Hence, a tenfold increase
in ice flux may be possible for Jakobshavn Isbræ if the trough does not narrow substantially with distance upstream.
Thus, for every 1 % increase in local sea level, there is a ~ 5 % increase
in ice flux through the grounding line (though this may be higher if the bed is slippery near the grounding line, see Tsai et al. 2015).
Not exact matches
This anterior - posterior heat
flux is important
in preventing these
ice mole rats from sinking through the
ice sheets and is unknown
in any other mammal.
The magnetic strings
in the spin
ice do not fit the Dirac definition, Kimball feels, because they are,
in fact, observable and merely carry
flux between two opposing so - called monopoles.
By his assessment, the magnetic strings
in the spin
ice do not fit the Dirac definition because they are,
in fact, observable and merely carry
flux between two opposing so - called monopoles.
The continued reduction
in the extent of sea
ice in the Arctic is expected to lead to increased photosynthetic primary production and POC
flux there (Jones et al., 2014), which could benefit fauna whose energetic demands increase as a result of ocean acidification (e.g., calcifying taxa).
I know that, such as East Antarctica, which
ice sheet's thickness could reach several kilometers therefore huge pressure and geothermal
flux results
in melting, then the subglacial lakes and water channels.
Freshwater
flux has little effect on simulated Northern Hemisphere sea
ice until the 7th decade of freshwater growth (Fig. 13d), but Southern Hemisphere sea
ice is more sensitive, with substantial response
in the 5th decade and large response
in the 6th decade.
Fichefet, T., et al., 2003: Implications of changes
in freshwater
flux from the Greenland
ice sheet for the climate of the 21st century.
Since IPCC (2001) the cryosphere has undergone significant changes, such as the substantial retreat of arctic sea
ice, especially
in summer; the continued shrinking of mountain glaciers; the decrease
in the extent of snow cover and seasonally frozen ground, particularly
in spring; the earlier breakup of river and lake
ice; and widespread thinning of antarctic
ice shelves along the Amundsen Sea coast, indicating increased basal melting due to increased ocean heat
fluxes in the cavities below the
ice shelves.
Geothermal heat
flux is an important factor
in controlling basal
ice temperatures, and subglacial volcanoes regularly cause localised melting
in ice sheets.
Gordon, C., et al., 2000: The simulation of SST, sea
ice extents and ocean heat transports
in a version of the Hadley Centre coupled model without
flux adjustments.
Stable grounding lines can not be established on these reverse bed slopes1, because
ice thickness is a key factor
in controlling
ice flux across the grounding line.
•» According to Zhang (2007) thermal expansion
in the lower latitude is unlikely because of the reduced salt rejection and upper - ocean density and the enhanced thermohaline stratification tend to suppress convective overturning, leading to a decrease
in the upward ocean heat transport and the ocean heat
flux available to melt sea
ice.
The
ice melting from ocean heat
flux decreases faster than the
ice growth does
in the weakly stratified Southern Ocean, leading to an increase
in the net
ice production and hence an increase
in ice mass.»
Suppression of ocean circulation overturning decreases the ocean heat
flux available to melt
ice, leading to an increase
in net
ice production [13].
She has also participated
in group shows at The
Ice Box, AUX / VOX Populi, Tiger Strikes Asteroid,
Flux Gallery, Barber Shop Gallery and Stella Elkins Tyler Gallery, Philadelphia, UWM Union Art Gallery, Milwaukee, and at the Hampshire College Gallery, Amherst.
Similarly, Out of Empty (2013) presents material
in flux — a glass of container holding a series of objects cast from aluminum batteries and black polyurethane rubber watch which are stranded
in a layer of
ice water as if obsolete fossils.
I have to this date never seen these variations
in actual solar activity / cosmic ray
flux taken into account when modelling previous
ice age cycles, which I find deeply concerning.
On the other hand, if volumetric loss is a good proxy for Northward net heat
fluxes, as discussed
in my comment above, then we might expect the volumetric losses to remain relatively constant,
in which case they would represent ever - greater proportions of the remaining
ice.
[Response: Here's a simple back - of - envelope consideration for the future: if the Greenland
ice sheet melts completely over the next ~ 1,000 years (Jim Hansen argues
in the current Climatic Change that the time scale could be centuries), this would contribute an average
flux of ~ 0.1 Sv of freshwater to the surrounding ocean.
in reply to Thomas: «Rather than flow speeds (presumably at or near the terminus) I'd rather see the total
flux of
ice presented.
What the
ice actually does
in a particular year depends upon the «forcings» (to misapply a term, perhaps) actually occurring — net ocean heat
fluxes, net radiative
fluxes, winds and currents (especially, but not exclusively, as they determine
ice export to the North Atlantic.)
First, the more appropriate scientific definition of climate is that it is a system involving the oceans, land, atmosphere and continental
ice sheets with interfacial
fluxes between these components, as we concluded
in the 2005 National Research Council report.
In new convective sites heat
flux variations initially are related to sea -
ice variations.
Or is the freshwater
flux to the ocean from the melting
ice sheet for some reason not represented
in the models as a forcing on the circulation?
In essence Zhang proposes that the warming factors reduce the growth of sea ice which reduces ocean overturning allowing increased stratification of the ocean which in turn reduces ocean heat flux available to melt ic
In essence Zhang proposes that the warming factors reduce the growth of sea
ice which reduces ocean overturning allowing increased stratification of the ocean which
in turn reduces ocean heat flux available to melt ic
in turn reduces ocean heat
flux available to melt
ice.
