«This important source of atmospheric methane is not currently considered
in modeled projections,» it said.
In their conclusion, the paper's five co-authors theorize that the plume material is carried to the mid-ocean ridge by a deep return flow centered in the asthenosphere rather than flowing along the base of the lithosphere as
in modeling projections.
Understanding how well climate models represent these processes will help reduce uncertainties
in the model projections of the effects of global warming on the world's water cycle.
included
in the model projections and is there a potential for a more rapid global temperature increase after hypothetical stopping of air pollution and subsequent cleaning of air?
The analysis of processes contributing to climate feedbacks in models and recent studies based on large ensembles of models suggest that in the future it may be possible to use observations to narrow the current spread
in model projections of climate change.
Given the discussion above it is clear that without good estimates of the actual forcings, the differences
in the model projections can be large.
· understand some of the factors responsible for differences
in model projections, including quantifying some key feedbacks such as those involving clouds and the carbon cycle
For example, to assess confidence
in model projections of the Australian climate, the metrics would need to include some measures of the quality of ENSO simulation because the Australian climate depends much on this variability (see Section 11.
Thus changing the offset has the potential to change more than just whether they appear to agree, this change appears to invalidate a major explanation and basis for confidence
in model projections of AR4.
I'm trying to think of a mechanism whereby the ice can rebound as shown
in the model projections after falling so precipitously.
The tropospheric energy budget, for example, is why precipitation spreads
in model projections are much smaller than the temperature spreads associated with unknown climate sensitivity, as the trop.
And does the variability
in the model projections truly measure the uncertainty?
2007/04/17: GRL: Increased tropical Atlantic wind shear
in model projections of global warming by Gabriel A. Vecchi & Brian J. Soden
PLUMES (funded by the Academy of Finland), «Pathways linking uncertainties
in model projections of climate and its effects», consortium partner leader, 2014 — 2018
Not exact matches
If I have
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in modeling yours (if relevant).
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model... but they can be adjusted to fit any business
«The
models that had been developed
in those days to predict homeowner behavior, not surprisingly, did not have this type of loan factored into their forward - looking
projections for 2004 and 2005.
This is a much disciplined
model and it allows money to be invested without as much risk because of the removal factors it has
in place to such as
projections of the future or emotion excesses.
Provided that the estimates entered on the forecast page are based on market consensus
projections, the market - implied GAP represents the forecast horizon needed
in a DCF
model to arrive at a value equal to the current market price.
Thus, metaphors and
models of God are understood to be discovered as well as created, to relate to God's reality not
in the sense of being literally
in correspondence with it, but as versions or hypotheses of it that the community (
in this case, the church) accepts as relatively adequate.16 Hence,
models of God are not simply heuristic fictions; the critical realist does not accept the Feuerbachian critique that language about God is nothing but human
projection.
Brady has a position - high ceiling
projection in our DraftKings
Models, but the Steelers have held opponents below their implied Vegas totals
in eight games this season.
Various
projection models had them
in the 45 - 48 win range, so their regular season shouldn't have been a huge shock.
This season, the 25 - year old Stanton is the favorite (+600) to lead all of baseball
in home runs and most
projection models agree.
Newton is the highest - rated quarterback
in the Bales
Model, and he has the position's highest median and floor
projections.
Jake Elliott ($ 4,600): Elliott hasn't scored fewer than 10 points
in a game this season and is currently tied for the second - highest point
projection in our
Models at 11.6.
A better understanding of the heating distributions required to robustly simulate strong MJOs
in climate
models will improve insights into the dynamics of the climate system and
projections of future climate.
The research
in Nature Climate Change signals that many climate
models may be too conservative
in their
projections through this century, as they are not considering ice loss from the northeast portion of Greenland.
The difference among the recharge
projections from the 11 global change
models reflects the difference
in future regional precipitation that the
models project, the authors write.
Therefore, also changes
in land cover should be represented
in climate
models for
projections of future climate,» concludes Francesco S.R. Pausata.
