Sentences with phrase «in modeled storm»

Not exact matches

Scientists will run a model of the storm but adjust for climate change — derived changes in CO2.
The lawmakers say this bill is modeled after grant programs implemented in the wake of various storms such as Sandy, Irene and Lee.
Mr. Storm commended the State government for the success of Community Health Insurance Scheme since two thousand and seven and called on other states for emulate Kwara State Health Insurance model in order to improve access to health care in Nigeria.
Under this model (described in the paper, which was submitted to arXiv.org), during the next 50 years the potential for economic damage will depend primarily on the rising odds of a strong solar storm over time.
In past studies, scientists using simple 1D models of Earth would have found that 16 high - voltage electrical transmission lines were disturbed in the mid-Atlantic region during the storm, resulting in the blackouIn past studies, scientists using simple 1D models of Earth would have found that 16 high - voltage electrical transmission lines were disturbed in the mid-Atlantic region during the storm, resulting in the blackouin the mid-Atlantic region during the storm, resulting in the blackouin the blackout.
They looked to their models to determine where this «perfect storm» might come together and found that, by the end of the century, almost all of North America and most of Europe would likely see a jump in the frequency of wildfires.
Computer modeling and satellite observations suggest that these tiny particles can increase storm - cloud cover over certain regions of the North Pacific by 20 to 50 percent, enough to alter storm tracks in some cases.
«The storm surge models do a great job for what they were designed for, but they simply can not account for the phenomena such as what we have seen in Hernani,» says Bricker.
The moon appears to be a tranquil place, but modeling done by University of New Hampshire and NASA scientists suggests that, over the eons, periodic storms of solar energetic particles may have significantly altered the properties of the soil in the moon's coldest craters through the process of sparking — a finding that could change our understanding of the evolution of planetary surfaces in the solar system.
ADVANCES: Tornado prediction requires complex computer modeling that can take into account the small shifts in storms that can send one whirling into a tornado.
A computer model developed, in part, by University of Florida researchers can help coastal managers better understand the long - term effects of major storms, sea - level rise and beach restoration activities and possibly save millions of dollars.
For every hurricane in the North Atlantic Basin between 1997 and 2013, they pulled information such as mean sea - level pressure and temperature as well as vertical temperature and humidity profiles, and entered it into a thermodynamic hurricane model that treats each storm as a gigantic heat engine.
«The model Talia developed gives us both qualitative information on the mechanisms that steer storms toward the poles and quantitative means to predict how these will change in the future,» says Kaspi.
When data like these are included in climate models, it can refine representations of hard - to - capture features such as storms.
In this research, we used a three - dimensional hydrodynamic model to simulate surges in the Clyde during storms; our findings suggest that floods are caused not only by extreme surges but also by moderate surges coupled with high spring tideIn this research, we used a three - dimensional hydrodynamic model to simulate surges in the Clyde during storms; our findings suggest that floods are caused not only by extreme surges but also by moderate surges coupled with high spring tidein the Clyde during storms; our findings suggest that floods are caused not only by extreme surges but also by moderate surges coupled with high spring tides.
«Regional changes are mostly due to natural variability but on top of that we see this pronounced overall weakening in summer storm activity,» says co-author Dim Coumou, «This is also something projected by climate models under future emission scenarios.
The models are enabling researchers to study storms where measurements have not been obtained in the field.
The numerical models simulated clouds and snowfall over the Payette Basin, as created both in natural storms and with cloud seeding.
For example, when examining hurricanes and typhoons, the lack of a high - quality, long - term historical record, uncertainty regarding the impact of climate change on storm frequency and inability to accurately simulate these storms in most global climate models raises significant challenges when attributing assessing the impact of climate change on any single storm.
Climate models predict increasingly severe storms and droughts and, in the Pacific Northwest, more precipitation falling as rain instead of snow.
This data will help determine damage from the surge and improve models of flooding in the future, which could help provide a better picture of where future storm waters will go and who needs to be evacuated ahead of hurricanes.
In the future, Orton says, improved storm - surge models could predict where flood zones should be drawn given future sea level rise, which is now done nationally by the Federal Emergency Management Agency with data from past storms.
Satellite altimetry methods developed at NOC play a crucial role in helping improve storm surge models and map out regional changes in mean sea level.»
The freely - accessible database of storm surge data has been compiled through the multi-partner, international eSurge project, which was launched in 2011 with the aim of making available observational data to improve the modelling and forecasting of storm surges around the world using advanced techniques and instruments.
In April 2011, five days before a powerful storm system tore through six southern states, NOAA's current polar - orbiting satellites provided data that, when fed into models, prompted the NOAA Storm Prediction Center to forecast «a potentially historic tornado outbreak.&rstorm system tore through six southern states, NOAA's current polar - orbiting satellites provided data that, when fed into models, prompted the NOAA Storm Prediction Center to forecast «a potentially historic tornado outbreak.&rStorm Prediction Center to forecast «a potentially historic tornado outbreak.»
The other scenario is the «irruption model» in which a high speed black hole storms through a dense gas and the gas is dragged along by the strong gravity of the black hole to form a gas stream.
Existing forecasting models are good at plotting a storm's path, but they fall down in trying to predict its magnitude at landfall.
