But maybe the problem here isn't the Fed but that markets are slowly but surely pricing
in global deflation, which would explain why asset allocators are shifting out of risk assets into safe haven assets.
Not exact matches
In the days to come the Fed will have to prove that a new set of tools for managing interest rates will work as expected; see how higher U.S. rates affect domestic and
global financial conditions; and hope that weak world demand and commodity prices do not lead to an overall bout of
deflation and force the Fed to reverse course.
Japanese
deflation occurred
in an environment of fairly robust
global growth.
Since 2001 the silver and gold markets have gone up substantially as a reaction to the 20 year precious metals bear market from 1980 — 2000, massive increases
in military spending, weakening
global economies that REQUIRE Quantitative Easing to avoid
deflation, the rise of competing currencies that weaken the dollar's trading status, excessive debts
in Europe, Japan, the United Kingdom, and the United States, and so much more.
In addition to near zero interest rates, central banks created excessive amounts of money by issuing trillions of dollars of bonds, e.g. QE1, QE2, QE3, QE4, etc. pushing unprecedented amounts of newly created money into global markets to contain the growing deflationary threat; and, while it failed to contain deflation, the excessive liquidity is now circulating in markets with no place to go, akin to moribund monetary edem
In addition to near zero interest rates, central banks created excessive amounts of money by issuing trillions of dollars of bonds, e.g. QE1, QE2, QE3, QE4, etc. pushing unprecedented amounts of newly created money into
global markets to contain the growing deflationary threat; and, while it failed to contain
deflation, the excessive liquidity is now circulating
in markets with no place to go, akin to moribund monetary edem
in markets with no place to go, akin to moribund monetary edema.
The Conditions at Sea: Worldwide Circumstances Distracting Investors Since the financial crisis of 2008 - 2009, investors have been obsessed with macroeconomic themes and distracted by various worldwide circumstances, including
deflation in Japan; the state of
global banks; financial instability
in Greece, Cyprus and the European Union; and the challenges facing the BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India and China).
He explains his logic
in this interview with the Athens News, on the occasion of publication of his latest book, The Bubble and Beyond: Fictitious Capital, Debt
Deflation and
Global Crisis, which can be purchased here.
His ground breaking research on complex systems modelling of debt -
deflation was awarded the eminent Revere Award from the Real World Economics Review, describing Keen as the economist «who first and most clearly anticipated and gave public warning of the
Global Financial Collapse and whose work is most likely to prevent another GFC
in the future».
Morgan Stanley Wealth Management's
Global Investment Committee (GIC), a group of seasoned investment professionals with whom I meet regularly to review the economic and political environment and asset allocation models for Wealth Management clients, believes
deflation fears have gone too far and have become too embedded
in both investor psyches and market structures.
But no sooner had China's industrial base started to show some positive effects from the pickup
in global commodity prices — which has allowed its factories to push through some price increases after many years of producer price
deflation — than several of the industrial materials most reliant on Chinese demand started to come under pressure during April.
This rise partly reversed earlier declines, which had reflected a number of factors: the expected negative impact of the Asian situation on the local economy, associated concerns about the possibility of
global deflation, and the projected fall
in the stock of bonds on issue reflecting the expected run of Budget surpluses and the proposed sale of the remainder of Telstra.
We've consistently predicted the good
deflation of excess supply, but in our two Deflation books and subsequent reports, we said clearly that the bad deflation of deficient demand could occur — due to severe and widespread financial crises or due to global prote
deflation of excess supply, but
in our two
Deflation books and subsequent reports, we said clearly that the bad deflation of deficient demand could occur — due to severe and widespread financial crises or due to global prote
Deflation books and subsequent reports, we said clearly that the bad
deflation of deficient demand could occur — due to severe and widespread financial crises or due to global prote
deflation of deficient demand could occur — due to severe and widespread financial crises or due to
global protectionism.
According to editor Tiffany Godoy, who is a veteran of the Tokyo fashion industry, a lot of it had to do with the
global financial crisis
in 2011, followed by the Tōhoku and Fukushima catastrophes, which hurt consumer confidence and saw the world's third - largest economy to fall into years of tepid growth and
deflation.
They not only help the investor
in hedging his risks, diversifying his portfolio, but also it helps
in global diversification and hedging against inflation and
deflation.
But it's not clear where Smurfit stands
in this regard — there are certainly fresh threats to
global growth, and debt overhang will restrain the developed markets for years to come — on the other hand, Smurfit's now a dominant player, emerging markets continue to perform well, and Western central banks continue to pump out a tsunami of liquidity to combat debt
deflation.
Gyrating stock values, slumping oil prices, turmoil
in foreign currency markets, predictions of slow growth or even
deflation abroad... Suddenly, the outlook for the
global economy and financial markets looks far different — and much dicier — than just a few months ago.
China has a bigger credit crisis than its last one, leading to drops
in commodity prices, and further
global deflation.
The recent jump
in global bond yields represents a reflationary reawakening just a year after
deflation and recession...
Brokers Sanford Bernstein say we are entering an era of «
global energy
deflation» where gains
in solar technology must relentlessly erode the viability of the fossil nexus, since it goes only
in one direction.
The coarse resolution of
global models, together with regional uncertainties
in precipitation, make it difficult to assess the probability of
deflation becoming supply - limited consequent on wetting of the Bodélé and / or increased vegetation cover over the basin.
Even Texas Gov. Rick Perry, who has now thrown his Stetson
in the presidential ring, is competing with Bachmann for the ultra-religious vote, and not only pooh - poohs evolution and
global warming, but has accused the Chairman of the Fed of treason for printing more money to avoid a Japanese - style bout of
deflation.