Sentences with phrase «in rainfall rates»

[13] And an increase in rainfall rates is one of the more confident predictions of the effects of future climate change on tropical cyclones.
Wright et al. (2015) found model - projected increases in rainfall rates for U.S. landfalling tropical cyclones using this modeling system.
There has already been a 20 % increase in rainfall rates for the top 1 % of storms since 1958.
[16] An increase in rainfall rates is one of the more confident predictions of the effects of climate change on tropical cyclones.
Romps et al calculate a 12 % increase in lighting strike rate with a 1C increase in temp; Held and Soden calculate a 2 % max increase in rainfall rate with a 1C increase in temp.
Now if a 1C increase produces a 2 % increase in rainfall rate (as in a paper by Held and Soden, 2005, Journal of Climate), and a 12 % increase in CAPE * P, then increase in CAPE following a 1C temperature increase must be about 10 %.
@MM: Now if a 1C increase produces a 2 % increase in rainfall rate (as in a paper by Held and Soden, 2005, Journal of Climate), and a 12 % increase in CAPE * P, then increase in CAPE following a 1C temperature increase must be about 10 %.
Compared to those problems (bias and random variation), here is a large unknown: a 2 % increase in cloud cover would prevent the warming effect of increased CO2; will a 7 % increase in water vapor pressure, or 12 % increase in lightning ground strike rate, or a 2 % — 7 % increase in rainfall rate be accompanied by a 2 % increase in cloud cover?

