Not exact matches
Some researchers have suggested that climate
change, which has resulted
in a rapidly warming Arctic, is leading to
jet stream kinks that keep extreme weather
in place, although that hypothesis is still being debated (ClimateWire, April 3).
The study by the Planetary Sciences Group reports that this gigantic storm is another of the agents of
change in the equatorial
jet stream.
They compared those events with
changes in the Global Wind Oscillation (GWO) index, a collection of climate and weather information that measures atmospheric angular momentum, or the degree of waviness
in the
jet stream.
The strength and path of the North Atlantic
jet stream and the Greenland blocking phenomena appear to be influenced by increasing temperatures
in the Arctic which have averaged at least twice the global warming rate over the past two decades, suggesting that those marked
changes may be a key factor affecting extreme weather conditions over the UK, although an Arctic connection may not occur each year.
The research is the first reconstruction of historical
changes in the North Atlantic
jet stream prior to the 20th century.
Since meteorologists can only accurately predict weather within the 10 to 12 days between
jet stream flow
changes, a shift
in this time frame would directly impact weather predictability.
«The
jet stream changes character every 10 to 12 days, and we use this pattern to predict the weather,» said Anthony Lupo, professor of atmospheric science
in MU's School of Natural Resources, which is located
in the College of Agriculture, Food and Natural Resources.
«Weather should remain predictable despite climate
change: Simulations of
jet stream behavior
in a warming climate suggest ranges of forecasts
in the mid-century will be similar to those
in present day.»
It's called the polar
jet stream, and as it writhes eastward across the North American continent, it can bring storms
in its wake or herald an unseasonable
change in temperature — north of the
jet stream lies cold, Arctic air, while to its south are warmer conditions.
But Robeson said the observation aligns with theories about climate
change, which hold that amplified warming
in the Arctic region produces
changes in the
jet stream, which can result
in extended periods of cold weather at some locations
in the mid-northern latitudes.
Widening of the tropics would also probably be associated with poleward movement of major extratropical climate zones due to
changes in the position of
jet streams, storm tracks, mean position of high and low pressure systems, and associated precipitation regimes.
These detected
changes in mid-latitude storm tracks are likely linked to
changes in the
jet stream and planetary waves
in the atmosphere.
The ongoing disappearance of sea ice
in the Arctic from elevated temperatures is a factor to
changes in atmospheric pressure that control
jet streams of air, explained James Overland, an oceanographer of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, or NOAA.
Dr Screen said: «The results of the computer model suggest that melting Arctic sea ice causes a
change in the position of the
jet stream and this could help to explain the recent wet summers we have seen.
Astronomers believed this gyre was altering the
jet stream's course, much
in the same way a large rock would
change a nearby river's path.
Importantly, the NAO relates to
changes in the strength and position of the North Atlantic
jet stream - a band of very fast winds high
in the atmosphere.
Those
changes may include the loss of Arctic summer sea ice, the collapse of ice sheets
in Greenland and western Antarctica, dieback of the Amazon rainforest and
changes in the
jet stream and the pattern of El Niño and La Niña weather cycles.
The
changes in the atmospheric circulation include things like a stronger subtropical
jet stream.
Virtually ice - free summers
in the arctic sea could well arrive by 2030, with troubling implications for accelerated albedo feedback and possibly disruptive
changes in the
jet stream.
There are other influences on the
jet stream's behavior, and some scientists think that
changes in tropical ocean temperatures, or the cyclical recurrence of El Niño, might have a bigger effect on the
jet stream than
changes in the Arctic.
Research into three centuries of European tree ring data by Valerie Trouet of the University of Arizona found evidence of significant
changes in the
jet stream starting
in the 1960s.
Scientists want to understand how
changing the dynamics of the
jet stream in models can
change how the model predicts the timing and location of these extreme phenomena.
And those
changes in the Hadley Circulation can affect the subtropical
jet stream — an area of fast - moving air that guides storms —
in both the Northern and Southern hemispheres.
The magnetic field is forever
changing, and this could even make the
jet stream switch direction,» Rune Floberghagen, the ESA's Swarm mission manager, said
in a separate statement.
«We've got this huge El Niño out there, we have the warm blob
in the northeast Pacific, the cool blob
in the Atlantic, and this ridiculously warm Arctic,» says Jennifer Francis, a climate researcher at Rutgers University who focuses on the Arctic and has argued that Arctic
changes are
changing mid-latitude weather by causing wobbles
in the
jet stream.
Changes in climate can cause the polar
jet stream — the boundary between the cold North Pole air and the warm equatorial air — to migrate south, bringing with it cold, Arctic air.
In Liquidity inc., Steyerl makes one of her characteristic intellectual leaps and connects extreme financial events to extreme climate events: the jet stream of money changes direction when the Dow Jones collapses, then suddenly a gonzo weather forecaster, masked in black, is gesturing across the most political of politically geographical maps you ever saw — noting failed states and off - shore tax havens, isobars indicating flows of capital rather than weather front
In Liquidity inc., Steyerl makes one of her characteristic intellectual leaps and connects extreme financial events to extreme climate events: the
jet stream of money
changes direction when the Dow Jones collapses, then suddenly a gonzo weather forecaster, masked
in black, is gesturing across the most political of politically geographical maps you ever saw — noting failed states and off - shore tax havens, isobars indicating flows of capital rather than weather front
in black, is gesturing across the most political of politically geographical maps you ever saw — noting failed states and off - shore tax havens, isobars indicating flows of capital rather than weather fronts.
