layers is expected to warm more slowly than average, precisely because the energy is warming the
deeper ocean layers instead of the surface.
«As a result,
ocean waters
deeper than 500 meters (about 1,600 feet) have a large but still unrealized absorption capacity... As emissions slow
in the future, the
oceans will continue to absorb excess CO2... into ever -
deeper layers... eventually, 50 to 80 percent of CO2 cumulative emissions will likely reside
in the
oceans»
Even assuming that the dataset is comprehensive: Considering that the upper -
ocean cooling is seen mainly at 30N and 30S, another explanation for this cooling is increased
ocean — to — atmosphere heat transfer
in these regions (possibly aided by hurricane - mixing of the upper
ocean layer, and advection of
deeper cold water as a result).
In addition to the shallow La Niña — like patterns in the Pacific that were the previous focus, we found that the slowdown is mainly caused by heat transported to deeper layers in the Atlantic and the Southern oceans, initiated by a recurrent salinity anomaly in the subpolar North Atlanti
In addition to the shallow La Niña — like patterns
in the Pacific that were the previous focus, we found that the slowdown is mainly caused by heat transported to deeper layers in the Atlantic and the Southern oceans, initiated by a recurrent salinity anomaly in the subpolar North Atlanti
in the Pacific that were the previous focus, we found that the slowdown is mainly caused by heat transported to
deeper layers in the Atlantic and the Southern oceans, initiated by a recurrent salinity anomaly in the subpolar North Atlanti
in the Atlantic and the Southern
oceans, initiated by a recurrent salinity anomaly
in the subpolar North Atlanti
in the subpolar North Atlantic.
This suggestion of an accelerated warming
in a
deep layer of the
ocean has been suggested mostly on the basis of results from reanalyses of different types (that is, numerical simulations of the
ocean and atmosphere that are forced to fit observations
in some manner).
Scientists also think that the circulation of heat from the top
layers of the
ocean, which have been most affected to date, to the
deeper oceans below may be another factor behind the «hiatus»
in global warming.
Recently there have been some widespread misconceptions about heat accumulation
in the
oceans, particularly
in the
deeper layers below 700 meters.
Water from the faucet represents heat entering the shallow
ocean layer, water exiting the drain represents heat leaving the shallow
oceans and entering the
deep oceans, and the water level
in the bathtub represents the heat
in the shallow
ocean layer.
Yes, it takes a while for the
deep ocean to heat up, but we're not measuring
deep ocean heat, we're measuring the air temperature
in the boundary
layer.
By the same physical argument, one expects minima
in the response to external forcing
in the subpolar
oceans, since these are being held back by their strong coupling to the
deeper layers.
Another contributor is changes
in ocean circulation which cause less heat is transported upwards from the
deeper, warmer
layer.
Also changes
in ocean overturning processes would change mixing rate with the
deep cold
layers.
If there were no mixing
in the
ocean, the
deep ocean would be a cold stagnant pool with a thin warm surface
layer.
As discussed
in the following section, the absence of significant warming
in the Circumpolar
Ocean of the Southern hemisphere is attributable mainly to the large thermal inertia of the ocean, which results from very effective mixing between the surface layer and the deeper layers of ocean in this re
Ocean of the Southern hemisphere is attributable mainly to the large thermal inertia of the
ocean, which results from very effective mixing between the surface layer and the deeper layers of ocean in this re
ocean, which results from very effective mixing between the surface
layer and the
deeper layers of
ocean in this re
ocean in this region.
However, due to the preponderance of La Niñas, heat has been funneled to the
deeper ocean layers, and is poised to come back and haunt us
in future El Niño events.
The rate of OHC uptake and solar are
in the same order of magnitude, with an inertial lag, the
deeper oceans would continue warming slowly while the upper
layer flattens.
To enjoy getting into those claims you would have to consider the impacts of differing rates of advection
in the different
ocean and atmospheric
layers from the stratopause to the
deep oceans.
Regarding Antarctic sea ice expansion, according to Manabe et al 1991 (Part 1 of this set of papers), the cause is decreased mixing with
deeper ocean layers, not increased as stated
in the opening post.
They confirmed that the
oceans have warmed substantially, most notably in the deeper layers, and that the strongest warming during this current negative IPO phase has been in the deep of the Southern and Atlantic O
oceans have warmed substantially, most notably
in the
deeper layers, and that the strongest warming during this current negative IPO phase has been
in the
deep of the Southern and Atlantic
OceansOceans.
Notably the observations show greater warming
in the
deeper layers, with the strongest
deep ocean warming occurring in the Atlantic & Southern O
ocean warming occurring
in the Atlantic & Southern
OceanOcean.
Nor does residence time have anything to do with oceanographers» imaginary bottleneck
in the boundary
layer, where CO2 waits thousands of years for
deep ocean sequestration to make room
in the surface
layer, constrained by equilibrium carbonate equations.
Henry's Law is only important for the
oceans surface
layer (the «mixed»
layer), not for what resides
in the
deep oceans.
For a method for that, may I encourage you to look at Roy Spencer's recent model on thermal diffusion
in the
ocean: More Evidence that Global Warming is a False Alarm: A Model Simulation of the last 40 Years of Deep Ocean Warming June 25th, 2011 See especially his Figure Forcing Feedback Diffusion Model Explains Weak Warming in 0 - 700 m layer as Consistent with Low Climate Sensitivity His model appears to be more accurate than the IP
ocean: More Evidence that Global Warming is a False Alarm: A Model Simulation of the last 40 Years of
Deep Ocean Warming June 25th, 2011 See especially his Figure Forcing Feedback Diffusion Model Explains Weak Warming in 0 - 700 m layer as Consistent with Low Climate Sensitivity His model appears to be more accurate than the IP
Ocean Warming June 25th, 2011 See especially his Figure Forcing Feedback Diffusion Model Explains Weak Warming
in 0 - 700 m
layer as Consistent with Low Climate Sensitivity His model appears to be more accurate than the IPCC's.