Sentences with phrase «in model predictions»

My favorite quote from that paper is: «Because ENSO is the dominant mode of climate variability at interannual time scales, the lack of consistency in the model predictions of the response of ENSO to global warming currently limits our confidence in using these predictions to address adaptive societal concerns, such as regional impacts or extremes (Joseph and Nigam 2006; Power et al. 2006).»

Scaling factors derived from detection analyses can be used to scale predictions of future change by assuming that the fractional error in model predictions of global mean temperature change is constant (Allen et al., 2000, 2002; Allen and Stainforth, 2002; Stott and Kettleborough, 2002).

Because the new precise observations agree with existing assessments of water vapor's impact, researchers are more confident than ever in model predictions that Earth's leading greenhouse gas will contribute to a temperature rise of a few degrees by the end of the century.

«We should always be humble in our model predictions because nature can always be more complex than we initially anticipate.»

«This was an oversimplification that likely led to errors in model predictions of how well crops and forests grow in different times and places,» he said.

The statistical assessment of errors in model prediction and model estimation is of fundamental importance.

HadCM3 - AO and HadSM3 - AS were created in the Quantifying Uncertainty in Modelling Predictions (QUMP) project.

Not exact matches

In fact, the European model's predictions for Hurricane Irma were closer to the actual path than other models.

He said that if he had to rely on the European Space Agency's limited, difficult - to - access data for his work checking climate model predictions against reality, he'd be «more or less blind» — particularly in the vast, uninhabited stretches of the globe like the Pacific, which are vital for understanding the world climate.

Expert Prediction from Eric Fox, vice president of statistical and economic modeling (VeroForecast)-- The top forecast markets shows price appreciation in the 10 % to 11 % range.

In 2014, global crowdfunding funding volumes grew to $ 16.2 billion across all crowdfunding models (eg., equity, debt / loans, reward / product and donation) according to a leading industry report (with 2015 predictions approaching $ 35 billion).

In addition, BlitzPredict wants to incentive sports analytics expects to create reliable predictive models, stand by their predictions, and build a following that helps sports enthusiasts make informed decisions.

This ranges from identifying time trends in transaction data, to creating price prediction models, to estimating the relationship between flows of cryptocurrencies to exchanges and subsequent trading activity.

Other, more sophisticated, models can result in totally different predictions.

However, in order to both keep the model as simple as possible and give predictions that are in reality a best - case scenario, our model simply assumes that each household's income grows at a steady, fixed rate each year, that retirement savings grow and accumulate returns at a steady pace, etc. (For more detail on the values used in the model for growth in home values, retirement assets, etc., see the Methodology Appendix below).

The research evidence on this question is hard to deny and right in line with the predictions of the economic models: prohibition of secret abortions cuts both teenage abortion rates and teenage pregnancy rates.

Therefore in a scientific model you can run the clock forward or back to model the future or the past and make predictions.

No model has been presented Since there is no model, there are no predictions from the theory No refinement of the theory is possible In an attempt to be all - inclusive, most ID proponents have failed to

Most of the time, Occam's Razor is a conservative tool, cutting out crazy, complicated constructions and assuring that hypotheses are grounded in the science of the day, thus yielding «normal» science: models of explanation and prediction.

However, with a more realistic model in which the mass is smeared throughout the galaxy, Whitehead's prediction is altered by a factor of 100, greatly diminishing the divergence between his prediction and Will's experimental limit.

We do not know if the universe is or is not designed, but we do know that the best way to understand the «design» of the universe is to study it unbiasedly and make the most accurate models that fit reality in the most precise ways that cause the best predictions — in a word, science.

Look up the warm superconductor experiements back in 2009 in the Netherlands, which has confirmed predictions made by that model.

The absence of prediction is a major point of distinction between metaphysical and scientific models, but in other features Ferré sees considerable similarity:

In this inference pattern the deductive inference is to predictions which test the proposed dominant order of an environment elaborated analogically, not deductively, from the model of another environmental order.

