Gent, P.R., J. Willebrand, T.J. McDougall, and J.C. McWilliams, 1995: Parameterizing eddy - induced tracer transports
in ocean circulation models.
The results provide new information about the significant dispersion patterns currently un-accounted for
in ocean circulation models, according to the authors.
Not exact matches
The
models did not show as strong a shift as the observations, Frierson said, suggesting that
ocean circulation also played a role
in the drought.
Greatly improved computer
models began to suggest how such jumps could happen, for example through a change
in the
circulation of
ocean currents.
«We ran five years of
ocean circulation in the
model, and we measured the damping of energy at every grid point to see what the statistics are,» Fox - Kemper said.
The higher resolution
model better reflects the
ocean circulation and sea floor bathymetry
in smaller, complex areas like the Gulf of Maine and the U.S. Northeast Shelf.
«Formation of coastal sea ice
in North Pacific drives
ocean circulation, climate: New understanding of changes
in North Pacific
ocean circulation over the past 1.2 million years could lead to better global climate
models.»
They used a
model of
ocean circulation to estimate where the young turtles would be carried from natal beaches
in the Atlantic, Mediterranean and Indian
oceans.
They were Jorge Sarmiento, an oceanographer at Princeton University who constructs
ocean -
circulation models that calculate how much atmospheric carbon dioxide eventually goes into the world's
oceans; Eileen Claussen, executive director of the Pew Center for Global Climate Change
in Washington, D.C.; and David Keith, a physicist with the University of Calgary
in Alberta who designs technological solutions to the global warming problem.
New understanding of changes
in North Pacific
ocean circulation over the past 1.2 million years could lead to better global climate
models
Using multiple climate
models from around the world, Clement's research team removed the
ocean circulation from the analysis to reveal that variations
in the Atlantic climate were generally the same.
«This study confirmed that
ocean circulation physics and K. brevis biology are equally important and that both immediate and short term prediction may be achieved using a combination of
circulation models supported by
in situ observations of physical, biological and chemical variables and satellite imagery,» concluded the researchers.
Your statement that «Thus it is natural to look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves
in the same way (and it appears to, since
model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes
in ocean circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes
in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric
circulation.
I'd love to know what they did take into account
in attempting to
model that period — must include astronomical location, sun's behavior, best estimates about a lot of different conditions — where the continents were, what the
ocean circulation was doing, whether there had been a recent geological period that laid down a lot of methane hydrates available to be tipped by Pliocene warming into bubbling out rapidly.
Researchers carry out innovative basic and applied research programs
in coral reef biology, ecology, and geology; fish biology, ecology, and conservation; shark and billfish ecology; fisheries science; deep - sea organismal biology and ecology; invertebrate and vertebrate genomics, genetics, molecular ecology, and evolution; microbiology; biodiversity; observation and
modeling of large - scale
ocean circulation, coastal dynamics, and
ocean atmosphere coupling; benthic habitat mapping; biodiversity; histology; and calcification.
I would agree that unforeseen changes
in ocean circulation could throw off
model predictions, there are surely other wildcards too, but uncertainty like that is not your friend if you want to argue against avoiding climate change.
This corresponds
in scope (not un-coincidentally) to the atmospheric component of General
Circulation Models (GCMs) coupled to (at least) a mixed - layer
ocean.
Our general
circulation model simulations, which take into account the recently observed widespread occurrence of vertically extended atmospheric brown clouds over the Indian
Ocean and Asia3, suggest that atmospheric brown clouds contribute as much as the recent increase
in anthropogenic greenhouse gases to regional lower atmospheric warming trends.
It should also be noted that the authors examined whether the large - scale
ocean circulation, the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC), and two other ocean phenomena - the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Meridional Oscillation (AMO)- could explain the warming in the 20th century simulations, but found no evidence in
circulation, the Meridional Overturning
Circulation (MOC), and two other ocean phenomena - the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Meridional Oscillation (AMO)- could explain the warming in the 20th century simulations, but found no evidence in
Circulation (MOC), and two other
ocean phenomena - the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and Atlantic Meridional Oscillation (AMO)- could explain the warming
in the 20th century simulations, but found no evidence
in the
models.
Suppose also that — DESPITE THIS STABILIZING MECHANISM some as - yet unknown
ocean circulation cycle operates that is the sole cause of the Holocene centennial scale fluctuations, and that this cycle has reversed and is operating today, yielding a temperature change that happens to mimic what
models give
in response to radiative forcing changes.
(Top left) Global annual mean radiative influences (W m — 2) of LGM climate change agents, generally feedbacks
in glacial - interglacial cycles, but also specified
in most Atmosphere -
Ocean General
Circulation Model (AOGCM) simulations for the LGM.
Broecker's articulation of likely effects of freshwater outbursts
in the North Atlantic on
ocean circulation and global climate (Broecker, 1990; Broecker et al., 1990) spurred quantitative studies with idealized
ocean models (Stocker and Wright, 1991) and global atmosphere —
ocean models (Manabe and Stouffer, 1995; Rahmstorf 1995, 1996).
Computer
models reveal that exoplanets with very saline
oceans could have
circulation patterns opposite to that on Earth, resulting
in dramatic warming of their polar regions, possibly extending their range of habitability.
A number of recent studies linking changes
in the North Atlantic
ocean circulation to sea ice extent led Yeager to think that it would also be possible to make decadal predictions for Arctic winter sea ice cover using the NCAR - based Community Earth System
Model...
Six, K.D., and E. Maier - Reimer, 1996: Effects of plankton dynamics on seasonal carbon fluxes
in an
ocean general
circulation model.
In an ensemble of fully coupled atmosphere -
ocean general
circulation model (AOGCM) simulations of the late Paleocene and early Eocene, we identify such a
circulation - driven enhanced intermediate - water warming.
