Remember, more than 90 percent of human induced planetary warming goes into the oceans, while only 2 percent goes into the atmosphere, so small changes
in ocean uptake can have huge impact on surface temperatures.
Not exact matches
The iron deprivation means that estimates of global
ocean carbon
uptake are probably 2 to 4 percent too high, the group reports
in the August 31 Nature.
The centre runs research programmes
in climate variability and change, the monitoring of sea levels,
ocean uptake of carbon dioxide, and Antarctic marine ecosystems.
Dr. Houghton and colleagues conclude that the greater certainty
in atmospheric carbon measurements has led to an increased certainty
in the calculated rate of carbon
uptake by land and
oceans.
Since the emissions today are three times higher than they were
in the 1960s, this increased
uptake by land and
ocean is not only surprising; it's good news.
Upper -
ocean processes dissipate heat, transport nutrients and impact the
uptake of carbon dioxide — making circulation a critical driver of biological activity
in the
ocean.
The
uptake of fossil fuel carbon dioxide (CO2) by the
ocean increases seawater acidity and causes a decline
in carbonate ion concentrations.
These variations originate primarily from fluctuations
in carbon
uptake by land ecosystems driven by the natural variability of the climate system, rather than by
oceans or from changes
in the levels of human - made carbon emissions.
Researchers have long known the region is crucial
in the
uptake of atmospheric CO2 and that biological processes
in the Southern
Ocean influence the global ocean system via northward flowing curr
Ocean influence the global
ocean system via northward flowing curr
ocean system via northward flowing currents.
This is an important advance because nutrient
uptake is a central property of
ocean biogeochemistry, and
in many regions controls carbon dioxide fixation, which ultimately can play a role
in mitigating climate change.
To address the knowledge gap about the globally - relevant ecosystem process of nutrient
uptake, researchers worked to identify how different levels of microbial biodiversity influenced
in situ phosphorus
uptake in the Western Subtropical North Atlantic
Ocean.
«A limit to the availability of iron
in this region means that the
ocean is less efficient
in its
uptake of atmospheric carbon dioxide,» he said.
Not considering the change
in net
uptake of carbon by the
ocean, you can put the following numbers on that (based on Ramanathan and Feng, 2009):
As the
uptake of carbon dioxide has increased
in the last century, so has the acidity of
oceans worldwide.
An increased
uptake of carbon by the
oceans (
in the hypothetical situation of stopping all emissions immediately) is not likely to cancel the «unmasked» greenhouse warming
in addition to canceling the «committed»
ocean warming.
For the change
in annual mean surface air temperature
in the various cases, the model experiments show the familiar pattern documented
in the SAR with a maximum warming
in the high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere and a minimum
in the Southern
Ocean (due to ocean heat uptak
Ocean (due to
ocean heat uptak
ocean heat
uptake)(2)
Industrial - era global
ocean heat
uptake doubles
in recent decades.
For one thing, the fit neglects lags
in the system (such as those resulting from
ocean heat
uptake) and it also neglects changes
in albedo and other radiative factors.
These rising atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations have led to an increase
in global average temperatures of ~ 0.2 °C decade — 1, much of which has been absorbed by the
oceans, whilst the oceanic
uptake of atmospheric CO2 has led to major changes
in surface
ocean pH (Levitus et al., 2000, 2005; Feely et al., 2008; Hoegh - Guldberg and Bruno, 2010; Mora et al., 2013; Roemmich et al., 2015).
Almost everybody agrees that it has to do with fluctuations
in the carbon
uptake by the
oceans, with a number of theories relying on enhancement of the biological pump, much along the lines you suggest.
Injection of a large amount of surface freshwater
in either hemisphere has a notable impact on heat
uptake by the
ocean and the internal
ocean heat distribution (Fig. 12).
«We have to consider there are two sides of the coin: On the one hand, the
uptake of carbon dioxide moderates climate change but, on the other hand, it affects life
in the
ocean — with consequences for economy and society.»
Oceanic
uptake of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) causes pronounced shifts
in marine carbonate chemistry and a decrease
in seawater pH. Increasing evidence indicates that these changes — summarized by the term
ocean acidification (OA)-- can significantly affect marine food webs and biogeochemical cycles.
On shorter time scales, however, changes
in heat storage (i.e.,
ocean heat
uptake or release) can affect global mean temperature.
Dr Peter Stott, commenting on Gavin's study
in the Guardian, http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/jun/04/global-warming-hasnt-paused-study-finds says the term slowdown is valid because the past 15 years might have been still hotter were it not for natural variations like deep
ocean heat
uptake.
The treatment of uncertainty
in the
ocean's
uptake of heat varies, from assuming a fixed value for a model's
ocean diffusivity (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001) to trying to allow for a wide range of
ocean mixing parameters (Knutti et al., 2002, 2003) or systematically varying the
ocean's effective diffusivity (e.g., Forest et al., 2002, 2006; Frame et al., 2005).
«This amount is
in the order of magnitude of the annual net
uptake of carbon by the biosphere of the
oceans,» notes Markus Reichstein.
They got 10 pages
in Science, which is a lot, but
in it they cover radiation balance, 1D and 3D modelling, climate sensitivity, the main feedbacks (water vapour, lapse rate, clouds, ice - and vegetation albedo); solar and volcanic forcing; the uncertainties of aerosol forcings; and
ocean heat
uptake.
