In emerging market debt, not only do passive exchange - traded funds (ETFs) tend to underperform their benchmarks, the most widely used indices are narrowly focused and exclude a large portion of the opportunity set.
That's the same for high yield ETF holdings
in emerging market debt.
«The opportunity
in emerging market debt looks better, with many currencies having weakened significantly,» he adds.
There's opportunity
in emerging market debt despite growing concerns over higher credit levels and the impact of a strong dollar, the chief executive of Goldman Sachs Asset Management told CNBC on Tuesday.
Not exact matches
The strong dollar was felt widely across commodity
markets and the
emerging economies that are now borrowing record amounts of
debt in the U.S. currency — $ 3.7 trillion according to the latest figures this week from the Bank for International Settlements.
And while most
emerging market debt continues to be issued
in local currencies, the IIF said that foreign currency denominated
debt issued
in these nations swelled by $ 800 billion last year to a record high of $ 8.3 trillion.
Other underperformers could include
emerging -
market stocks, which, while positively affected by any rise
in commodity prices, would be vulnerable to further strength
in the U.S. dollar,
in which much of their
debt is denominated.
He points to high levels of global
debt, low liquidity
in markets, political events affecting trade and structural imbalances
in some
emerging economies.
In the short - term, however, this increased leverage may actually be bullish for junk bonds, corporate bonds,
emerging market debt and mortgage - backed securities as it brings higher prices and lower yields, he said.
Although there may not be a bond bubble, with investors starved for yield, Gundlach predicts a potential bubble could form
in credit risk as investors increase their leverage on riskier
debt securities like junk bonds and
emerging market debt.
There's no new theme to it, just more riffs on the old one of a self - reinforcing spiral of slower growth
in China crushing the economies of its raw material suppliers, while an appreciating dollar makes it ever harder for
emerging market companies and governments to repay the
debts they gleefully took on when the Federal Reserve was giving away dollars for free.
She began her career working
in Mergers & Acquisitions and
Debt Capital
Markets, and became the Global Head of Analyst and Associate Acquisition and Development, leading the effort to build a global pipeline of
emerging advisor talent.
These include currency - hedged ETFs, triple - levered ETFs based on commodities, unconstrained bond funds with short positions betting against U.S. Treasurys, private equity funds,
emerging market debt instruments, historically less - liquid bank loan funds, and all manner of actively managed strategies packaged
in supposedly easy to buy and sell wrappers.
Staley told CNBC that given the high level of
debt across the world,
in particular among
emerging markets where dollar - denominated
debt has grown dramatically, many economies could be at risk if there were sudden changes
in financial conditions.
The woman, who works at a company
in eastern Tokyo, said she plans to invest more
in stocks than
in debt, with a focus on foreign equities including those from
emerging markets.
«The sale of some state - owned enterprises should help lower Vietnam's rising national
debt [and] also attract significant foreign direct investment,» Chetan Sehgal, director of global
emerging markets and small cap strategies at Templeton Emerging Markets Group, said in a
emerging markets and small cap strategies at Templeton Emerging Markets Group, said in an
markets and small cap strategies at Templeton
Emerging Markets Group, said in a
Emerging Markets Group, said in an
Markets Group, said
in an email.
In 1998 you had a rolling crisis of sorts where lots of little problems (
emerging market debt scares) eventually boiled over into one bigger problem (the Russian default) and then appeared to be rolling over into foreign
markets with the LTCM debacle.
September 2013 (699 kb PDF file): The Research Summaries
in the September 2013 IMF Research Bulletin focus on «External Conditions and
Debt Sustainability
in Latin America» (Gustavo Adler and Sebastian Sosa) and «Monetary Policy Cyclicality
in Emerging Markets» (Donal McGettigan, Kenji Moriyama, and Chad Steinberg).
Overall, this augurs for globally diverse fixed income exposures, including a preference for up -
in - quality credit exposures and an allocation to
emerging market debt for investors who can tolerate the added risk.
China certainly has a high absolute level of
debt, with levels much higher than those seen
in other
emerging market (EM) countries who experienced
debt crises, according to Bloomberg data.
Highland Capital Brasil Gestora de Recursos («HCB») is an asset management company which pursues investment opportunities
in Emerging Market credit strategies with a primary focus on Brazilian corporate
debt.
Emerging -
market companies have piled on
debt in recent years, allured by low interest rates from yield - starved investors.
Against this environment, our strategists remain bullish on equities and continue to favor
emerging market currencies and,
in the fixed income space, prefer local
markets over external
debt and maintain their higher - yielding yet better - quality bias.
WisdomTree's
Emerging Markets Local
Debt ETF is the third largest actively managed ETF with $ 1.4 billion
in assets.
As CNBC notes, Roubini predicted
in May that four elements — stalling growth
in the U.S.,
debt troubles
in Europe, a slowdown
in emerging markets, particularly China, and military conflict
in Iran — would come together
in to create a storm for the global economy
in 2013.
