When that trend
in economic volatility abruptly changed, the secular bull markets came to an end.
Any increase
in economic volatility during Great Unwinding of the next few years will be crucial in determining the outcome for stocks.
Not exact matches
He and his colleagues at Edward Jones are hedging their bets, expecting at least some
volatility in the likelihood that a few of Trump's
economic initiatives underwhelm investors» lofty expectations.
But uncertainty over whether the Fed feels
economic conditions are appropriate for such easing, along with questions about how much the bank might cut back, have resulted
in volatility where daily, triple - digit moves have become almost routine.
Like some other hedge funds betting on
economic trends
in developed markets, a lack of
volatility amid years of central - bank stimulus made it difficult to make money.
The current Fed chair said she felt this summer's market
volatility said something about confidence
in global
economic growth.
The European Central Bank (ECB) warned Wednesday that despite the improved
economic growth
in the euro area there are concerns related to a sudden increase
in volatility.
While there is no lack of political and
economic uncertainty
in the U.S.,
volatility in the U.S. is modest compared to that of other nations around the globe, says Mark Heesen, president of the NVCA,
in a statement.
«Now that the
volatility event is over, investors will focus on the
economic data and the fundamentals,» said Sameer Samana, global equity and technical strategist at Wells Fargo Investment Institute
in St. Louis.
Actual results, including with respect to our targets and prospects, could differ materially due to a number of factors, including the risk that we may not obtain sufficient orders to achieve our targeted revenues; price competition
in key markets; the risk that we or our channel partners are not able to develop and expand customer bases and accurately anticipate demand from end customers, which can result
in increased inventory and reduced orders as we experience wide fluctuations
in supply and demand; the risk that our commercial Lighting Products results will continue to suffer if new issues arise regarding issues related to product quality for this business; the risk that we may experience production difficulties that preclude us from shipping sufficient quantities to meet customer orders or that result
in higher production costs and lower margins; our ability to lower costs; the risk that our results will suffer if we are unable to balance fluctuations
in customer demand and capacity, including bringing on additional capacity on a timely basis to meet customer demand; the risk that longer manufacturing lead times may cause customers to fulfill their orders with a competitor's products instead; the risk that the
economic and political uncertainty caused by the proposed tariffs by the United States on Chinese goods, and any corresponding Chinese tariffs
in response, may negatively impact demand for our products; product mix; risks associated with the ramp - up of production of our new products, and our entry into new business channels different from those
in which we have historically operated; the risk that customers do not maintain their favorable perception of our brand and products, resulting
in lower demand for our products; the risk that our products fail to perform or fail to meet customer requirements or expectations, resulting
in significant additional costs, including costs associated with warranty returns or the potential recall of our products; ongoing uncertainty
in global
economic conditions, infrastructure development or customer demand that could negatively affect product demand, collectability of receivables and other related matters as consumers and businesses may defer purchases or payments, or default on payments; risks resulting from the concentration of our business among few customers, including the risk that customers may reduce or cancel orders or fail to honor purchase commitments; the risk that we are not able to enter into acceptable contractual arrangements with the significant customers of the acquired Infineon RF Power business or otherwise not fully realize anticipated benefits of the transaction; the risk that retail customers may alter promotional pricing, increase promotion of a competitor's products over our products or reduce their inventory levels, all of which could negatively affect product demand; the risk that our investments may experience periods of significant stock price
volatility causing us to recognize fair value losses on our investment; the risk posed by managing an increasingly complex supply chain that has the ability to supply a sufficient quantity of raw materials, subsystems and finished products with the required specifications and quality; the risk we may be required to record a significant charge to earnings if our goodwill or amortizable assets become impaired; risks relating to confidential information theft or misuse, including through cyber-attacks or cyber intrusion; our ability to complete development and commercialization of products under development, such as our pipeline of Wolfspeed products, improved LED chips, LED components, and LED lighting products risks related to our multi-year warranty periods for LED lighting products; risks associated with acquisitions, divestitures, joint ventures or investments generally; the rapid development of new technology and competing products that may impair demand or render our products obsolete; the potential lack of customer acceptance for our products; risks associated with ongoing litigation; and other factors discussed
in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended June 25, 2017, and subsequent reports filed with the SEC.
