Sentences with phrase «in global average surface temperatures»

With an increase in global average surface temperatures comes higher odds of heat waves.

A new paper just hit the scientific literature that argues that the apparent pause in the rise in global average surface temperatures during the past 16 years was really just a slowdown.

This conclusion takes into account the approximately 62 year period natural cycle in global average surface temperatures that is obvious in the HadCRUT4 global average surface temperature data, that had a maximum in about 1945 and again in about 2007, and that seems to be the cause of the current «pause» in global average surface temperatures.

The El Niño - Southern Oscillation, for example, moves heat between the atmosphere and the ocean, causing year - to - year variations in global average surface temperatures of about 0.2 ℃.

According to the BBC, «The panel states that it is 95 percent certain that the «human influence on climate caused more than half the observed increase in global average surface temperatures from 1951 - 2010.»»

It's easy to see that there was a sharp increase in global average surface temperatures from the 1970s through the end of the 1990s.

It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.

AR5: It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.

Item 8 could be confusing in having so many messages: «It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas... The best estimate of the human - induced contribution to warming is similar to the observed warming over this period....

It simply is inconsistent and therefore is not the controlling factor in global average surface temperature.

It is extremely likely * that human activities have caused more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature since the 1950s.

'' If and when CO2 concentration in the atmosphere reaches 550 ppm, what will be the increase in global average surface temperature relative to the year 2000?»

This seems to misunderstand the climate system lag time: «If and when CO2 concentration in the atmosphere reaches 550 ppm, what will be the increase in global average surface temperature relative to the year 2000?»

In the entirely subjective opinion of a particular group of IPCC authors, it's «extremely likely» (95 % certain) that «more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010» was caused by human - generated greenhouse gas emissions (see the bottom of p. 13 here).

Present estimates are that limiting the increase in global average surface temperature to no more than 2 — 2.5 °C above its 1750 value of approximately 15 °C will be required to avoid the most catastrophic, but certainly not all, consequences of climate change.

Since publication of the AR4, nature has thrown the IPCC a «curveball» — there has been no significant increase in global average surface temperature for the past 15 + years.

In 2013, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fifth Assessment Report stated a clear expert consensus that: «It is extremely likely [defined as 95 - 100 % certainty] that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic [human - caused] increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.»

Figure 8 shows the projected change in global average surface temperature for the various SRES.

effectively refutes Mr Rose's argument that there has been no increase in the global average surface temperature for the past 16 years.

The exchange of cold and warm water at 60 year cycles leads to a puny 0.1 C change in global average surface temperature.

The solar cycle can not be detected at point sites, which are too noisy to see a signal of one to two tenths of a degree, but is easily seen in the global average surface temperature.

This backs up the IPCC attribution statement «It is extremely likely [95 percent confidence] more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.»

Again IPCC attribution statement: «It is extremely likely [95 percent confidence] more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.»

Temporary slowdown in global average surface temperature warming observed between 1998 and 2013 represented a redistribution of energy within the Earth system, new research shows.

A new study of the temporary slowdown in the global average surface temperature warming trend observed between 1998 and 2013 concludes the phenomenon represented a redistribution of energy within the Earth system, with Earth's ocean absorbing the extra heat.

In the context of the rest of the article, this apparently refers to the 16 year plateau (or hiatus) in global average surface temperature anomalies.

«It is extremely likely -LCB- 95 % + certainty -RCB- that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.»

that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.»

«It is extremely likely that human influence on climate caused more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 − 2010.»

It is extremely likely [95 percent confidence] all of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.

Nothing in the Met Office's statement or in Nuticelli's argument effectively refutes Rose's argument that there has been no increase in the global average surface temperature for the past 16 years.

It also follows using the same semantics that: «It is more likely than not that more than the entire observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.»

The phrase «It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.»

We've calculated the trend in the global average surface temperature simulated to have occurred starting in every year since 1950 and ending in 2012 for every * run of every climate model used in the new IPCC report.

It is unlikely that human influence on climate caused more than half of the increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 - 2010.

Over at RealClimate, on this topic they claim» It is extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.

lolwot: Does the Otto et al constraint of 0.9 to 2.0 °C TCS not support the IPCC statement «It is extremely likely that human influence on climate caused more than half of the increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 - 2010.»?

It is extremely likely that human influence on climate caused more than half of the increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 - 2010.

And as Judith Curry points out about the current climate, there are many problems with the claim that «more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together» — far from speaking for itself, the statement needs unpacking and its premises interrogating.

The IPCC says (in the AR5 SPM), «It is extremely likely [defined as 95 - 100 % certainty] that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the anthropogenic [human - caused] increase in greenhouse gas concentrations and other anthropogenic forcings together.»

Although there might be «slowdowns and accelerations in warming lasting a decade or more,» they write, the clear long - term trend is «substantial increases in global average surface temperature and important changes in regional climate.»

The IPCC has already concluded that it is «virtually certain that human influence has warmed the global climate system» and that it is «extremely likely that more than half of the observed increase in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010» is anthropogenic.1 Its new report outlines the future threats of further global warming: increased scarcity of food and fresh water; extreme weather events; rise in sea level; loss of biodiversity; areas becoming uninhabitable; and mass human migration, conflict and violence.

In a statement to the British House of Lords, Lord Hunt of King's Heath said «Observations collated at the Met Office Hadley Centre and the University of East Anglia Climate Research Unit indicate that the rate of increase in global average surface temperature between 1975 and 1998 was similar to the rates of increase observed between 1860 and 1880 and between 1910 and 1940 (approximately 0.16 C ° per decade).»

And in Figure TS - 6, bottom, the 90 % uncertainty limits in the global average surface temperature of about (+ / --RRB- 0.1 C prior to 1940, lessening to about (+ / --RRB- 0.05 C after 1940 amount to a lie.

Not exact matches

If all nations fully achieve their Paris pledges, however, the average global surface temperature in 2100 is expected to be 3.3 degrees.

Most scientists and climatologists agree that weird weather is at least in part the result of global warming — a steady increase in the average temperature of the surface of the Earth thought to be caused by increased concentrations of greenhouse gasses produced by human activity.

The results show that even though there has been a slowdown in the warming of the global average temperatures on the surface of Earth, the warming has continued strongly throughout the troposphere except for a very thin layer at around 14 - 15 km above the surface of Earth where it has warmed slightly less.

With an El Niño now under way — meaning warm surface waters in the Pacific are releasing heat into the atmosphere — and predicted to intensify, it looks as if the global average surface temperature could jump by around 0.1 °C in just one year.

In the latter half of the decade, La Niña conditions persisted in the eastern and central tropical Pacific, keeping global surface temperatures about 0.1 degree C colder than average — a small effect compared with long - term global warming but a substantial one over a decadIn the latter half of the decade, La Niña conditions persisted in the eastern and central tropical Pacific, keeping global surface temperatures about 0.1 degree C colder than average — a small effect compared with long - term global warming but a substantial one over a decadin the eastern and central tropical Pacific, keeping global surface temperatures about 0.1 degree C colder than average — a small effect compared with long - term global warming but a substantial one over a decade.

Global surface temperatures in 2016 averaged 14.8 degrees Celsius (58.64 °F), or 1.3 C (2.3 F) higher than estimated before the Industrial Revolution ushered in wide use of fossil fuels, the EU body said.