He notes that the high end is driven by uncertainties
in the oceanic heat uptake data earlier in the record.
izen says (I am just quoting one of his letters to nature that he quoted to me) The circulation of seawater through newly formed ocean crust at mid-ocean ridge spreading centres is important
in the oceanic heat and chemical budgets.
''... how can one keep the very strong radiative restoring from producing heat loss from the oceans totally inconsistent with any measures of changes
in oceanic heat content?»
With a dominant internal component having the structure of the observed warming, and with radiative restoring strong enough to keep the forced component small, how can one keep the very strong radiative restoring from producing heat loss from the oceans totally inconsistent with any measures of changes
in oceanic heat content?
The trend
in oceanic heat content for the upper 1500 m over the six years from the beginning of 2005 to the end of 2010 is an increase of 0.55 watts per square meter, well outside the 0.1 W / m2 uncertainty.
Could the intense hurricane activity of 2004 and 2005 explain the reduction
in oceanic heat content over the 2003 to 2005 period?
Dr Sinha concluded: «The deeper understanding gained in this study of the processes and regions responsible for variations
in oceanic heat drawdown and retention will improve the accuracy of future climate projections.»
Not exact matches
Their research, published
in Nature Climate Change on June 29, is the first attempt to examine and document these changes
in the air - sea
heat exchange
in the region — brought about by global warming — and to consider its possible impact on
oceanic circulation, including the climatologically important Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation.
Among the data used by the model was the
heat distribution
in the
oceanic crust, which is known from seismic studies.
Now, a computer modeling approach, developed by University of Maryland seismologist Vedran Lekic and colleagues at the University of California Berkeley, has produced new seismic wave imagery which reveals that the rising plumes are,
in fact, influenced by a pattern of finger - like structures carrying
heat deep beneath Earth's
oceanic plates.
Professor Drijfhout said: «This study attributes the increased
oceanic heat drawdown
in the equatorial Pacific, North Atlantic and Southern Ocean to specific, different mechanisms
in each region.
He emphasized the need to better understand the deep ventilation of
oceanic heat,
in order to improve modeling to reliably predict the future state of the Arctic climate system.
Just a general observation
in regards to the
oceanic heat content value
in determining global warming.
Polar amplification,
in which temperatures at the poles rise more rapidly than temperatures at the equator (due to factors like the global atmospheric and
oceanic circulation of
heat from the equator to the poles), plays a major role
in the rate of ice sheet retreat.
You've got the radiative physics, the measurements of ocean temperature and land temperature, the changes
in ocean
heat content (Hint — upwards, whereas if if was just a matter of circulation moving
heat around you might expect something more simple) and of course observed predictions such as stratospheric cooling which you don't get when warming occurs from
oceanic circulation.
ENSO events, for example, can warm or cool ocean surface temperatures through exchange of
heat between the surface and the reservoir stored beneath the
oceanic mixed layer, and by changing the distribution and extent of cloud cover (which influences the radiative balance
in the lower atmosphere).
This is consistent with the finding that reduced warming is not mainly a result of a change
in radiation balance but due to
oceanic heat storage.
ENSO events, for example, can warm or cool ocean surface temperatures through exchange of
heat between the surface and the reservoir stored beneath the
oceanic mixed layer, and by changing the distribution and extent of cloud cover (which influences the radiative balance
in the lower atmosphere).
Just a general observation
in regards to the
oceanic heat content value
in determining global warming.
After reviewing the Levitus et al 2008 papers abstract, (as I do not have access to the paper it's self), I assumed that the data you were referring to was based on some earlier data sets which seemed to demonstrate a ever increasing distributed localized temperature swing, when subsequent data, as indicated
in the Levitus et al 2008 suggests a systemic imbalance of
oceanic heat content increase
in the range of a 0.31 Deg.
Is it not possible that the polar barometric events act as significant pipelines for the re-emission of the ocean entrapped LW
in the first three meters, by transporting the
oceanic heat content energy for stellar release?
The great flow of Arctic deep water comes mainly from THC and is fed with NAD.It prooves the great sinking of water
in this zone and the great
oceanic heat transfer.
Polar amplification,
in which temperatures at the poles rise more rapidly than temperatures at the equator (due to factors like the global atmospheric and
oceanic circulation of
heat from the equator to the poles), plays a major role
in the rate of ice sheet retreat.
This could
in turn help clarify the
oceanic pathways for much of the
heat added to the Earth's climate system by accumulating greenhouse gases.
Now, as I pointed out
in an earlier post (# 104), there IS some evidence of a trend toward serious
oceanic heating beginning roughly 21 years after 1979 (i.e., 2000), which suggests that this could be due to
heat transfer from the atmosphere beginning
in ca 1979.
Victor wrote at 205, «Now, as I pointed out
in an earlier post (# 104), there IS some evidence of a trend toward serious
oceanic heating beginning roughly 21 years after 1979 (i.e., 2000), which suggests that this could be due to
heat transfer from the atmosphere beginning
in ca 1979.»
# 192 «For example a strengthening of wind over some
oceanic region http://web.science.unsw.edu.au/~matthew/nclimate2106-incl-SI.pdf then would increase the
heat flow atmosphere - > ocean, leading to lower (dynamic) equilibrium temperature
in the atmosphere which of course occurs very fast, as the thermal mass of the atmosphere is very low compared to the net energy throughput.»
There could, for example, be SOC events reflected
in ice sheet dynamics, as
oceanic heat transfer destabilises the Antarctic circulation, leading to acelerated ice sheet destabilisation.