The Fed raised its key overnight lending rate
in December for the first time
in nearly a decade, but it has backed away from further monetary policy tightening this year largely due to a global
economic slowdown and financial market
volatility.
Slow
economic growth, increasing extreme weather events and
volatility in capital markets made the insurance business tumultuous
in recent years, with employees facing upheaval
in their day - to - day roles as well as layoffs.
While the consequences of a major conflict
in the Korean peninsula do not bear thinking about, investors probably should prepare for the possibility that
economic expansion
in the emerging Asia universe has peaked and
volatility could be on the rise from here.
Current political and financial uncertainty surrounding the European Union may increase market
volatility and the
economic risk of investing
in companies
in Europe.
While the
volatility follows a spate of weak
economic data, it also reflects a broader uncertainty
in the market.
Meanwhile, it could be argued that the spike
in volatility is a somewhat overdue response to slower
economic growth and deteriorating credit market conditions.
Although
volatility can go both ways, «market
volatility» is usually code for «market declines,» which can erode consumer and business confidence and cause a weakening
in economic fundamentals.
The funds invest
in foreign securities which involve greater
volatility and political,
economic and currency risks and differences
in accounting methods.
Where these balance sheet improvements are most advanced, future financial distress will look more like what we typically see
in instances of financial stress
in the major economies — substantial asset price
volatility and the potential for substantial financial losses, but less
in the way of a significant disruption to either short - run or long - run real
economic growth.
And yet the Australian economy avoided a major downturn and turned
in a performance on
economic activity characterised by no more, and on some metrics slightly less,
volatility.
Commodity prices may be affected by a variety of factors at any time, including but not limited to, (i) changes
in supply and demand relationships, (ii) governmental programs and policies, (iii) national and international political and
economic events, war and terrorist events, (iv) changes
in interest and exchange rates, (v) trading activities
in commodities and related contracts, (vi) pestilence, technological change and weather, and (vii) the price
volatility of a commodity.
Those investors got a reminder of the potential
volatility in recent weeks, when emerging - market stock funds lost just as much as S&P 500 index funds during the sell - off
in late January and early February, even though the trigger for the market's fear was an
economic report out of the United States.
2018 Outlook: «A synchronized improvement
in global
economic and financial market conditions means fundamentals are likely to play a larger role
in driving individual stock prices, while geopolitical risks and investor complacency leave markets vulnerable to bouts of
volatility that may present us with attractive investment entry points.»
Our view is that the equity markets have low
volatility because we have been experiencing low
volatility in the things that drive equity prices — interest rates,
economic data and corporate earnings.
Investments
in derivatives involve costs and create
economic leverage, which may result
in significant
volatility and cause the portfolio to participate
in losses (as well as gains) that significantly exceed the portfolio's initial investment.
Important factors that may affect the Company's business and operations and that may cause actual results to differ materially from those
in the forward - looking statements include, but are not limited to, increased competition; the Company's ability to maintain, extend and expand its reputation and brand image; the Company's ability to differentiate its products from other brands; the consolidation of retail customers; the Company's ability to predict, identify and interpret changes
in consumer preferences and demand; the Company's ability to drive revenue growth
in its key product categories, increase its market share, or add products; an impairment of the carrying value of goodwill or other indefinite - lived intangible assets;
volatility in commodity, energy and other input costs; changes
in the Company's management team or other key personnel; the Company's inability to realize the anticipated benefits from the Company's cost savings initiatives; changes
in relationships with significant customers and suppliers; execution of the Company's international expansion strategy; changes
in laws and regulations; legal claims or other regulatory enforcement actions; product recalls or product liability claims; unanticipated business disruptions; failure to successfully integrate the Company; the Company's ability to complete or realize the benefits from potential and completed acquisitions, alliances, divestitures or joint ventures;
economic and political conditions
in the nations
in which the Company operates; the
volatility of capital markets; increased pension, labor and people - related expenses;
volatility in the market value of all or a portion of the derivatives that the Company uses; exchange rate fluctuations; disruptions
in information technology networks and systems; the Company's inability to protect intellectual property rights; impacts of natural events
in the locations
in which the Company or its customers, suppliers or regulators operate; the Company's indebtedness and ability to pay such indebtedness; the Company's dividend payments on its Series A Preferred Stock; tax law changes or interpretations; pricing actions; and other factors.
