Sentences with phrase «in hurricane modeling»

That means the «findings probably haven't faced as rigorous a review as they might have,» Ars Technica reported, but it does show Emanuel is confident in his hurricane modeling, which has already been peer - reviewed.

Not exact matches

In fact, the European model's predictions for Hurricane Irma were closer to the actual path than other models.

The insurance industry now uses sophisticated catastrophe modeling for risk assessment when it comes to flooding, hurricanes, and other natural disasters, but that wasn't the case until 11 insurance companies went bankrupt after Hurricane Andrew in 1992.

In the wake of Hurricane Irma, Tesla sent out an over-the-air software update that allowed Model S / X 60D drivers to extend their...

While many people will point to Hurricane Katrina and the 2005 damage done in New Orleans and along the Gulf Coast as a model for what we may expect from Harvey, the 2016 floods in Baton Rouge may be more realistic.

A revision to Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ: BWLD)'s financial model is necessary to reflect promotional changes, the impact of hurricanes Harvey and Irma, and chicken wing prices, analysts at Canaccord Genuity commented in a research report.

The National Hurricane Center model has the eye of Hurricane Sandy tracking across the Pennsylvania / New York border in a northerly direction in the 24 hours from 8 am Wednesday to 8 am Thursday.

Despite being specialized for epidemics, Marathe says, the tool's underlying geographic models and synthetic populations are general, and they can be applied to other kinds of disasters, such as chemical spills, hurricanes, and cascading failures in power networks.

And that means more numerous and stronger hurricanes in the foreseeable future, whether the forecast is from a computer model or a meteorologist's instincts.

But in the big picture, hurricane models adeptly forecasted Irma's ultimate path to the Florida Keys nearly a week before it arrived there, says Brian Tang, an atmospheric scientist at the University at Albany in New York.

FV3 did a far better job at simulating the intensity of Harvey than the other two leading models, but it lagged behind the European model in determining the hurricane's path, Lin says.

Stephen Rose and colleagues from Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, modelled the risk hurricanes might pose to turbines at four proposed wind farm sites.

Now, in a new $ 62 million, 5 - year program, the network of doomsday machines is expanding to simulate hurricanes and tornadoes and is joining forces with computer modeling to study how things too big for a physical test — such as nuclear reactors or even an entire city — will weather what Mother Nature throws at them.

The researchers entered Tampa Bay area climate data recorded between 1980 and 2005 into their model and ran 7,000 simulated hurricanes in the area.

Using weather and sea data from the time of the sinking, along with a new theoretical model, a Georgia Institute of Technology researcher has calculated that there was as much as a one - in - 130 chance — over a period of time and area — that a rogue wave 46 feet high (14 meters) could have occurred during the hurricane.

What's more, whereas many models tend to overestimate the intensity of hurricanes in their predictions, theirs was a much closer match to historical observations, the researchers report online in Geophysical Research Letters.

For every hurricane in the North Atlantic Basin between 1997 and 2013, they pulled information such as mean sea - level pressure and temperature as well as vertical temperature and humidity profiles, and entered it into a thermodynamic hurricane model that treats each storm as a gigantic heat engine.

«In the low - resolution models, hurricanes were far too infrequent,» Wehner said.

For example, when examining hurricanes and typhoons, the lack of a high - quality, long - term historical record, uncertainty regarding the impact of climate change on storm frequency and inability to accurately simulate these storms in most global climate models raises significant challenges when attributing assessing the impact of climate change on any single storm.

The researchers produced a modelling programme to simulate surges in the river's waters which played a role in floods in recent years, including the hurricane which swept Scotland in December 2011.

Their data will be used in computer models to improve weather forecasts, including hurricane tracks and intensities, severe thunderstorms and floods.

This data will help determine damage from the surge and improve models of flooding in the future, which could help provide a better picture of where future storm waters will go and who needs to be evacuated ahead of hurricanes.

In the GRL study, researchers used a statistical model based on historical climate data to separate how much of the extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey was due to natural influences and how much was due to human influences.

In the Bay of Biscay, the model predicts the average number of yearly hurricanes will increase from one to six (Geophysical Research Letters, doi.org/kv2).

Many climate models predict an increase in hurricane intensity.

Seeing himself as a strict empiricist whose hurricane predictions are based on decades of «crunching huge piles of data,» Gray is convinced that the atmosphere is too complicated to be captured in computer simulations, at one point fulminating that «any experienced meteorologist that believes in a climate model of any type should have their head examined.»

