Terrestrial flux and boundary - layer measurements represent a new, expanding and potentially hugely important resource for improving our understanding of these processes and their representation
in models of the climate system.
It shows how information
in models of climate impact — recently described as «completely made up» — can be improved.
If you have time you may want to look at «Validation and forecasting accuracy
in models of climate change» by Fildes and Kourentzes (see http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169207011000604) and the comment by Noel Keenlyside in the same issue.
What we are really after is how to evaluate our understanding of what's driving climate change as encapsulated
in models of the climate system.
Not exact matches
He said that if he had to rely on the European Space Agency's limited, difficult - to - access data for his work checking
climate model predictions against reality, he'd be «more or less blind» — particularly
in the vast, uninhabited stretches
of the globe like the Pacific, which are vital for understanding the world
climate.
Earlier
in the fall, we commissioned economic
modelling to look at the benefits
of building on the best elements
of today's provincial
climate policies.
Darin Kingston
of d.light, whose profitable solar - powered LED lanterns simultaneously address poverty, education, air pollution / toxic fumes / health risks, energy savings, carbon footprint, and more Janine Benyus, biomimicry pioneer who finds
models in the natural world for everything from extracting water from fog (as a desert beetle does) to construction materials (spider silk) to designing flood - resistant buildings by studying anthills
in India's monsoon
climate, and shows what's possible when you invite the planet to join your design thinking team Dean Cycon, whose coffee company has not only exclusively sold organic fairly traded gourmet coffee and cocoa beans since its founding
in 1993, but has funded dozens
of village - led community development projects
in the lands where he sources his beans John Kremer, whose concept
of exponential growth through «biological marketing,» just as a single kernel
of corn grows into a plant bearing thousands
of new kernels, could completely change your business strategy Amory Lovins
of the Rocky Mountain Institute, who built a near - net - zero - energy luxury home back
in 1983, and has developed a scientific, economically viable plan to get the entire economy off oil, coal, and nuclear and onto renewables — while keeping and even improving our high standard
of living
It
modeled the implications for the company
of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number
of alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges
in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to
climate change.
Scientists will run a
model of the storm but adjust for
climate change — derived changes
in CO2.
True believers
in the dominant
model tell us that the solution
of our problems is to reduce taxes on corporations and the rich, reduce government services to the poor and middle class, improve the
climate for business by reducing work place and environmental protections and minimum wage requirements, privatizing public services, and facilitating the investment
of capital overseas.
Computer
models being investigated both
in the US and
in the Soviet Union were demonstrating that a nuclear war involving the exchange
of a small fraction
of the total American and Russian bombs could change the
climate of the entire Northern Hemisphere, shifting it abruptly from its present seasonal state to a long, sunless, frozen night.
While tomatoes have been regularly used as a
model organism to study the effect
of climate in fruit ripening, its commercial history is a chequered one.
I confess that I have become somewhat blasé about the range
of exciting — I think revolutionary is probably more accurate — technologies that we are rolling out today: our work
in genomics and its translation into varieties that are reaching poor farmers today; our innovative integration
of long — term and multilocation trials with crop
models and modern IT and communications technology to reach farmers
in ways we never even imagined five years ago; our vision to create a C4 rice and see to it that Golden Rice reaches poor and hungry children; maintaining productivity gains
in the face
of dynamic pests and pathogens; understanding the nature
of the rice grain and what makes for good quality; our many efforts to change the way rice is grown to meet the challenges
of changing rural economies, changing societies, and a changing
climate; and, our extraordinary array
of partnerships that has placed us at the forefront
of the CGIAR change process through the Global Rice Science Partnership.
This study looked at genetic (varieties) and management (row spacing and nitrogen) options to minimise the impact
of climate change, using rain - out shelters to control rainfall; the results provided a platform to
model wheat production
in future
climates.
And now Variety comes out
of nowhere with this report where the numbers just don't seem to make sense
in the current
climate, especially for ESPN for reasons already mentioned including the existing Fight Pass business
model.
On another note, for summer wearing
in warm
climates, Baby K'Tan also offers an even more flexible
model called the «Breeze», where half
of the loop is made
of a cool easy - breathing mesh fabric, and the other half is made
of cotton, allowing you to turn the loops depending on the weather conditions!
«This document presents science - driven predictions, based on sophisticated
climate - change
models, regarding how we think bird distributions
in Massachusetts might change during the next 30 years,» said Jon Atwood, Mass Audubon Director
of Bird Conservation and a report author
Councils and local government,
in particular, have to determine how best to maintain effective services
in a
climate of austerity, accepting that rising demands and tighter budgets require new delivery tools and new
models of provision.
Back then, it said that the planet was warming at a rate
of 0.2 C every decade — a figure it claimed was
in line with the forecasts made by computer
climate models.
Even Adair Turner, who on all other topics is a
model of objectivity, ignores recent developments when discussing
climate change,
in the section
of his letter to the Treasury summarising recent developments.
It's going to be one
of the major topics at a regional
Climate Solutions Summit
in Syracuse this weekend, as the city hopes to take the lead on an energy supply
model that uses renewable energy.