Together they reveal how to become unshakeable — someone who can not only maintain true peace of mind
in a world of immense uncertainty,
economic volatility, and unprecedented change, but who can profit from the fear that immobilizes so many.
Distressed
Volatility began in the depths of the 2008 financial crisis and has since grown to cover technical analysis, financial news, market calls, financial analysis, economic trends, geopolitics, and political v
Volatility began
in the depths of the 2008 financial crisis and has since grown to cover technical analysis, financial news, market calls, financial analysis,
economic trends, geopolitics, and political
volatilityvolatility.
Though most of the damage to the market didn't occur
in the second quarter, thus far, the recent stock market
volatility doesn't seem to be having a noteworthy impact on China's
economic fundamentals.
He argued that the surge
in populism that had dominated the political and
economic landscape
in 2016 would continue to exert its «erratic influence»
in 2017, and he expected
volatility to rise generally.
As 2016 continues to demonstrate, market
volatility does not always reflect a fundamental shift
in underlying
economic conditions — the U.S. economy is essentially as «healthy» now as it was
in December 2015.
Volatility in equity markets is, of course, not always a reflection of weak
economic fundamentals.
Important factors that may affect the Company's business and operations and that may cause actual results to differ materially from those
in the forward - looking statements include, but are not limited to, operating
in a highly competitive industry; changes
in the retail landscape or the loss of key retail customers; the Company's ability to maintain, extend and expand its reputation and brand image; the impacts of the Company's international operations; the Company's ability to leverage its brand value; the Company's ability to predict, identify and interpret changes
in consumer preferences and demand; the Company's ability to drive revenue growth
in its key product categories, increase its market share, or add products; an impairment of the carrying value of goodwill or other indefinite - lived intangible assets;
volatility in commodity, energy and other input costs; changes
in the Company's management team or other key personnel; the Company's ability to realize the anticipated benefits from its cost savings initiatives; changes
in relationships with significant customers and suppliers; the execution of the Company's international expansion strategy; tax law changes or interpretations; legal claims or other regulatory enforcement actions; product recalls or product liability claims; unanticipated business disruptions; the Company's ability to complete or realize the benefits from potential and completed acquisitions, alliances, divestitures or joint ventures;
economic and political conditions
in the United States and
in various other nations
in which we operate; the
volatility of capital markets; increased pension, labor and people - related expenses;
volatility in the market value of all or a portion of the derivatives we use; exchange rate fluctuations; risks associated with information technology and systems, including service interruptions, misappropriation of data or breaches of security; the Company's ability to protect intellectual property rights; impacts of natural events
in the locations
in which we or the Company's customers, suppliers or regulators operate; the Company's indebtedness and ability to pay such indebtedness; the Company's ownership structure; the impact of future sales of its common stock
in the public markets; the Company's ability to continue to pay a regular dividend; changes
in laws and regulations; restatements of the Company's consolidated financial statements; and other factors.
The recent bout of
volatility in financial markets occurred
in an environment of growing uncertainty about the global
economic outlook and increasing geopolitical tensions.