As I understand it, even a small amount (a few Watt / m ^ 2) of sustained heat -
flux very significantly impacts growth of multi-year
ice in winter, and possibly make a difference between 6 - 7 meter MYI and just 1 - 2 meter
ice.
It had a role due to increased
ice fluxes through the Fram Strait
in the early 1990s, when the AO / NAO was very positive.
-- I understand that less than 10 TW may be explained by
ice melting...
In order to «lodge» somewhere... this «puzzling 500 TW gap»... I do not see any other «spot» than the # 40 PW of latent heat
flux that maintain the water cycle...
This study proposes a mechanism sustaining the enhanced westerly winds by a cyclonic atmospheric circulation
in the Barents Sea region created by a strong surface heat
flux over the
ice - free areas.
concluded from magnetic satellite measurements that the heat
fluxes below the
ice are anything but uniformal and (should) have a major effect on
ice modelling
in the future.
So
in our time
ice is experiencing a similar forcing, but with more longwave
flux, less shortwave — although we also have the dubious benefit of anthropogenic black carbon emissions.
Not only that, but the sea
ice insulates the atmosphere from the ocean, and without it heat
fluxes from the ocean to the atmosphere increase — all of which assists
in the melting of the permafrost.
The main result of this research, is that the variations of the
flux, as predicted from the galactic model and as observed from the Iron meteorites is
in sync with the occurrence of
ice - age epochs on Earth.
«
In addition, we are currently developing a method that also allows for high - precision hydrogen isotopic measurements on methane in ice cores, which will further improve our emission flux constraints,» revealed Fische
In addition, we are currently developing a method that also allows for high - precision hydrogen isotopic measurements on methane
in ice cores, which will further improve our emission flux constraints,» revealed Fische
in ice cores, which will further improve our emission
flux constraints,» revealed Fischer.
«Changes
in the Poleward Energy
Flux by the Atmosphere and Ocean as a Possible Cause for
Ice Ages.»
However, even a smaller figure (I had calculated about 0.17 W / m ^ 2 based on your inflated figure for total planetary albedo, but you can check it out) is still significant when compared with the total
flux imbalance, which I think is a more informative comparison than an arbitrarily selected change
in cloud cover, because it compares the sea
ice reduction with the effects of all climate variations that have been operating
in recent years..
The
ice normally reflects more heat and sunlight back into space than open ocean or bare ground, so when it is reduced, the Earth gets a small incremental heat
flux that will result
in an increase
in temperatures.
We quantify sea - level commitment
in the baseline case by building on Levermann et al. (10), who used physical simulations to model the SLR within a 2,000 - y envelope as the sum of the contributions of (i) ocean thermal expansion, based on six coupled climate models; (ii) mountain glacier and
ice cap melting, based on surface mass balance and simplified
ice dynamic models; (iii) Greenland
ice sheet decay, based on a coupled regional climate model and
ice sheet dynamic model; and (iv) Antarctic
ice sheet decay, based on a continental - scale model parameterizing grounding line
ice flux in relation to temperature.
While vertical AW [Atlantic Water] heat
fluxes are negligible
in the Canadian Basin, turbulent mixing may be strong enough
in the western Nansen Basin to produce a sizable effect of AW heat on sea
ice.
Extra Cold water
in the Circumpolar current, low Solar activity [10.7 cm
Flux - > 100 — 110], and Sun still
in Northern Hemisphere these combine to accelerate the Cold / Cooling increasing the Sea
Ice Extent.
You can see
in section four and related figures that the progression continues, next including the Pacific and
ice in the East Eurasian Arctic
in stage three, and then anomaly trends come to a close
in stage four, with cumulative effects on
ice, heat
flux, atmospheric response, etc..
«Just when the surface
ice melted
in the lab, he measured a large
flux of carbon and methane.
Numerous recent studies based on both observations and model simulations indicate that reduced Barents - Kara sea
ice in late fall favors a strengthened and northwestward expansion of the Siberian high, increased poleward heat
flux, weakened polar vortex, and ultimately a negative AO.
When the
flux is increased, the planet undergoes a decrease
in surface albedo which is due to the melting of the permanent polar
ice caps and the reduced seasonal snow cover.
With weather averaged out, with solar cycles averaged out, with
ice ages and Milankovitch cycles averaged out,
in geologic time, galactic cosmic ray
flux * is * the driver of the great
ice ages and hothouse periods
in the Phanerozoic, with something of a 6C or 7C peak to peak temperature swing of * equatorial * ocean temperatures (from my eyeball measurement of a Veizer chart).
It changes because of greenhouse gases, cloud and
ice cover changes, land clearing, volcanoes, dust and soot
in the atmosphere — all of the physical changes that result
in a change
in the radiative
flux leaving the planet either as IR (heat) emissions or as reflected sunlight.
Coinciding with cycles of reduced sea
ice, glaciers on the island Novaya Zemlya
in the Barents Sea, also underwent their greatest retreat around 1920 to 1940.61 After several decades of stability, its tidewater glaciers began retreating again around the year 2000, but at a rate five times slower than the 1930s.47 The recent cycle of intruding warm Atlantic water45 is now waning and if solar
flux remains low, we should expect Arctic sea
ice in the Barents and Kara seas to begin a recovery and Arctic glaciers to stabilize within the next 15 years.
The correlation between Greenland
ice core data and solar
flux, is also seen
in Scandinavian tree ring data.15 Tree rings suggest the warmest decade
in the past 2000 years, happened during the warm spike of the Roman Warm Period between 27 and 56 AD.