If the effects
of climate change weren't included
in the
model, the trends toward bigger seasonal variations
in CO2 at Arctic latitudes disappeared, researchers report online today
in Science.
Reducing uncertainties
in the
models could lead to better long - term assessments
of climate, Esposito says.
«
Models are used to predict how soil processes change, for example,
in response to
climate change,» said Steve Allison, coauthor from the University
of California, Irvine.
Regardless
of what
climate models find, investigating these long - distance links
in weather could also pay off by improving risk prediction and forecasts.
The new proposed
model could allow a better quantification
of the impacts that will likely occur under changing
climate and could be considered
in future ocean resources and land use management.
Some
of the largest uncertainties
in current
climate models stem from their wide - ranging estimates
of the size and number
of dust particles
in the atmosphere.
Dr. Holloway is a Professor
in the Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies at the University
of Wisconsin - Madison, where she leads a research program that employs computer
models and satellite data to understand links between regional air quality, energy, and
climate.
Murali Haran, a professor
in the department
of statistics at Penn State University; Won Chang, an assistant professor
in the department
of mathematical sciences at the University
of Cincinnati; Klaus Keller, a professor
in the department
of geosciences and director
of sustainable
climate risk management at Penn State University; Rob Nicholas, a research associate at Earth and Environmental Systems Institute at Penn State University; and David Pollard, a senior scientist at Earth and Environmental Systems Institute at Penn State University detail how parameters and initial values drive an ice sheet
model, whose output describes the behavior
of the ice sheet through time.
One way to get an idea
of how complex feedbacks play out
in Earth's
climate is to use computer
models.
A better understanding
of the heating distributions required to robustly simulate strong MJOs
in climate models will improve insights into the dynamics
of the
climate system and projections
of future
climate.
Polar latitudes hold secrets into the earths's past
climate, secrets Berry Lyons believes may provide insights into the implications
of greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere and better
models of future
climate change.
This is because the
models are based on equations representing the best understanding
of the physical processes that govern
climate, and
in 2001 they were not fine - tuned to reproduce the most recent data.
The Blue Brain Project Scientists rely on computer
models to understand the toughest concepts
in science: the origin
of the universe, the behavior
of atoms, and the future
climate of the planet.
In the Department
of Meteorology at Stockholm University (MISU), researchers have done a series
of model simulations investigating tropical cyclone activity during an earlier warm
climate, the mid-Holocene, 6,000 years ago.
While the trends associated with
climate change — hotter days, heavier rainfall and a greater number
of extreme weather events — are present
in the
models, for many crops
in Africa and Asia it's not clear how extensive the effects will be.
The research
in Nature
Climate Change signals that many climate models may be too conservative in their projections through this century, as they are not considering ice loss from the northeast portion of Gre
Climate Change signals that many
climate models may be too conservative in their projections through this century, as they are not considering ice loss from the northeast portion of Gre
climate models may be too conservative
in their projections through this century, as they are not considering ice loss from the northeast portion
of Greenland.
Stefan Rahmstorf and Georg Feulner
of the Potsdam Institute for
Climate Impact Research
in Germany
modelled what would happen to temperatures on Earth if a grand minimum started now and lasted until 2100.
«
Models do a good job at simulating some elements
of the
climate system, but they disagree on key aspects
of the land - atmosphere CO2 exchange, and
in particular the amount
of carbon being sequestered,» Rawlins said
in a statement.
This was a surprise, because the gas should have spread evenly around the planet, so Franck Lefevre and François Forget
of the Pierre and Marie Curie University
in Paris, France, created a
climate model to explain how such concentrations might form.
The second advance is the incorporation
of more realistic representations
of climate processes
in the
models.
Therefore, also changes
in land cover should be represented
in climate models for projections
of future
climate,» concludes Francesco S.R. Pausata.
«Antarctica: Return
of the Weddell polynya supports Kiel
climate model: After 40 years, a large ice - free area appears again
in the Southern Ocean
in mid-winter.»
For the study, Dr. Toohey and his colleagues from GEOMAR and the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
in Hamburg have used an aerosol -
climate model to track 70 different eruption scenarios while analyzing the distribution
of the sulfur particles.
With global
climate models projecting further drying over the Amazon
in the future, the potential loss
of vegetation and the associated loss
of carbon storage may speed up global
climate change.
The data is important for
climate change
models, since the emissions released by thawing permafrost could significantly affect levels
of greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere.
Yet some
of these recent extremes, such as the summer
in March, are way beyond the predictions
of our
climate models.
Previous research has suggested a connection between coal - burning and the Sahel drought, but this was the first study that used decades
of historical observations to find that this drought was part
of a global shift
in tropical rainfall, and then used multiple
climate models to determine why.
Climate models in the IPCC's latest report indicate that to keep within the 2 C target by 2100, the world would have to emit close to zero, or even negative, quantities
of greenhouse gases by 2050.
When scientists use
climate models for attribution studies, they first run simulations with estimates
of only «natural»
climate influences over the past 100 years, such as changes
in solar output and major volcanic eruptions.