These line graphs plot monthly deviations and overall trends
in polar sea ice from 1979 to 2017 as measured by satellites.
However,
in the polar sea ice zones, GISTEMP extrapolates the land surface air temperature anomalies over the oceans to a radial distance of 1,200 km (Hansen et al. 2010).
With that in mind, let us limit our discussion in this essay to the Arctic, i.e., the region which has shown a decrease
in polar sea ice.
Variations
in polar sea ice on short time scales, up or down, are essentially meaningless, my contacts studying the cryosphere always stress.
Scientists now believe that the projected decreases
in the polar sea ice due to global warming will have a significant negative impact or even lead to extinction of this species within this century.
Not exact matches
Female
polar bears prowling springtime
sea ice have extreme weight swings, some losing more than 10 percent of their body mass
in just over a week.
The paper, to appear Sept. 14
in The Cryosphere, is the first to quantify the
sea ice changes
in each
polar bear subpopulation across the entire Arctic region using metrics that are specifically relevant to
polar bear biology.
A new University of Washington study, with funding and satellite data from NASA and other agencies, finds a trend toward earlier
sea ice melt
in the spring and later
ice growth
in the fall across all 19
polar bear populations, which can negatively impact the feeding and breeding capabilities of the bears.
The analysis shows that the critical timing of the
sea ice break - up and
sea ice freeze - up is changing
in all areas
in a direction that is harmful for
polar bears.
Sea ice - associated decline
in body condition leads to increased concentrations of lipophilic pollutants
in polar bears (Ursus maritimus) from Svalbard, Norway.
The case of this one
polar bear and the failure of her offspring to survive
in the new environmental conditions of the Arctic doesn't bode well for the future of the species, especially as Arctic
sea ice continues to retreat at a record pace.
The Interior Department lists the
polar bear as a «threatened» species — one at risk of becoming endangered — due to dangerous declines
in their
sea ice habitat
Mori et al. identified two circulation patterns that drove winter temperatures
in Eurasia from 1979 to 2013: the Arctic Oscillation (which confines colder air to the
polar latitudes) and a pattern dubbed «Warm Arctic and Cold Eurasia» (WACE), which correlated both to
sea - ice loss in the Barents - Kara Sea and to particularly cold winters; its impact has more than doubled the probability of severe winters in central Euras
sea -
ice loss
in the Barents - Kara
Sea and to particularly cold winters; its impact has more than doubled the probability of severe winters in central Euras
Sea and to particularly cold winters; its impact has more than doubled the probability of severe winters
in central Eurasia.
One «growing phenomenon
in the Arctic [is]
polar bears foraging on land as their primary habitat,
sea ice, retreats,» Kintisch writes, which makes field work even more dangerous, and difficult, than it would be otherwise.
The combination of
polar and nonpolar
ice combined to raise
sea levels by more than a millimeter
in the last decade
An international «Red List» of threatened species says that the
polar bear is vulnerable to extinction because of a projected decline
in its habitat linked to climate change that is melting
sea ice in the Arctic.
The rule
in question was finalized by the Bush administration
in December, six months after the
polar bear was declared a threatened species due to the melting of its
sea -
ice habitat.
«Billions of juvenile fish under the Arctic
sea ice: New under -
ice net used
in large - scale study on the prevalence of
polar cod at the
ice underside.»
Fox accompanies a team of NASA scientists as they drive a refurbished orange Humvee across a frozen channel
in the Canadian High Arctic, facing melting
sea ice, mechanical breakdown, and the threat of marauding
polar bears.
The negative impacts of warmer winters may be less evident
in Nordic countries than
in places like Alaska, where people and animals like
polar bears and seals are more dependent on the presence of
sea ice, according to Serreze.
All the fish were
in top condition, which suggests that there was enough food under the
ice, making the
sea ice a true nursery ground for
polar cod.
If the
polar cod population
in the Barents
Sea actually does shrink, the juvenile fish under the
ice of the Eastern Arctic could become even more important — especially
in order to make up for losses elsewhere.
«When we look forward several decades, climate models predict such profound loss of Arctic
sea ice that there's little doubt this will negatively affect
polar bears throughout much of their range, because of their critical dependence on
sea ice,» said Kristin Laidre, a researcher at the University of Washington's
Polar Science Center
in Seattle and co-author of a study on projections of the global
polar bear population.
This past September the National Snow and
Ice Data Center in Boulder, Colo., which collects polar and ice information for the government, announced that there was less sea ice covering the Arctic Ocean than at any time since satellite measurements began in 19
Ice Data Center
in Boulder, Colo., which collects
polar and
ice information for the government, announced that there was less sea ice covering the Arctic Ocean than at any time since satellite measurements began in 19
ice information for the government, announced that there was less
sea ice covering the Arctic Ocean than at any time since satellite measurements began in 19
ice covering the Arctic Ocean than at any time since satellite measurements began
in 1979.
They then used the satellite record of Arctic
sea ice extent to calculate the rates of
sea ice loss and then projected those rates into the future, to estimate how much more the
sea ice cover may shrink
in approximately three
polar bear generations, or 35 years.
In some parts of the Arctic,
sea ice loss is causing
polar bears to spend longer periods on shore each summer.
«For example,
in some parts of the Arctic, such as the Chukchi
Sea,
polar bears appear healthy, fat and reproducing well — this may be because this area is very ecologically productive, so you can lose some
ice before seeing negative effects on bears.