[Response: «
in the absence of other unknowns» — aerosol forcing,
ocean heat
uptake, internal variability, underestimates of solar and volcanic forcing... — gavin]
The upper 95th percentile is not well constrained, particularly
in studies that account conservatively for uncertainty
in, for example, 20th - century radiative forcing and
ocean heat
uptake.
In addition, some studies also use the estimated ocean heat uptake since 1955 based on Levitus et al. (2000, 2005)(Chapter 5), and temperature changes in the free atmosphere (Chapter 3; see also Table 9.3
In addition, some studies also use the estimated
ocean heat
uptake since 1955 based on Levitus et al. (2000, 2005)(Chapter 5), and temperature changes
in the free atmosphere (Chapter 3; see also Table 9.3
in the free atmosphere (Chapter 3; see also Table 9.3).
If I instantly quadruple CO2
in an experiment, I'd expect
ocean heat
uptake (OHU) to occur pretty uniformly
in latitude for the initial few years, but then become pretty localized to the subpolar
oceans after, say, year 100.
The importance of the Arctic
Ocean in the context of global carbon dioxide (CO2) uptake and ocean acidification is widely accepted [1]-
Ocean in the context of global carbon dioxide (CO2)
uptake and
ocean acidification is widely accepted [1]-
ocean acidification is widely accepted [1]--[9].
From the estimated net CO2
uptake rates of the Arctic
Ocean (65 — 175 Tg C yr − 1; reviewed
in ref.
How do communities
in the nutrient - poor, so - called oligotrophic open
ocean react, if the seawater gradually acidifies due to the
uptake of human - induced carbon dioxide (CO2)?
In conclusion, the data presented here collectively suggest that recent decreases in western Arctic Ocean Ωa can be predominantly attributed to recent melting of multiyear sea ice and the associated seawater freshening and uptake of atmospheric CO2; biogeochemical processes exert an additional influenc
In conclusion, the data presented here collectively suggest that recent decreases
in western Arctic Ocean Ωa can be predominantly attributed to recent melting of multiyear sea ice and the associated seawater freshening and uptake of atmospheric CO2; biogeochemical processes exert an additional influenc
in western Arctic
Ocean Ωa can be predominantly attributed to recent melting of multiyear sea ice and the associated seawater freshening and
uptake of atmospheric CO2; biogeochemical processes exert an additional influence.
These figures may be even more noteworthy given that the
uptake occurs predominantly
in seasonally ice - free areas, which are a fraction of the Arctic
Ocean surface.
[8]-RRB-, it is inferred that as much as 7.5 % of global oceanic CO2
uptake may occur
in the Arctic
Ocean, which comprises only 3.9 % of the global ocean's sur
Ocean, which comprises only 3.9 % of the global
ocean's sur
ocean's surface.
His description should be read for details, but the essence of the evidence lies
in the observation that
ocean heat
uptake (OHC) has been increasing during the post-1950 warming.
But concerning the
ocean heat
uptake, have you some confidence
in altimetric sea level measurement?
By 2100, the
ocean uptake rate of 5 Gt C yr - 1 is balanced by the terrestrial carbon source, and atmospheric CO2 concentrations are 250 p.p.m.v. higher
in our fully coupled simulation than
in uncoupled carbon models2, resulting
in a global - mean warming of 5.5 K, as compared to 4 K without the carbon - cycle feedback.
[Response: I'm sure Eric won't mind me stepping
in with some questions for you instead — 1) why do you keep insinuating that terrestrial and
ocean uptake of anthropogenic CO2 is somehow not accepted by mainstream scientists?
Kevin Trenberth, who has recently published a paper on this topic, explains the increased heat
uptake in the deep
ocean:
Since OHC
uptake efficiency associated with surface warming is low compared with the rate of radiative restoring (increase
in energy loss to space as specified by the climate feedback parameter), an important internal contribution must lead to a loss rather than a gain of
ocean heat; thus the observation of OHC increase requires a dominant role for external forcing.
If we knew
ocean heat
uptake as well as we know atmospheric temperature change, then we could pin down fairly well the radiative imbalance at the top of the atmosphere, which would give us a fair indication of how much warming is «
in the pipeline» given current greenhouse gas concentrations.
When the
oceans begin to slow the rate of CO2
uptake at saturation point that will futher push atmospheric CO2 even higher, simultaneously the massive amounts of additional CO2 and methane and nitrous oxide etc released from the decay and oxidisation of oceanic living creatures who can not survive
in a low ph environment will future ram the nail
in the coffin.
Dr Peter Stott, commenting on Gavin's study
in the Guardian, http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/jun/04/global-warming-hasnt-paused-study-finds says the term slowdown is valid because the past 15 years might have been still hotter were it not for natural variations like deep
ocean heat
uptake.
If the greenhouse effect (that checks the exit of longwave radiation from Earth into space) or the amount of absorbed sunlight diminished, one would see a slowing
in the heat
uptake of the
oceans.
The estimated
uptake timescales are within the range he reports for his data - driven calculation, 50 years or so, even though the mean
uptake time of the
ocean reservoirs
in that model, weighted by their sizes, is 600 years.
Your attempt to estimate equilibrium climate sensitivity from the 20th C won't work because a) the forcings are not that well known (so the error
in your estimate is large), b) the climate is not
in equilibrium — you need to account for the
uptake of heat
in the
ocean at least.