Time for some brutal honesty... this team, as it stands, is in no better position to compete next season than they were 12 months ago, minus the fact that some fans have been easily snowed by the acquisition of Lacazette, the free transfer LB and the release of Sanogo... if you look at the facts carefully you will see a team that still has far more questions than answers... to better show what I mean by this statement I will briefly discuss the current state of affairs on a position - by - position basis... in goal we have 4 potential candidates, but in reality we have only 1 option with any real future and somehow he's the only one we have actively tried to get rid of for years because he and his father were a little too involved on social media and he got caught smoking (funny how people still defend Wiltshire under the same and far worse circumstances)... you would think we would want to keep any goaltender that Juventus had interest in, as they seem to have a pretty good history when it comes to that position... as far as the defenders on our current roster there are only a few individuals whom have the skill and / or youth worthy of our time and / or investment, as such we should get rid of anyone who doesn't meet those simple requirements, which means we should get rid of DeBouchy, Gibbs, Gabriel, Mertz and loan out Chambers to see if last seasons foray with Middlesborough was an anomaly or a prediction of things to come... some fans have lamented wildly about the return of Mertz to the starting lineup due to his FA Cup performance but these sort of pie in the sky meanderings are indicative of what's wrong with this club and it's wishy - washy fan - base... in addition to these moves the club should aggressively pursue the acquisition of dominant and mobile CB to stabilize an all too fragile defensive group that has self - destructed on numerous occasions over the past 5 seasons... moving forward and building on our need to re-establish our once dominant presence throughout the middle of the park we need to target a CDM then do whatever it takes to get that player into the fold without any of the usual nickel and diming we have become famous for (this kind of ruthless haggling has cost us numerous special players and certainly can't help make the player in question feel good about the way their future potential employer feels about them)... in order for us to become dominant again we need to be strong up the middle again from Goalkeeper to CB to DM to ACM to striker, like we did in our most glorious years before and during Wenger's reign... with this in mind, if we want Ozil to be that dominant attacking midfielder we can't keep leaving him exposed to constant ridicule about his lack of defensive prowess and provide him with the proper players in the final third... he was never a good defensive player in Real or with the German National squad and they certainly didn't suffer as a result of his presence on the pitch... as for the rest of the midfield the blame falls squarely in the hands of Wenger and Gazidis, the fact that Ramsey, Ox, Sanchez and even Ozil were allowed to regularly start when none of the aforementioned had more than a year left under contract is criminal for a club of this size and financial might... the fact that we could find money for Walcott and Xhaka, who weren't even guaranteed starters, means that our whole business model needs a complete overhaul... for me it's time to get rid of some serious deadweight, even if it means selling them below what you believe their market value is just to simply right this ship and change the stagnant culture that currently exists... this means saying goodbye to Wiltshire, Elneny, Carzola, Walcott and Ramsey... everyone, minus Elneny, have spent just as much time on the training table as on the field of play, which would be manageable if they weren't so inconsistent from a performance standpoint (excluding Carzola, who is like the recent version of Rosicky — too bad, both will be deeply missed)... in their places we need to bring in some proven performers with no history of injuries... up front, although I do like the possibilities that a player like Lacazette presents, the fact that we had to wait so many years to acquire some true quality at the striker position falls once again squarely at the feet of Wenger... this issue highlights the ultimate scam being perpetrated by this club since the arrival of Kroenke: pretend your a small market club when it comes to making purchases but milk your fans like a big market club when it comes to ticket prices and merchandising... I believe the reason why Wenger hasn't pursued someone of Henry's quality, minus a fairly inexpensive RVP, was that he knew that they would demand players of a similar ilk to be brought on board and that wasn't possible when the business model was that of a «selling» club... does it really make sense that we could only make a cheeky bid for Suarez, or that we couldn't get Higuain over the line when he was being offered up for half the price he eventually went to Juve for, or that we've only paid any interest to strikers who were clearly not going to press their current teams to let them go to Arsenal like Benzema or Cavani... just part of the facade that finally came crashing down when Sanchez finally called their bluff... the fact remains that no one wants to win more than Sanchez, including Wenger, and although I don't agree with everything that he has done off the field, I would much rather have Alexis front and center than a manager who has clearly bought into the Kroenke model in large part due to the fact that his enormous ego suggests that only he could accomplish great things without breaking the bank... unfortunately that isn't possible anymore as the game has changed quite dramatically in the last 15 years, which has left a largely complacent and complicit Wenger on the outside looking in... so don't blame those players who demanded more and were left wanting... don't blame those fans who have tried desperately to raise awareness for several years when cracks began to appear... place the blame at the feet of those who were well aware all along of the potential pitfalls of just such a plan but continued to follow it even when it was no longer a financial necessity, like it ever really was...