Robertson, A.W., 2001: Influence of
ocean - atmosphere interaction on the Arctic Oscillation
in two general
circulation models.
Schiller, A., U. Mikolajewicz, and R. Voss, 1997: The stability of the North Atlantic thermohaline
circulation in a coupled
ocean - atmosphere general
circulation model.
Russell, J.L., R.J. Stouffer, and K.W. Dixon, 2006: Intercomparison of the Southern
Ocean circulations in IPCC coupled
model control simulations.
Using the adjoint of an
ocean general
circulation model, I try to understand the local and remote processes that generate temperature anomalies
in the Nordic Seas on different timescales and their potential contribution to decadal climate predictability.
Yu, Y., Z. Zhang, and Y. Guo, 2004: Global coupled
ocean - atmosphere general
circulation models in LASG / IAP.
Delworth, T., S. Manabe, and R.J. Stouffer, 1993: Interdecadal variations of the thermohaline
circulation in a coupled
ocean - atmosphere
model.
In New York, there was last year's New Museum Triennial, «Surround Audience,» whose participants addressed «a society replete with impressions of life, be they visual, written, or constructed through data,» and «
Ocean of Images,» the 2015 iteration of MoMA's «New Photography» showcase, featuring artists who use «contemporary photo - based culture, specifically focusing on connectivity, the
circulation of images, information networks, and communication
models.»
This correction changes the overall salt budget for the Atlantic, also changing the stability of the
model's
ocean circulation in future climate change.
In this model, enhanced seasonal contrasts through milankovitch forcing (Lourens et al., 2005), combined with a gradually warming late - Paleocene to early Eocene, forced a non-linear response in ocean circulation to warm intermediate water
In this
model, enhanced seasonal contrasts through milankovitch forcing (Lourens et al., 2005), combined with a gradually warming late - Paleocene to early Eocene, forced a non-linear response
in ocean circulation to warm intermediate water
in ocean circulation to warm intermediate waters.
There may be reason to strongly suspect that
in any sufficiently complicated dynamical system
model (such as climate) with stochastic parameters (e.g., exactly when and where a lightning strike starts a major wildfire or a major submarine earthquake perturbs
ocean circulation in a region or a major volcanic eruption introduces stratospheric aerosols), it is almost certain that any given run of the
model will have periods of significant deviation from the mean of multiple runs.
This corresponds
in scope (not un-coincidentally) to the atmospheric component of General
Circulation Models (GCMs) coupled to (at least) a mixed - layer
ocean.
The best simple answer I've seen is basically that you have to go to a 2 - box
model of Earth, with warm tropics and cold poles, and then realize that thanks to the thermohaline
circulation the deep
oceans are coupled almost exclusively to the polar regions, and so are
in the «cold» box and not the warm one or some average of them.
That matters because the trickiest part of global climate
models appears to be how they handle
ocean - atmosphere interactions, and I really have no idea how well they link changes
in local wind - driven upwelling to the net thermohaline
circulation.
The output from all the atmosphere - ice -
ocean - land coupled general
circulation models (GCMs) is hosted
in the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory database.
One needs to contrast the long - term weakening of the Walker
circulation (which is robust) with the change
in the
models» El Nià ± o (which is not robust — there's a series of papers describing this for the current IPCC
models: e.g. van Oldenborgh et al 2005
Ocean Sci., Merryfield 2005 J. Clim., Capotondi et al 2005 J. Clim., Guilyard 2005 Clim.
Or is the freshwater flux to the
ocean from the melting ice sheet for some reason not represented
in the
models as a forcing on the
circulation?
Suppose also that — DESPITE THIS STABILIZING MECHANISM some as - yet unknown
ocean circulation cycle operates that is the sole cause of the Holocene centennial scale fluctuations, and that this cycle has reversed and is operating today, yielding a temperature change that happens to mimic what
models give
in response to radiative forcing changes.
A vast array of thought has been brought to bear on this problem, beginning with Arrhenius» simple energy balance calculation, continuing through Manabe's one - dimensional radiative - convective
models in the 1960's, and culminating
in today's comprehensive atmosphere -
ocean general
circulation models.
Your statement that «Thus it is natural to look at the real world and see whether there is evidence that it behaves
in the same way (and it appears to, since
model hindcasts of past changes match observations very well)» seems to indicate that you think there will be no changes
in ocean circulation or land use trends, nor any subsequent changes
in cloud responses thereto or other atmospheric
circulation.
«This necessitates the inclusion of biogenic mixing sources
in ocean circulation and global climate
models.»
The weakening of the Walker
circulation arises
in these
models from processes that are fundamentally different from those of El Nià ± o — and is present
in both mixed - layer and full -
ocean coupled
models, so is not dependent on the
models» ability to represent Kelvin waves (by the way, most of the IPCC - AR4
models have sufficient oceanic resolution to represent Kelvin waves and the physics behind them is quite simple — so of all the
model deficiencies to focus on this one seems a little odd).
I would agree that unforeseen changes
in ocean circulation could throw off
model predictions, there are surely other wildcards too, but uncertainty like that is not your friend if you want to argue against avoiding climate change.
This deep
ocean warming in the model occurred during negative phases of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), an index of the mean state of the north and south Pacific Ocean, and was most likely in response to intensification of the wind - driven ocean circula
ocean warming
in the
model occurred during negative phases of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (IPO), an index of the mean state of the north and south Pacific
Ocean, and was most likely in response to intensification of the wind - driven ocean circula
Ocean, and was most likely
in response to intensification of the wind - driven
ocean circula
ocean circulation.
I clearly see that the change
in surface temperature and TOA radiative forcing simulated by the
model depends upon the
model complexity, for example, how the
ocean circulations are represented.