Two important advances since the last IPCC assessment have increased confidence
in the use of
models for both attribution and
projection of climate changes.
With these factors
in mind, researchers constructed a computer
model and tested it to see how well its
projections aligned with how the virus actually spread.
Richard Betts, head of climate impacts at the Hadley Centre of the U.K.'s Met office presented to reporters
in Copenhagen today a new analysis of
modeling data showing how conserving tropical forests is going to be crucial if the world is to make a target of 2 ˚C, even under the most conservative
projections of how much carbon the forests contain.
The goals of the project include reconstructing extreme climate changes from the recent past (1894 - 2014), using historically referenced data to assess near - future global climate
model projections, and to ultimately use this analysis to investigate ecological problems
in Chesapeake Bay, such as eelgrass diebacks.
The
model produces different jobs and growth
projections for a business - as - usual scenario with no technology breakthroughs or major new policies, and then generates different outcomes by factoring
in new policies such as a national clean energy standards such as proposed by President Obama; increases
in corporate average fuel economy standards; tougher environmental controls on coal - fired power generators; extended investment and production tax credits for clean energy sources and an expanded federal energy loan guarantee program.
Dr Pete Falloon of the Met Office Hadley Centre, who led the climate
modelling, said «State - of - the - art high resolution climate
models were used
in this project alongside the latest UKCP09 climate
projections.
The researchers then used a mathematical
model that combined the conflict data with temperature and rainfall
projections through 2050 to come up with predictions about the likelihood of climate - related violence
in the future.
«The
models we use for these purposes are getting better,» he added, «but we have to be cautious about how much credence to put into the
model projections, especially when we don't see the clear trend
in the data.»
The recent slowdown
in global warming has brought into question the reliability of climate
model projections of future temperature change and has led to a vigorous debate over whether this slowdown is the result of naturally occurring, internal variability or forcing external to Earth's climate system.
«Prior analyses have found that climate
models underestimate the observed rate of tropical widening, leading to questions on possible
model deficiencies, possible errors
in the observations, and lack of confidence
in future
projections,» said Robert J. Allen, an assistant professor of climatology
in UC Riverside's Department of Earth Sciences, who led the study.
The
model accounts for accretion of sand onto beaches and long - term sediment processes
in making
projections of future shoreline position.
A spheroidal ring
projection would mirror the strings of clusters of galaxies seen to surround voids
in the universe; voids and string - like formations are seen and predicted by many
models of the cosmos.
The changes shown
in these maps compare an average of the
model projections to the average temperature and precipitation benchmarks observed from 1971 - 2000.
Johnston said that the west Florida Shelf is a high - production fishery, especially for red grouper, and that
projection model shows the grouper
in areas that are expected to have high lionfish populations
in the future.
«Any soil moisture increases consistent with climate
model projections are expected to increase soil respiration
in both vegetation types.
Bukiet's
model picked 2/3 of the ten post-season teams back
in March (there were some ties
in the original
projections leading to the fraction), a result that beat nearly 90 % of the experts (at Yahoo Sports, Sports Illustrated, ESPN and the Examiner) and that for the third year
in four placed him first at Baseballphd.nets annual contest to pick the teams who would make it to the playoffs.
«When we look forward several decades, climate
models predict such profound loss of Arctic sea ice that there's little doubt this will negatively affect polar bears throughout much of their range, because of their critical dependence on sea ice,» said Kristin Laidre, a researcher at the University of Washington's Polar Science Center
in Seattle and co-author of a study on
projections of the global polar bear population.
On March 31 Muller testified
in front of Congress and confirmed what mainstream climate scientists had been saying: Earth is warming
in line with the
projections of climate
models.
For the RCP8.5
projections, which represents stronger increases
in greenhouse gas concentrations than RCP4.5, there was a striking level of consistency
in the magnitude of change
in AR frequency — all
models showed an approximate doubling of the number of future ARs compared to the simulations for 1980 — 2005.
Climate
model projections neglecting these changes would continue to overestimate the radiative forcing and global warming
in coming decades if these aerosols remain present at current values or increase.