Last week saw some satisfying predictions on Sunday, as Everton ran out comfortable winners at home to Arsenal - in line with the model's forecasts - and Liverpool won away at West Ham.

Kinkaid's 34.53 Save Prediction in our Models leads the slate, and given the Penguins willingness to shoot this line looks a tad low.

More times than not, lines move in the direction of our models prediction.

OddsShark score prediction models pick a 3.7 - 2.1 result in favor of the Predators today.

In Chicago, the Park District will use a new high - tech system that uses computer software to give real - time predictions of bacteria counts based on such factors as water temperature, modeling of the lake bottom and wave action monitored by buoys.

What they gave the USDA was a modeled prediction based on all sorts of data the firm collected from 2,314 students at 398 schools that year, including the types of food served, the amount of time kids were given to eat, prices charged, and interviews with children and their parents revealing what the kids typically ate in the course of a day and family income.

To assess the robustness of the results of our regression analysis, we performed covariate adjustment with derived propensity scores to calculate the absolute risk difference (details are provided in the Supplementary Appendix, available with the full text of this article at NEJM.org).14, 15 To calculate the adjusted absolute risk difference, we used predictive margins and G - computation (i.e., regression - model — based outcome prediction in both exposure settings: planned in - hospital and planned out - of - hospital birth).16, 17 Finally, we conducted post hoc analyses to assess associations between planned out - of - hospital birth and outcomes (cesarean delivery and a composite of perinatal morbidity and mortality), which were stratified according to parity, maternal age, maternal education, and risk level.

«This document presents science - driven predictions, based on sophisticated climate - change models, regarding how we think bird distributions in Massachusetts might change during the next 30 years,» said Jon Atwood, Mass Audubon Director of Bird Conservation and a report author

Although such a calculator may provide more specific information about the chance of VBAC, which can be used by health care providers and their patients to further the process of shared decision making, no prediction model for VBAC has been shown to result in improved patient outcomes.

The relatively long duration of exclusive and any breastfeeding by the participants in the DNBC permitted us to construct statistically adequate prediction models of the potential contribution of breastfeeding to the reduction of PPWR.

The Root MSE tells us that the models are on average 3 to 5 percentage points out on the change in share of the council seats won, which is a big average error for a prediction model when there are thousands of seats up for election.

Stumm said the study would include «putting a network of outpost wells, filling in gaps in information, and using the information in a numerical model to make predictions for management.

Since my original specification of the model I've adjusted it slightly in order to try and get a prediction of the UKIP vote.

My official prediction using my Final Election Model is that the Conservatives will make a net gain of 45 seats resulting in a working majority of 105 seats.

With the caveats in mind then, here are the predictions my model generates (with 99 % confidence intervals):

The point to remember here is that the ultimate aim of this model is to get an overall, national - level, estimate of seat numbers and these are based, as noted earlier, on the proviso that an over-prediction in one constituency may be offset by an under - prediction in another constituency.

Not only was Prisle successful, but running simulations with her model made a big difference in climate predictions.

Working together, they will develop and test a variety of learning experiences in which students use online simulations to model energy - releasing and energy - requiring reactions, analyze and interpret data to make predictions about energy phenomena, and use evidence from their own observations or from simplified versions of scientific articles to explain phenomena and construct and critique arguments.

Regardless of what climate models find, investigating these long - distance links in weather could also pay off by improving risk prediction and forecasts.

Classic prediction models that only contain socio - demographic data (e.g. a person's age), aren't very informative on their own in predicting behavior.

The study, published in Nature Communications uses newly available data and advanced models to improve global predictions when it comes to extreme sea levels.

Computer scientists and mathematicians at the CEU Cardenal Herrera University in Valencia have developed a prediction model that can warn epileptic sufferers of an upcoming seizure with 20 minutes notice.

Their prediction model has recently been published in the article Crowdsourcing reproducible seizure forecasting in human and canine epilepsy in the OUP's Brain.

This gives confidence in the predictions of the current generation of ice - sheet models which are used to forecast future ice loss from Antarctica and resulting sea - level rise.»

Dunkel and his colleagues found that the model predictions matched their experiments in a square lattice.