Dr Stephen Grimes of Plymouth University, who initiated the research project, highlighted the climate changes that must have caused this increase in sediment erosion and transport — «We have climate model simulations of the effect of warming on rainfall during the PETM event, and they show some changes in the average amounts of rainfall, but the largest change is how this rainfall is packaged up — it's concentrated in more rapid, extreme events — larger and bigger storms
According to the researchers, to better understand if Matthew's intensification was aided by the warm - water eddies and the residing barrier layer in the Caribbean Sea's upper ocean, more ambient and in - storm upper ocean observations in this basin are needed to improve forecast models for the region.
Using computer models and simulations, the team found an increase in the average intensity during the period and the storms most often moved into higher latitudes — to a more northward direction.
Most climate models suggest these storms will become less frequent but more intense, says Alexander Gershunov, a climatologist at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography in San Diego.
Blake concludes, «We can now monitor and model magnetic storms in near - real time, which not only allows us to understand the physics of such phenomena, but also to provide a valuable service for power operators.»
Those patterns matched three rather dire climate model predictions: that storm tracks — the paths along which cyclones travel in the Northern and Southern hemispheres — would shift poleward; that subtropical dry regions would expand, and that the tops of the highest clouds would get even higher.
Map of the modelled changes in electric field caused by the St Patrick's Day storm, where blue is low and red is high.
«The storms in the model move faster than the actual storms,» Snook says.
To predict hail storms, or weather in general, scientists have developed mathematically based physics models of the atmosphere and the complex processes within, and computer codes that represent these physical processes on a grid consisting of millions of points.
«According to these models, it is the high pressure cells that are really important in steering winter storms, and in determining the shape and location of the transition zone,» said Oster.
To get a sense for how this probability, or risk of such a storm, will change in the future, he performed the same analysis, this time embedding the hurricane model within six global climate models, and running each model from the years 2081 to 2100, under a future scenario in which the world's climate changes as a result of unmitigated growth of greenhouse gas emissions.
They allowed the model to «spin - up» for 10 days ahead of Sandy's approach, then another 5 days forward in time once the storm had entered the model grid, adding data on wind speed, wind direction, and air pressure in 6 - minute time steps.
VIMS Dean & Director John Wells calls the results of the team's sub-grid inundation model a «breakthrough» in storm - tide forecasting — with model output within 6 to 8 inches of the water levels recorded in New York City during Sandy by the U.S. Geological Survey.
«We don't have the computational firepower to resolve storms like hurricanes in today's climate models
They didn't see hurricanes until the rain clouds were right above them; in our case, we can see storms leaving the sun but have to make guesses and use models to figure out if and when they will impact Earth,» says Michael Kaiser, project scientist for STEREO at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center.
Some storm - surge models resolve time in increments as short as 3 seconds, but doing so requires computing power that exceeds even that available in W&M's SciClone Computing Complex.
In the simulations that included smoke - filled air, storm clouds were lower and thicker (and average wind speeds at 1 kilometer above ground were higher) than they were in the no - smoke models, the team reported online ahead of print in Geophysical Research LetterIn the simulations that included smoke - filled air, storm clouds were lower and thicker (and average wind speeds at 1 kilometer above ground were higher) than they were in the no - smoke models, the team reported online ahead of print in Geophysical Research Letterin the no - smoke models, the team reported online ahead of print in Geophysical Research Letterin Geophysical Research Letters.
Modeling Animation: Storm - tide flooding of the Battery in New York City through several tidal cycles during Hurricane Sandy as modeled by Professor Harry Wang and colleagues at VIMS.
A land - ocean pattern like that above was used in a climate model to show how storm clouds could have shielded ancient Venus from strong sunlight and made the planet habitable.
Understanding exactly how water moves in a vortex could help us learn how storms form and let us make better models of the sun's plasma.
«If we could grow icicles on the computer, in a physical way, then we can create virtual models of chasms, caves, ice storms, shut - down airports and so on in days instead of months,» says Batty's colleague Eitan Grinspun.
Far back in the history of online socializing, «floodbots» would join a channel and fill it «with garbage text, endlessly repeated insults, or random billowing storm clouds of data,» killing the normal conversation.82 In 1996, with spam as a targeted marketing model taking off and NANAE forming, a company called GlobalMedia Design released RoverBot, one of the early address - harvesting bots, which would take keywords, find related pages, and search those pages for email addresses so that you could generate address lists related to «real estate» or «manga.&raquin the history of online socializing, «floodbots» would join a channel and fill it «with garbage text, endlessly repeated insults, or random billowing storm clouds of data,» killing the normal conversation.82 In 1996, with spam as a targeted marketing model taking off and NANAE forming, a company called GlobalMedia Design released RoverBot, one of the early address - harvesting bots, which would take keywords, find related pages, and search those pages for email addresses so that you could generate address lists related to «real estate» or «manga.&raquIn 1996, with spam as a targeted marketing model taking off and NANAE forming, a company called GlobalMedia Design released RoverBot, one of the early address - harvesting bots, which would take keywords, find related pages, and search those pages for email addresses so that you could generate address lists related to «real estate» or «manga.»
One challenge with storms in Germany is that climate models have trouble accurately depicting such small - scale features, but a new generation of models that should come into wider use within the next year or two do a much better job, meaning that attribution analyses on such events should become more feasible, van Oldenborgh said.
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