Our Global
Market Strategies segment, established
in 1999 with our first high yield fund, advises a group of 46 active funds that pursue investment opportunities across various types of credit, equities and alternative instruments, including bank loans, high yield
debt, structured credit products, distressed
debt, corporate mezzanine, energy mezzanine opportunities and long / short high - grade and high - yield credit instruments,
emerging markets equities, and (with regards to certain macroeconomic strategies) currencies, commodities and interest rate products and their derivatives.
Albright Capital, which invests
in distressed
debt as well as private equity, plans to raise another $ 125 million for its
emerging -
markets fund, according to filings.
Some $ 100 billion of corporate defaults are plausible, or roughly 15 % of the wall of
emerging -
market corporate
debt scheduled to mature
in the next four years.
Too little, too late — The Fed does not raise rates quickly enough, a prospect that could lead to a falloff of as much as 7 percent
in emerging -
market debt
The fund focuses on US corporate bonds, convertible securities, foreign
debt instruments (including those
in emerging markets) and US government securities
Corporate
debt in emerging markets has more than doubled since 2008 to at least $ 18 trillion
in 2014, according to an International Monetary Fund research paper
in December.
Investment grade and
emerging market debt spreads are right
in line with the historical trend line since 2006.
As you can see
in the chart below, one of the portfolio's strengths is the freedom it has to go beyond traditional sources of income and pursue nontraditional income sources — such as ETF exposure to bank loans, preferred stock, and
emerging market debt —
in order to seek yield.
Amid an
emerging markets debt crisis
in 1998, the Fed cut interest rates to try to guard the United States against economic fallout, which helped the stock
market gain a whopping 29 percent that year despite the global troubles.
We assist middle -
market and
emerging growth companies
in accessing the dynamic private capital
markets for equity and
debt financing.
We would cease to be an
emerging growth company if we have more than $ 1.0 billion
in annual revenue, have more than $ 700 million
in market value of our Class A common stock held by non-affiliates, or issue more than $ 1.0 billion of non-convertible
debt over a three - year period.
When
market conditions favor wider diversification
in the view of Hussman Strategic Advisors, Inc., the Fund's investment manager, the Fund may invest up to 30 % of its net assets
in securities outside of the U.S. fixed - income
market, such as utility and other energy - related stocks, precious metals and mining stocks, shares of real estate investment trusts («REITs»), shares of exchange - traded funds («ETFs») and other similar instruments, and foreign government
debt securities, including
debt issued by governments of
emerging market countries.
Rather, trading volumes have not kept pace with the surge
in debt issuance, reflecting
in particular favourable funding conditions
in many advanced and
emerging market economies (Graph 2, centre panel).
John Stopford, portfolio manager of the Investec GSF Global Strategic Income Fund and co-head of the Investec multi-asset team, says 2014 may be a difficult year for corporate credit and a modest one for
emerging markets debt, «but there may be an attractive long - term buying opportunity later
in the year.»
The post-2008 dollar
debt binge also taught
emerging markets corporate finance managers a stern lesson
in the risks of currency mismatches, especially when borrowing
in a currency that seems weak.
Some concerns surround US dollar - denominated corporate
debt, which has risen steeply over the past two years
in emerging markets to benefit from low US interest rates.
With interest rates on low - risk investments falling to low levels
in many countries, investors have sought to maintain yields by moving into higher - risk assets such as corporate
debt and
emerging market debt.
In September 2010, Clothilde joined Natixis Asset Management as Currency and Global
Emerging markets debt portfolio manager.
And the UK Telegraph's Ambrose Evans - Pritchard notes a «side - effect has been a run on
emerging markets, a reversal of hot - money inflows into China, and fresh
debt jitters
in Portugal, Spain, and Italy.»
We have seen an expansion of global high - yield
debt issuance, particularly
in European and
emerging markets during this cycle (as shown
in Exhibit 1).
Central bank intervention
in global bond
markets has «crowded out» many traditional fixed income investors, driving them to seek yield and income from non-traditional and riskier asset classes such as high yield,
emerging markets debt, leveraged loans and private credit.
An
emerging market is a nation that is progressing toward becoming advanced, as shown by some liquidity
in local
debt and equity
markets and the existence of some form of
market exchange and regulatory body.
JP Morgan
Emerging Market Bond Index The JPMorgan Emerging Markets Bond Index Global («EMBI Global») tracks total returns for traded external debt instruments in the emerging markets, and is an expanded version of the JPMorgan
Emerging Market Bond Index The JPMorgan
Emerging Markets Bond Index Global («EMBI Global») tracks total returns for traded external debt instruments in the emerging markets, and is an expanded version of the JPMorgan
Emerging Markets Bond Index Global («EMBI Global») tracks total returns for traded external debt instruments in the emerging markets, and is an expanded version of the JPMorgan
Markets Bond Index Global («EMBI Global») tracks total returns for traded external
debt instruments
in the
emerging markets, and is an expanded version of the JPMorgan
emerging markets, and is an expanded version of the JPMorgan
markets, and is an expanded version of the JPMorgan EMBI +.
«Otherwise, the
debt dynamics unravel, and this is something we have seen time and again
in the
emerging markets.»
Yield spreads between
emerging market sovereign
debt and US Treasuries have remained relatively low over the past three months
in most
markets (Graph 12).