Not exact matches

Rising commodity prices often act as leading indicators of rising property values provided the outlook is also favourable in terms of interest rates, rainfall outlook and water availability.
Infiltration rate in soil science is a measure of the rate at which a particular soil is able to absorb rainfall or irrigation.
To find out, Valerie Trouet at the Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research in Birmensdorf and colleagues studied the growth rate of trees in Morocco and a stalagmite in Scotland, both dating back 1000 years, to determine rainfall levels during the MCA.
New research predicts that by the middle of the century annual rainfall in the Amazon could be less than the yearly amount of rain the region receives during drought years if deforestation rates revert back to pre-2004 levels.
Then the silica rain — which falls at a rate 10 times higher than rainfall in a hurricane on Earth today — would collect onto the moon, helping it grow.
Gourley says, «I take the rainfall rates the radar is measuring in the sky, and take it down to the surface and measure what every raindrop is doing on the ground,» whether it meanders through the soil or flows across impervious roads and parking lots and into storm drains and waterways.
Nearly all of them tap the Ogallala aquifer, the largest in the U.S., and it is being depleted at a rate of 15 billion cubic yards a year — much more than the rainfall and runoff that reaches it to recharge it.
On the other hand, climate change scenarios estimate that the soil loss rates may increase by 10 - 15 % by 2050 due to an analogous increase of rainfall - induced erosion in Europe.
All told, Asner concludes, 4 % of the trees in the severe drought area had died, a rate of mortality four times the baseline rate in areas with normal rainfall.
In a study published in the journal Climate Dynamics, a team of FSU scientists outline a methodology that uses rainfall rates to mark the span of the ISM at any given location throughout the affected regioIn a study published in the journal Climate Dynamics, a team of FSU scientists outline a methodology that uses rainfall rates to mark the span of the ISM at any given location throughout the affected regioin the journal Climate Dynamics, a team of FSU scientists outline a methodology that uses rainfall rates to mark the span of the ISM at any given location throughout the affected region.
Brawn's team looked at the relationship between population growth rates and the length of the dry season during those 33 years, then simulated another 50 years with an average of a 10 percent change in the rainfall pattern in Panama's dry season.
And the upward rate of growth of stalagmites in the cave is very sensitive to rainfall — the more water in the peat, the more slowly the stalagmites grow.
According to the most recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report, the wind speed and rainfall rates in tropical cyclones are projected to increase during the 21st century, even while the total number of tropical cyclones remains nearly steady, or even decreases.
Because of the rapid growth rate of the snails, which are a widespread invasive species in India, moisture - sensitive oxygen isotope ratios in growth bands in the animals» shells preserve week - to - week rainfall rates, the researchers found.
By measuring isotope ratios in shells from some of these snails from as long ago as 1918, the researchers have demonstrated that they could reconstruct the subseasonal rainfall rate of past monsoon seasons.
The review by O'Gorman et al (3) reports that a 1C increase in global mean temperature will result in a 2 % — 7 % increase in the precipitation rate; the lower values are results of GCM output, and the upper values are results from regressing estimated annual rainfalls on annual mean temperatures.
With significant moisture in the air, rainfall rates were able to top 1 inch per hour as the squall line moved through.
Since the forex market is dependent on the currency prices, smallest instances like rainfall to natural catastrophe, from little political turbulence to change of governments, all while leaving an effect on the currency rates can also make it the most unpredictable market in the world.
In October, Belize City receives the most rainfall of the year with a precipitation rate of 11 inches (285 mm).
And note in addition that in addition to the warming, there are strong trends toward decreasing rainfall across the Antipodean continent, which are backed up by tragically decreased river and stream flows, severe water restrictions in most states (starting to ease in some places due to recent floods), and a significantly increased farmer suicide rate.
Here in Latin America, the Amazon rain forest seems to be drying at an alarming rate, Sao Paulo is beset by drought, and Buenos Aires could soon see a record amount of rainfall this year, according to Argentinian author and journalist Martin De Ambrosio.
My guess on why was shown at RC a few weeks ago in comment # 12... Wayne, if it's true as you indicated in 9, that upper air temperatures are increasing at a much stronger rate than near the surface, it seems to me the departure would explain at least part of what seems to be a large increase in world area having minimal rainfall and drought... at: http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2006/07/peter-doran-and-how-misleading-talking-points-propagate/
39, No. 6) say: «heavy stocking rates are almost universally detrimental to rainfall infiltration and sediment loss, regardless of the grazing system in use.»
Changes (increases) in rainfall intensity, temperatures, humidity and rate of snowmelt and have occurred in recent decades, due in part to increases in CO2 concentration.
As both evaporation rates and heavy rainfall events increase in a warming world, this lends itself to bigger variations in precipitation.
States that climate models mostly continue to predict future decreases in global TC numbers, projected increases in the intensities of the strongest storms and increased rainfall rates
Scientists expect more intense storms to occur in the Midwest throughout the year, and more precipitation to fall in winter and spring.4 If our carbon emissions continue to rise at current rates, spring rainfall in Jefferson City is projected to increase 25 percent or more by the end of this century.9, 10
Rainfall rates derived from satellite data have a long legacy in operational weather forecasting because their information complements ground observations such as weather radar and rain gauges.
Rainfall from resolved rather than parameterized processes better represents the present ‐ day and climate change response of moderate rates in the community atmosphere model.
Reports from the Weather Channel indicated the risk for rainfall rates in the range of 3 inches an hour in some of the heaviest storm cells.
There is 1 inch of water vapor in the atmosphere and the average rainfall rate is 40 inches.
Drought is expected to occur 20 - 40 percent more often in most of Australia over the coming decades.6, 18 If our heat - trapping emissions continue to rise at high rates, 19 more severe droughts are projected for eastern Australia in the first half of this century.6, 17 And droughts may occur up to 40 percent more often in southeast Australia by 2070.2 Unless we act now to curb global warming emissions, most regions of the country are expected to suffer exceptionally low soil moisture at almost double the frequency that they do now.3 Studies suggest that climate change is helping to weaken the trade winds over the Pacific Ocean, with the potential to change rainfall patterns in the region, including Australia.20, 21,16,22
Part way there, but no quantitation yet: of the 3.77 W / m ^ 2 radiated back dowwnard, most goes to increased rate of evaporation of the water at the surface, and much less goes to increased mean temp increase at the surface; hence increased rate of non-radiative transfer of heat from surface to upper atmosphere, slight increase in rainfall as hydrological cycle is faster, and slight increase in cloud cover.
A question for those with more knowledge than me in the matter: does rainfall over the oceans increase the rate of sea - level rise?
The steady increase in global temperatures, including average temperatures in Australia, means that even when rainfall is at or near the historical average, conditions are drier than before because evaporation rates are higher.
The colour field underneath the wind arrows shows the precipitation rate on a scale from 0 to 20 mm per hour, noting that peaks in rainfall intensity (which may have been far higher than 20 mm / hr at times in localised regions within the Hurricane circulation), are not resolved in this animation.
Worldwide there will likely be an average increase in the maximum wind speed of tropical cyclones (hurricanes and typhoons) of 2 to 11 %.6 Because of the way extremes respond to changes such as these, Category 4 and 5 hurricanes are expected to nearly double in number by the end of the century.7 The rate of rainfall associated with tropical cyclones, an important factor in flooding, is expected to increase approximately 20 % within 100 km of the center of these storms.8
Vaporization rate increases with vapor pressure, so that as the surface temperature warms up, increasingly large amounts of energy are transferred to water vapor instead of more temperature increase — and that leads in turn to more clouds (blocking the sun and transferring energy to the upper troposphere) and rainfall.
Over the coming decades, Atlantic hurricanes are likely to increase in strength as sea surface temperatures increase, fueling the intensity of storms in the Atlantic Ocean, and significantly increasing rainfall rates over those of present day storms.
Analyses of model simulations suggest that for each 1.8 °F increase in tropical sea surface temperatures, rainfall rates will increase by 6 to 18 percent.
The models are in better agreement when projecting changes in hurricane precipitation — almost all existing studies project greater rainfall rates in hurricanes in a warmer climate, with projected increases of about 20 % averaged near the center of hurricanes.
In this problem set, students learn about rainfall rates and how to convert them into the volume of water that falls.
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