It seems a combination of a commanding lead
in the opinion polls and a brighter than expected economic outlook meant Theresa May could not resist the temptation to go to the country to try to secure her own mandate.
I am an amateur at this and in doing research on this I discovered a post by an expert which goes into greater detail with greater understanding than I, and as I tell law students, «don't recreate the wheel, if the experts have done something, see what they had to say», so if you want to read more about this I recommend going to Jeffrey Rosenthal's «Margins of Error
in Opinion Polls».
So when,
in opinion polls, people say warming is «natural», they are right, but it's only one part of the story.
Incidentally one participant in this new work is the person I think I mentioned some time ago who openly advocated exaggerating
in opinion polls such as this in order to encourage «action».
Actually, it's even better than you say: the main opposition party (the Conservatives, currently ahead
in the opinion polls) have made a big push on «green» issues lately, with their new leader.
In the end many people thought that a Labour bias
in the opinion polls had contributed to a Conservative victory.
He also claimed Labour would see a bounce
in opinion polls if he retains his leadership, and is capable of winning a general election under his watch.
The former deputy party leader urged activists to remember why it was important for them to be in government, even as the Lib Dems continued to slide
in opinion polls.
You hear a lot about the time under Paddy Ashdown when Lib Dems were represented by an asterisk
in the opinion polls: after taking into account the 3 % margin of error, they were unable to say that the party had any discernible support at all.
They do not want to risk the Tories» strong position
in the opinion polls - with the latest ConservativeHome poll of polls giving the party an 8.4 % average lead.
Labour is lagging way behind
in the opinion polls, suggesting it could lose dozens of seats.
We have lost a significant amount of support
in the opinion polls, I have lost a significant amount of support.»
The Independent previews five pledge card - style pledges and scare stories that Labour strategists hope will get the Labour Party moving up
in opinion polls.
Labour was flagging
in the opinion polls and criticism from parliamentary dissenters was rife.
Labour leader says party's poor showing
in opinion polls could be remedied by talking about policies
The capitalist establishment in Europe have closed ranks to protect their own interests in spite of Syriza winning a democratic majority and now commanding 80 % public support
in the opinion polls.
Now, a year later, Labour leads
in the opinion polls.
No party in opposition has ever won when they are behind
in the opinion polls on both personality of the leader and economic policy
I don't put much faith
in opinion polls, pollsters always claim to have solved past apparent flaws, but they haven't said exactly how they now how reluctant a particular parties supporters may be to support that party, how exactly they quantify it, indeed a lot of the assumptions opinion polls make seem to be based on opinion themselves.
Regardless of the growth figures for the second quarter, Labour supporters will be growing concerned by the inability of their leader to make progress
in opinion polls.
The Lib Dems are still doing well
in the opinion polls and performed respectably in the local elections, but there is a growing feeling that the party, having been given a free ride by the flatlining Conservatives, is now under the threat of a squeeze from the resurgent Tories.
He said: «There's no doubt in my mind that the late swing
in the opinion polls was as a result of the anti-Scottish card that was played by Lynton Crosby and the Conservatives.
The Tories may be down
in opinion polls but we're not out.
The party's support
in the opinion polls has fallen sharply since May.
At the time of Boisclair's election, the PQ was as much as 20 percent ahead of the Liberals
in opinion polls, suggesting that Boisclair would lead them to a landslide majority government in the next election.
At the moment the Conservatives are ahead
in the opinion polls — amongst some of the pollsters it is their first lead since the fuel strikes.
They've had a year of splits and infighting but are still doing reasonably well
in the opinion polls.
While Brown may not appear popular
in opinion polls, we only need look at opinion polls in France to see that a leader (Sarkozy) can be unlikable but still perceived as strong and effective.
But Quinn has fallen behind de Blasio
in opinion polls, and has also found her opinions divided from Bloomberg on many issues, the Post pointed out.
The Lib Dems are stuck at an almost record low of 10 per cent
in the opinion polls with Mr Clegg's personal ratings plummeting since last May.
On Monday Len McCluskey, the leader of the Unite union and one of Corbyn's staunchest supporters, suggested the Labour leader and John McDonnell, his shadow chancellor, would feel obliged to step down if there was no change
in opinion polls currently showing Labour lagging behind by about 12 points.
Howie Hawkins, a socialist running for the Green Party in New York State for governor, reached almost 10 %
in opinion polls and scored 5 % in the election, winning 174,000 votes; this marks a turning point for left - wing politics in New York.
The Telegraph notes that Conservative MPs believe that the Tory lead
in the opinion polls is too modest given the extent of Labour's troubles.
They need money to gain name recognition and points
in the opinion polls, but they need to be well known and well liked to draw donors.
John Healey, a minister in Tony Blair's government, said he agreed with the Unite union general secretary, Len McCluskey, that the party's standing
in the opinion polls was «awful» but said the answer was not building alliances with other progressive parties, such as the Liberal Democrats or the Greens.
«On balance, the evidence on the UK labour market suggests that fears about adverse consequences of rising immigration regularly seen
in opinion polls have not, on average, materialised.
In the opinion polls for the upcoming election, 14 parties are deemed to have a good chance to enter parliament.
Soon after the controversial invasion of Iraq in 2003, Labour support
in the opinion polls fell and the Conservatives drew level with them in at least one poll during 2003.
The economy is improving, the party is level with Labour
in the opinion polls, and the prime minister enjoys a significant advantage over Miliband on net approval ratings.
They expect big Labour leads
in the opinion polls within a few months but, as of tomorrow, they are also glad to finally have a Labour leader in place.
This sparked a brief Conservative lead
in the opinion polls — the first time in eight years — but once the protests and consequent fuel shortages ended, Labour led the opinion polls once more.
When Cameron was elected, the Conservatives had been at around 32 - 34 %
in the opinion polls virtually continuously since 1992.
With only eleven days to election day, distantly trailing de Blasio
in opinion polls and at a financial disadvantage Malliotakis desperately needs both press attention and public interest.
Today the LibDems sit ahead of Labour
in the opinion polls and, on some counts, are the most popular party in the country.
From the beginning of the campaign on 11 March, the parties were neck and neck
in the opinion polls, with Labour fractionally ahead.
So, I am wondering with up to 200,000 members on their way, why the party does not register at all
in the opinion polls.
This obstinate blinkered mule has no comprehension of the simple fact that it is his total lack of credibility as a leader that gives rise to a very poor Tory government having such a commanding lead
in the opinion polls.
Travers says that metropolitan Yorkshire is a principal reason why the Tories are struggling to get close to a winning 45 % rating
in opinion polls.
Trailing
in opinion polls and facing new accusations by women of unwanted sexual contact, Trump has begun arguing he will win the election on a surge of silent backers who have gone undetected by surveys and the political establishment.
Despite a 12 - point lead
in the opinion polls, 28 per cent were confident in Mr Johnson's abilities and just two per cent are predicting a Liberal Democrat win for Mr Paddick.