U.S. District Court Judge Claudia Wilken
in Oakland, Calif., on April 29 ordered the Bush administration to stop dragging its feet on the fate of
polar bears and decide by May 15 whether declining
sea ice in the Arctic threatens their existence.
IT WILL be little consolation to hungry
polar bears
in northern Manitoba, Canada, who have had to wait weeks longer than usual for
sea ice to form on Hudson Bay, but their habitat is not irreversibly doomed.
The research is timely given the extreme winter of 2017 - 2018, including record warm Arctic and low
sea ice, record - breaking
polar vortex disruption, record - breaking cold and disruptive snowfalls
in the United States and Europe, severe «bomb cyclones» and costly nor'easter s, said Judah Cohen, director of seasonal forecasting at AER and lead author of the study.
Starting next week, NASA's Operation IceBridge, an airborne survey of
polar ice, will be carrying science flights over
sea ice in the Arctic, to help validate satellite readings and provide insight into the impact of the summer melt season on land and
sea ice.
In the San Francisco Bay area,
sea level rise alone could inundate an area of between 50 and 410 square kilometres by 2100, depending both on how much action is taken to limit further global warming and how fast the
polar ice sheets melt.
This year,
sea ice in the Arctic reached its smallest maximum extent since satellites began tracking polar ice patterns, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, while scientists have also forecast ice - free Arctic summers in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 201
ice in the Arctic reached its smallest maximum extent since satellites began tracking
polar ice patterns, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center, while scientists have also forecast ice - free Arctic summers in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 201
ice patterns, according to the National Snow and
Ice Data Center, while scientists have also forecast ice - free Arctic summers in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 201
Ice Data Center, while scientists have also forecast
ice - free Arctic summers in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 201
ice - free Arctic summers
in two to three decades (ClimateWire, July 16, 2013).
It has also decreased the amount of the oldest, thickest Arctic
sea ice, leaving
polar waters dominated by thinner
ice that forms
in the fall and melts
in the summer.
Amstrup adds, «It fills a gap
in our otherwise extensive knowledge of
polar bear ecology and corroborates previous findings that the key to
polar bear conservation is arresting the decline of their
sea ice habitat.»
Since the 1970s the northern
polar region has warmed faster than global averages by a factor or two or more,
in a process of «Arctic amplification» which is linked to a drastic reduction
in sea ice.
As a result of atmospheric patterns that both warmed the air and reduced cloud cover as well as increased residual heat
in newly exposed ocean waters, such melting helped open the fabled Northwest Passage for the first time [see photo] this summer and presaged tough times for
polar bears and other Arctic animals that rely on
sea ice to survive, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.
The hunt for extreme oil proceeds apace
in the ultradeep waters off the coasts of Ghana and Nigeria,
in the sulfur - laden depths of the Black
Sea, under the
polar ice caps, and
in the gummy tar sands of Venezuela's Orinoco Basin and Canada's McMurray Formation.
The researchers reached that conclusion by capturing more than two dozen
polar bears, implanting temperature loggers and tracking their subsequent movements on shore and on
ice in the Arctic Ocean's Beaufort
Sea, north of Alaska and Canada, during 2008 - 2010.
ESA's original mission to measure changes
in ice sheets and
sea ice in Earth's
polar regions failed on October 8, 2005, when a software problem caused the commercial launch rocket to fail.
And the number of
polar bears
in the southern edge of their range, the Hudson Bay, have drastically decreased as
sea ice is present for shorter and shorter amounts of time, he notes.
Reductions
in sea ice in the Arctic have a clear impact on animals such as
polar bears that rely on frozen surfaces for feeding, mating and migrating.
«This paper ties it all together and shows a very clear relationship between the disappearance of
sea ice and increasing predation intensity on seabirds,» says Andrew Derocher, a
polar bear specialist and Arctic ecologist at the University of Alberta
in Edmonton, Canada.
As
sea ice decreases dramatically across
polar oceans, some scientists see a silver lining: The algal blooms that seem to thrive where
ice has recently disappeared could damper climate change by trapping carbon
in the deep ocean.
Thinner
sea ice is getting pushed farther by Arctic winds, which makes
polar bears walk more to stay
in the same place, increasing their need for food.
As Arctic
sea ice melts earlier each year,
polar bears
in some parts of Norway and Greenland are abandoning
ice floes for dry land and their favorite meal — seals — for seabird eggs.
The
polar vortex that swirls around the South Pole is not just stronger than it was when satellite records began
in the 1970s, it has more convergence, meaning it shoves the
sea ice together to cause ridging.
Sea ice is drifting faster
in the Arctic — which means
polar bears need to walk farther to stay
in their native range.
Paradoxically, both phenomena are likely linked: When
sea -
ice North of Scandinavia and Russia melts, the uncovered ocean releases more warmth into the atmosphere and this can impact the atmosphere up to about 30 kilometers height
in the stratosphere disturbing the
polar vortex.
The P - 3 Orion, based at NASA's Wallops Flight Facility
in Virginia, will carry IceBridge's most comprehensive instrument suite: a scanning laser altimeter that measures surface elevation, three types of radar systems to study
ice layers and the bedrock underneath the
ice sheet, a high - resolution camera to create color maps of
polar ice, and infrared cameras to measure surface temperatures of
sea and land
ice.