The Blind Spot reveals why our faith
in scientific certainty is a dangerous illusion, and how only by embracing science's inherent ambiguities and paradoxes can we truly appreciate its beauty and harness its potential.
An investigation of their workplace revealed a lack of any scientific link between their employment and and the higher incident of cancer, but the law does not work
in scientific certainties, and certainly not in the context of administrative law.
Not exact matches
The Pope assures his reader, nonetheless, that
in communion with the Church's living Tradition and under the guidance of the Holy Spirit «we can serenely examine exegetical hypotheses that all too often make exaggerated claims to
certainty, claims that are already undermined by the existence of diametrically opposed positions put forward with an equal claim to
scientific certainty» (p. 105).
That is perfectly clear as regards an increase
in the
certainty of
scientific knowledge regarding the actual fact of evolution.
In such a case, if it exists, the scientist would, of course, be compelled to withdraw his assent to the legitimate teaching authority of the Church, if it were supposed that he really considered the certainty of the scientific «result» as definitively truer and surer than the grounds which he had previously believed he possessed in justification for the claim of the Church to teac
In such a case, if it exists, the scientist would, of course, be compelled to withdraw his assent to the legitimate teaching authority of the Church, if it were supposed that he really considered the
certainty of the
scientific «result» as definitively truer and surer than the grounds which he had previously believed he possessed
in justification for the claim of the Church to teac
in justification for the claim of the Church to teach.
A responsible scientist will not regard the theory as absolutely certain
in every respect and as strictly demonstrated, even if he ascribes a certain pragmatic
certainty to it such as is appropriate
in the
scientific domain.
The «agnostic society» is a society
in which every man is his own arbiter of what is «reason» or «nature», and
in which the only
certainties to draw from
in this unending debate are
scientific, positivist, facts.
We invest much time
in seeking God without any
scientific certainty that God exists.
In a food additive petition filed with the FDA, GMA said the scientific evidence will enable FDA to find there is a «reasonable certainty of no harm» from consumption of PHOs from the uses and use levels specified in the submissio
In a food additive petition filed with the FDA, GMA said the
scientific evidence will enable FDA to find there is a «reasonable
certainty of no harm» from consumption of PHOs from the uses and use levels specified
in the submissio
in the submission.
We can say with
scientific certainty that a survey sample of 1,000 Brits will give you a result within 3.1 per cent of the «true» figure
in 19 out of 20 polls.
«The report also found that experts often overstate their claims
in testimony, invoking unscientific terms like «
scientific certainty» and claiming 100 percent accuracy.»
According to reporting
in Scientific American's sister publication Nature, minutes of the meeting show that the researchers were
in fact much more circumspect, saying things such as «a major earthquake
in the area is unlikely but can not be ruled out» and «because L'Aquila is
in a high - risk zone it is impossible to say with
certainty that there will be no large earthquake.»
Over the past 20 years, evidence that humans are affecting the climate has accumulated inexorably, and with it has come ever greater
certainty across the
scientific community
in the reality of recent climate change and the potential for much greater change
in the future.
The
scientific certainty of Ogallala's decline has spurred an interest
in conservation throughout the region.
As the editors write
in this month's
Scientific American, the ruling failed to define what «unreasonable» discrimination of Internet content is, leaving too much up for debate — «the only
certainty it gives is of the tens of thousands of billable hours to be spent arguing over the meaning of «unreasonable»
in federal court.»
On 28 October, she told the Boston Chamber of Commerce that Congress needs «to double our investment
in scientific and biomedical research and create more year - to - year
certainty for that funding.»
I learnt to communicate
in crisis situations within the limits of
scientific certainty while working with the gelatin manufacturers during the bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) affair.
For example, the NCFS found language such as «reasonable
scientific certainty» to be meaningless and recommended that it not be used
in court because it gives the false impression of
scientific rigor.
The political divide comes with the question of how much additional peer review — and how much
scientific certainty — is needed before IRIS assessments are ready for use
in making regulations.
In response to the second point, the most authoritative international
scientific investigation into global warming has recently concluded with 95 percent
certainty that human - caused global warming is happening.
Therefore, you need to make the lack of
scientific certainty a primary issue
in the debate.»
Modifying just 3 factors delivers 80 % of value
in terms of disease risk and body composition (even if you are genetically programmed to not be lean) according to Dr. Peter Attia, M.D. (bio: mechanical engineer ⇒ Stanford MD ⇒ surgical oncology fellow ⇒ healthcare consultant ⇒ NUSI founder conducting best possible research without bias to answer with
scientific certainty — what we need to eat to be healthy questioning current guidelines.)
Scott started ViDA with a
scientific approach because he wanted to know, with absolute
certainty, what did and didn't work
in online dating.
In other words, reasonable people disagree, no one can say with
scientific certainty that the market is overvalued, and none of us knows what will happen next to share prices.