RE # 11 The role of hurricanes
in the poleward
heat transport immediately leads to the question, how is the poleward
heat transport divided between atmospheric and
oceanic routes?
It's mostly about atmospheric forcings, but there is some mention of
oceanic heat fluxes
in the «Discussion and Conclusions» section.
The atmospheric Greenhouse Effect merely sets a theoretical background atmospheric temperature level that is continually overridden as a result of the size of the constant interlinked changes
in both the solar and
oceanic heat inputs.
We asked you to support your claim that the resolution of the
oceanic temperature data is not sufficient to make a determination of a trend
in ocean
heat content, which you have yet to provide.
Ultimately I suspect it will also have significant implications for analyses of changes
in total
oceanic heat content.
In addition to expending some of the
oceanic heat, the wave action of the cyclone tends to mix the cooler ocean waters below toward the surface, reducing sea surface temperatures after the cyclone passes.
The influence of anthropogenic forcing has also been detected
in various physical systems over the last 50 years, including increases
in global
oceanic heat content, increases
in sea level, shrinking of alpine glaciers, reductions
in Arctic sea ice extent, and reductions
in spring snow cover (Hegerl et al., 2007).
Additionally the
oceanic warming and cooling cycles introduce constant, rapid and substantial changes not yet reflected
in any models and which invalidate any averaged global estimates of the planetary
heat budget.
The radiative Greenhouse Effect is continually overridden as a result of the size of the constant interlinked changes
in both the solar energy input to the oceans and the
oceanic heat inputs to the atmosphere.
A strengthening ACC created a barrier inhibiting intrusions of warm tropical waters and minimizing both
oceanic and atmospheric
heat transport resulting
in the Refrigerator Effect.
The AMO1 (compressed) time sequence is a bit perplexing, but it is to do with North Icelandic Jet current, major player
in the Nordic Seas summer
oceanic heat release into atmosphere.
The formula is based on known ideas due to Arrhenius
in 1896 and Hofmann
in 2009 (that the portion of atmospheric CO2 above the preindustrial level is growing exponentially), with the added twist that the
oceanic heat sink delays the impact of radiative forcing variations on HadCRUT3 by 15 years, analogously to the overheating of a CPU being delayed by the addition of a heatsink with no fan, what I refer to as the Hansen delay.
Continued operation of the
oceanic conveyor belt is important to northern Europe's moderate climate because of northward transport of
heat in the Gulf Stream and North Atlantic Current.
The other idea to keep
in mind is that these
oceanic oscillations can never really produce
heat on their own.
I agree that the application of higher resolution model equipment does not help to reduce the uncertainty range of the sea level
in the Amsterdam harbours: assumptions about changes
in the
heat storage, icecap melting and changes
in the gravity field dominate this uncertainty range (although some regiona features related to
oceanic circulation and
heat redistribution may be better resolved
in higher resolution models).
The atmospheric and
oceanic circulations are vital for
heat transport
in the climate system.
Is this not indicative of a major blunder
in the simplifications, notably the effect of convective
heat transport and the stabilising effect of condensation and evaporation at the
oceanic surfaces?
In some way, that's the engine where all the other variations must be hanged (specially variations in albedo because of clouds - maybe connected with solar cycles as other authors are trying to prove -, variations in albedo because of sea ice extention, linked with the oceanic currents - as in the «stadium wave» that was presented by Curry and others, etc., variations in heat exchange between atmosphere and oceans, and so o
In some way, that's the engine where all the other variations must be hanged (specially variations
in albedo because of clouds - maybe connected with solar cycles as other authors are trying to prove -, variations in albedo because of sea ice extention, linked with the oceanic currents - as in the «stadium wave» that was presented by Curry and others, etc., variations in heat exchange between atmosphere and oceans, and so o
in albedo because of clouds - maybe connected with solar cycles as other authors are trying to prove -, variations
in albedo because of sea ice extention, linked with the oceanic currents - as in the «stadium wave» that was presented by Curry and others, etc., variations in heat exchange between atmosphere and oceans, and so o
in albedo because of sea ice extention, linked with the
oceanic currents - as
in the «stadium wave» that was presented by Curry and others, etc., variations in heat exchange between atmosphere and oceans, and so o
in the «stadium wave» that was presented by Curry and others, etc., variations
in heat exchange between atmosphere and oceans, and so o
in heat exchange between atmosphere and oceans, and so on.
Sea ice with its strong seasonal and interannual variability (Fig. 1) is a very critical component of the Arctic system that responds sensitively to changes
in atmospheric circulation, incoming radiation, atmospheric and
oceanic heat fluxes, as well as the hydrological cycle1, 2.
«
In summer, the oceanic heat anomaly is enhanced by the ice — albedo feedback, but in winter the excess oceanic heat is lost to the atmosphere due to a lack of insulating sea ‐ ice cove
In summer, the
oceanic heat anomaly is enhanced by the ice — albedo feedback, but
in winter the excess oceanic heat is lost to the atmosphere due to a lack of insulating sea ‐ ice cove
in winter the excess
oceanic heat is lost to the atmosphere due to a lack of insulating sea ‐ ice cover.
The increase
in AMOC at 120 ka relative to the 125 ka leads to an increased
oceanic heat transport and partly compensates for the decrease
in insolation
The presence of summer sea ice
in the central Arctic Ocean — despite the elevated air temperatures14, 15, 64 — may have resulted from a reduced total
oceanic heat flux towards the north, as suggested from (compared to the PI control runs) reduced AMOC patterns during LIG - 130 and LIG - 125 (Fig. 4).