Important factors that may affect the Company's business and operations and that may cause actual results to differ materially from those
in the forward - looking statements include, but are not limited to, increased competition; the Company's ability to maintain, extend and expand its reputation and brand image; the Company's ability to differentiate its products from other brands; the consolidation of retail customers; the Company's ability to predict, identify and interpret changes
in consumer preferences and demand; the Company's ability to drive revenue growth
in its key product categories, increase its market share or add products; an impairment of the carrying value of goodwill or other indefinite - lived intangible assets;
volatility in commodity, energy and other input costs; changes
in the Company's management team or other key personnel; the Company's inability to realize the anticipated benefits from the Company's cost savings initiatives; changes
in relationships with significant customers and suppliers; execution of the Company's international expansion strategy; changes
in laws and regulations; legal claims or other regulatory enforcement actions; product recalls or product liability claims; unanticipated business disruptions; failure to successfully integrate the business and operations of the Company
in the expected time frame; the Company's ability to complete or realize the benefits from potential and completed acquisitions, alliances, divestitures or joint ventures;
economic and political conditions
in the nations
in which the Company operates; the
volatility of capital markets; increased pension, labor and people - related expenses;
volatility in the market value of all or a portion of the derivatives that the Company uses; exchange rate fluctuations; risks associated with information technology and systems, including service interruptions, misappropriation of data or breaches of security; the Company's inability to protect intellectual property rights; impacts of natural events
in the locations
in which the Company or its customers, suppliers or regulators operate; the Company's indebtedness and ability to pay such indebtedness; tax law changes or interpretations; and other factors.
As the review of liquidity cycles suggests, wider «markets»
in expected
economic outcomes (which would mean greater short - term
volatility) could promote long - term financial stability.
In their October 2009 paper entitled «Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) and Market Anomalies», Guy Kaplanski and Haim Levy introduce the Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) as a measure of the residual risk contained in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive of future stock market volatility (such as previous month actual volatility and VIX
In their October 2009 paper entitled «Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) and Market Anomalies», Guy Kaplanski and Haim Levy introduce the Risk Sentiment Index (RSI) as a measure of the residual risk contained
in VIX after accounting for the statistical and economic variables most predictive of future stock market volatility (such as previous month actual volatility and VIX
in VIX after accounting for the statistical and
economic variables most predictive of future stock market
volatility (such as previous month actual
volatility and VIX).
The recent
volatility in Japanese markets is breathtaking but characteristic of what one should come to expect from a country that is on the brink of fiscal and
economic disaster.
The president went on to announce that the broad - based
economic expansion
in the eurozone accelerated more than expected
in the first half of 2017; however, recent exchange - rate
volatility could lead to uncertainty
in price stability over the medium - term.
We see low
volatility as a normal feature of the benign
economic and financial backdrop — and not as a warning sign
in itself.
Just as ultra-low rates drove down
volatility, the same
economic forces of substitution should work
in reverse, lifting
volatility as rates normalize and investors move away from selling
volatility.
Plunging oil prices were a major market and
economic shock
in 2015 and early 2016, causing broad market
volatility while adding to the pain
in emerging market (EM) and high yield assets.
Even if market
volatility picks up, this long but moderate
economic expansion that began
in June 2009 has fuel to go further, which is good news for investors.
Market
volatility,
in the face of worries over slower global
economic growth, has led investors to become more critical of new offerings.
The second quarter was dominated by
volatility brought on by macro fears largely surrounding Europe and the eurozone
economic situation, but slower growth
in the U.S. and the emerging markets also weighed
in on people's fears.
We believe the positive
economic forces currently present
in the global economy will remain strong enough to overcome the potentially negative impact tighter policy will have, but we could see some short - term
volatility as markets adjust.
Investments
in derivatives involve costs and create
economic leverage, which may result
in significant
volatility and cause losses that significantly exceed the initial investment.
It's a legitimate concern, considering the spikes
in volatility this year caused by fears of global
economic slowdown, dissolution of the European Union and policy reversal by the Federal Reserve.
But that sacrifice is worth it, says Egan,
in case of
economic shocks, such as market
volatility spikes, or a U.S. dollar plunge.
The Fund may invest
in foreign securities which involve greater
volatility and political,
economic and currency risks and differences
in accounting methods.