The highly polished surfaces of the twist sculptures create fleeting, fluid reflections that dissipate or disrupt any stable imagery, denying viewers the
certainty of either the form's pre-twisted state — which may also be symbolic,
scientific or spiritual
in origin — or their own, familiar and fixed likeness beaming back at them.
You can't balance
scientific certainty against documented lies and expect to win out
in the end by continuing to say well, people have different views and it's complicated.
Firms want a fair degree of price
certainty in long - term investment decisions, and the allocation of carbon - based assets (like permits) make a reduction of permits
in circulation
in response to reductions
in scientific uncertainty somewhat problematic.
And as I always mention, as a layperson, I don't need
scientific certainty to understand that the drought
in Niger & mudslide
in India are at least partly due to GW.
I think the reason that focus hasn't shifted to mitigation or other options is that skeptics (including the current administration) have set the bar impossibly high, requiring total
scientific certainty on impacts
in order to justify costly action.
I already figured AGW was happening back
in 1990, 5 years before it reached 95 %
scientific certainty in 1995 (as did Pope John Paul II, who told us it is everyone's responsibility to solve), and I started reducing my GHGs
in cost - effective ways and am saving $ $ hundreds per year without lowering my living standard.
In fact, my tradition links me to a line of
scientific thought that prioritizes doubt over
certainty and does not silence a question at the first response.
Since AGW did not reach
scientific certainty in studies until 1995, that meant The New Scientist was publishing more articles (more assuming AGW validity) than the somewhat more scientifically cautious journals.
Therefore, you need to continue to make the lack of
scientific certainty a primary issue
in the debate.»
(«You need to continue to make the lack of
scientific certainty a primary issue
in the debate...») The unlikely chain from Luntz to Obama included two important links, E.D.F. President Fred Krupp and Senator Lindsey Graham.
If we don't recognize that our belief
in scientific progress is a kind of faith, that is because these patterns take on a sense of
certainty in hindsight.
But if you take the same strategy and follow the reception of uncertainty through the media, such as the CBS broadcast on «Silent Spring,» and
in the President's Science Advisory Committee policy documents,
in Carson's testimony before Congress, and
in the E.P.A.'s ban on DDT, you can witness the same strategy to assert ignorance and risk, and use visceral images to transform
scientific uncertainty into a political
certainty.
I suppose, on reading it again, that you could construe what I said to mean that we should not act if we have full
scientific certainty... but that's obviously not what I meant, because if we have full
scientific certainty (as I pointed out
in my examples of seat belts and condoms) we don't need the precautionary principle at all.
If Dr Curry's
scientific position is «there is a considerable amount of uncertainty, therefore we should at least be able to draw some boundaries around them before pushing for a consensus on
certainty» (I hope my paraphrase is close to the mark), then advocating for a change
in the process of conducting climate science follows logically.
Exxon tried to block the resolution by telling the Securities and Exchange Commission that the supporting statement for the resolution was false and misleading because «it implies a
scientific certainty on climate change which,
in fact, does not exist.»
Even if, for argument's sake, there were to emerge a broad consensus that the impacts of SRM could be accurately predicted (which seems highly unlikely and endlessly contestable), the social and political impacts of such an intervention are essentially un-knowable, meaning that whatever level of physical
scientific certainty or engineering know - how we might gain
in this area, the whole enterprise will remain radically unpredictable and risky.
Unlike many of the research sciences, engineering rewards exactitude and
certainty, so it attracts people who are suspicious of the concept of
scientific uncertainty, which is central
in any of the research sciences.
2) A lack of full
scientific certainty (
in other words, the existence of partial but not conclusive
scientific evidence).
â $ ˜2) A lack of full
scientific certainty (
in other words, the existence of partial but not conclusive
scientific evidence).
Therefore, you need to make the lack of
scientific certainty a primary issue
in the debate, and defer to scientists and other experts
in the field.»
Thanks to a growing body of
scientific evidence and improved computer models that can project climate changes more accurately and
in much finer detail, each report has proclaimed with greater and greater
certainty that human activity is the main cause of global warming.
I see Martha point
in Boykoff's conclusion — the military doesn't let
scientific certainty get
in the way of acceptance or action.
I think part of this comes from scientists, both those working
in that specific area of climate science and particularly those from outside that area, speaking not as scientists with their inherent tendency not to claim something conclusive without a good deal of statistically tested
certainty, but speaking as someone who has been imposed upon or volunteered to give a
scientific best guess without bothering the public with the details of uncertainties.
As we have pointed out before,
in 1992, the «consensus» was characterised very differently to today, and the UNFCCC agreements proceeded not on the basis of
scientific evidence and
certainty, but according to the precautionary principle.
«I hope this report will stress the virtual
certainty among the
scientific community that humans are affecting the climate system
in profound ways, mainly through burning ever - increasing amounts of fossil fuels,» said Jennifer Francis, an atmospheric scientist at Rutgers University
in New Jersey.
For a long time, GOP pollster Frank Luntz was mainly known as the guy who wrote a 2002 memo advising the Bush administration to «make the lack of
scientific certainty a primary issue
in the debate [about global warming].»