The other model about hurricanes, recently published in Icarus, predicts that the warming of the northern hemisphere could also bring hurricanes, also known as tropical cyclones.

To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.

Emanuel and his colleagues had previously devised a technique to simulate hurricane development in a changing climate, using a specialized computational model they developed that simulates hurricanes at high spatial resolutions.

«We don't have the computational firepower to resolve storms like hurricanes in today's climate models.»

They didn't see hurricanes until the rain clouds were right above them; in our case, we can see storms leaving the sun but have to make guesses and use models to figure out if and when they will impact Earth,» says Michael Kaiser, project scientist for STEREO at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center.

The model is designed so that they can embed it within coarser global climate models — a combination that results in precise simulations of hurricanes in the context of a globally changing climate.

Modeling Animation: Storm - tide flooding of the Battery in New York City through several tidal cycles during Hurricane Sandy as modeled by Professor Harry Wang and colleagues at VIMS.

«Our job is to collect as many observations as we can to send to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, and to NOAA's numerical models center in Washington.»

The goal is to get models to the point where they can have skill in predicting features like drought or seasonal hurricane activity a few years ahead, said climate scientist Doug Smith, who leads the Met Office effort.

Smith says that over time the Met Office has upgraded its models and they have found that they have some skill in predicting European winters, rainfall in Africa and Atlantic hurricane frequency.

By working on the still - not - fully - cracked nut of estimating changes in hurricane frequency and intensity in a warming climate, Gabe and his colleagues ended up with a modeling system with seasonal skill in regional hurricane prediction.

Atmospheric models predict this will quench energy from Atlantic hurricanes, potentially stopping them in their tracks.

However, there are lots of disagreements discussed here — in regard to climate sensitivity, hurricanes, aerosols, climate modelling etc. but most of these are serious discussions amongst people who are genuinely trying to come to an answer.

A couple of commentators (Pat Michaels, Roy Spencer) recently raised an issue about the standard scenarios used to compare climate models, in this case related to a study on the potential increase in hurricane activity.

Also, unlike the bulk of climate models to date, the increase in odds of extreme storms found in the study stems both from a shift toward more intense hurricanes as well as an overall increase in hurricane frequency.

These models are currently used by the insurance industry in underwriting flood and wind insurance products, by the finance industry in pricing catastrophe bonds, and by local officials in coastal communities in preparing for and responding to hurricanes and other coastal storms.

One of the lessons taught by Learning Lab staff teacher Lucilla Ralfa when I visited recently was about erosion: After a lesson about the concept, the students, inner city children in grades 4 - 6, were given dirt, sand, pebbles and rocks to make a model of a mountain that would stand up to a hurricane.

Tennessee's Achievement School District is modeled after an effort to transform New Orleans» failing schools in the wake of Hurricane Katrina, which ravaged the city back in 2005.

But what's often overlooked in the marketing of the NOLA reform model is that in communities elsewhere — especially those that haven't been decimated recently by a catastrophic hurricane — there's a force that might get in the way of the model's adoption: the people who live there.

Lancaster, Typhoon, Hurricane — Jonathan Wood looks at the first models produced by Armstrong Siddeley after the Second World War / Alfa Romeo 6C — Douglas Blain encounters a recreation of one of a handful of short chassis 6C 256 Alfa Romeos prepared for racing just before World War Two / Porsche's Magnificent Mixtes — At a time when early automotive technology was in a state of flux, Ferdinand Porsche dared to use electricity to transmit power from engine to wheels.

The latest delay was the result of Tesla's efforts to fix bottlenecks in Model 3 production and supply battery power to hurricane victims in Puerto Rico.

The model also boasts a 23 - inch Hurricane RR forged alloy wheels wrapped in 315 / 25ZR23 rubber and coilover suspension.

If one examines our model's control simulations for the 1982 - 2006 period, which show a trend towards increasing hurricane activity over this period, and correlates this activity with SST in the Main Development Region, and then tries to use this correlation to predict the 21st century behavior of the model, it clearly doesn't work.

(As mentioned in the paper, when downscaling the GFDL CM2.1 model, rather than the ensemble mean, the number of hurricanes stays roughly unchanged by the end of the 21st century, and we see a substantial increase in the strongest model storms, those that exceed the surface pressure criterion for category 3.