The Paramagnetic Oxygen Transport Thesis explains the failure of Brewer - Dobson equatorial ozone formation, the Ozone Hole
in 1983, continued Antarctic cold temps concurrent with Arctic warming, mid-latitude ozone formation which accelerates
jet streams and elongates Rossby wave loops, and wandering magnetic poles which control extreme weather and climate
change.
Probably by
changes in jet stream position, due to
changes in UV absorption
in the stratosphere.
For instance,
changes in ocean convection over the north Atlantic would affect the
jet stream, which would have a dramatic effect upon regional precipitation, probably leading to acute drought
in the northern hemisphere, which will weaken and push the northern
jet stream toward the Arctic.
It is not about the nitpicking over the exact minimum extent, etc., it is about the fact that we are entering unknown climate and weather territories where the
jet stream is going to go north, the weather will
change drastically
in the U.S. and northern Europe, and no one knows how drastically.
One minute
change in the atmospheric regime can slowly effect further
changes in the system and the chain reaction can occur, which,
in the end, could shift a
jet stream a few kilometres and create conditions possible for storm intensification, which may result
in the flooding of an area where the storm would not have been or would have been greatly minimised.
Or it may be caused by any other mechanism (like the influence of solar
changes on the
jet stream position) which enhance the simple direct insolation
change which is incorporated
in several current climate models...
Solar has its largest influence
in the lower stratosphere (including
changes in jet stream position), CO2
in the lower troposphere.
The second aspect of climate
change that is likely affecting Alaska more and more is the apparent tendency of warming
in the Arctic and warmer sea surface temperatures
in the Pacific to contribute to larger waves
in the
jet stream.
The
jet stream off the East Coast of the United States controls an important climate pattern
in the Atlantic... «The North Atlantic Oscillation is really driving these
changes in ocean circulation,» said Gerald McCarthy, lead study author and an oceanographer at the University of Southampton
in the United Kingdom....
The latest en vogue explanation linking human greenhouse gas emissions to strong winter - season East Coast storms involves
changes in the characteristics of the
jet stream — a river of fast moving air
in the atmosphere that influences both the strength and the forward speed of extratropical storm systems.
One was published several months ago
in Geophysical Research Letters by James Screen and Ian Simmonds, who looked for
changes in jet stream characteristics using a different methodology than that of Francis and Vavrus.
A prominent (
in the media, anyway) research study last year by Rutgers's Jennifer Francis and University of Wisconsin's Stephen Vavrus suggests that the declining temperature difference between the Arctic and the lower latitudes (adding greenhouse gases into the atmosphere warms colder, drier regions more so than warmer, wetter ones — with the notable exception of Antarctica) has led to
changes in the
jet stream which result
in slower moving, and potentially stronger East Coast winter storm systems.
But passengers won't just have to keep their seat belts locked, they may have to stay locked
in for longer, as
jet stream wind patterns
change.
«If loss of sea ice is driving
changes in the
jet stream, the
jet stream is
changing Greenland, and this,
in turn, has an impact on the Arctic system as well as the climate.
I think there is evidence that AGW has caused the decline
in arctic sea ice, which may be responsible for the
changes seen
in the paths of the
jet stream, which may be responsible for the blocking high over Greenland which was responsible for Sandy's left turn.
Although the theory is still being explored, teleconnections are thought to link land use to
changes in the polar
jet stream, the paths of tropical cyclones, and the frequencies and intensities of droughts, floods, heat waves, and other weather events.
According to climate scientist Michael Mann, it's very possible that several of the recent severe and costly extreme weather outbreaks are linked to
changes in the
jet stream he identified
in a recent study.
You say that there is evidence that AGW has caused the decline
in arctic sea ice, which may be responsible for the
changes seen
in the paths of the
jet stream, which may be responsible for the blocking high over Greenland which was responsible for Sandy's left turn.
And science is emerging suggesting a link between the melting of Arctic sea ice on one hand and faster warming
in the region and
changes to the northern hemisphere
jet stream on the other, explaining why some weather systems appear to get «stuck
in place» — to often - devastating effect.
Francis, who wasn't involved with either study, is one of the main proponents of an idea that by altering how much heat the ocean lets out, sea ice melt and Arctic warming can also
change atmospheric circulation patterns,
in particular by making the
jet stream form larger peaks, or highs, and troughs, or lows.
There have been many primarily anthropogenic
changes in the past, but the major
jet stream changes caused by the retreat of the North American Ice Shield seems to be much more determinative for Holocene
changes in Saharan rainfall.
4) A
change in global weather patterns which I noticed as long ago as 2000 whereby the
jet streams moved back towards the equator from the positions they adopted during the warming spell.
So
jet stream positioning and consequent
changes in solar input to the oceans could swing the ENSO phenomenon
in favour of dominant El Nino or dominant La Nina subject additionally to possible modulation from internal oceanic effects.