And of course the new paper by Hausfather et al, that made quite a bit of news recently, documents how meticulously scientists work to eliminate bias
in sea surface temperature data, in this case arising from a changing proportion of ship versus buoy observations.
In the new study, the researchers searched for such events recorded
in sea surface temperature data recorded as far back as 1900 and in satellite data since 1982.
Not exact matches
Their
data showed that the difference between polar and equatorial
sea surface temperatures in the Eocene was an estimated 20 degrees Celsius, about 36 degrees Fahrenheit.
Using different calibration and filtering processes, the two researchers succeeded
in combining a wide variety of available
data from
temperature measurements and climate archives
in such a way that they were able to compare the reconstructed
sea surface temperature variations at different locations around the globe on different time scales over a period of 7,000 years.
One of the subtle changes visible
in the new
data - set is how the Amazon's greenness corresponds to one of the long - known causes of rainfall or drought to the Amazon basin: changes
in sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific Ocean, called the El Nino Southern Oscillation.
«The
data showed that both greenhouse gases and
sea surface temperature anomalies contributed strongly to the risk of snow drought
in Oregon and Washington,» said Mote, a professor
in OSU's College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences.
In the new set - up, a real - world seasonal forecast driven by data on current sea - surface temperatures will be run alongside a simulated «no global warming» seasonal forecast, in which greenhouse gas emissions have been stripped ou
In the new set - up, a real - world seasonal forecast driven by
data on current
sea -
surface temperatures will be run alongside a simulated «no global warming» seasonal forecast,
in which greenhouse gas emissions have been stripped ou
in which greenhouse gas emissions have been stripped out.
Analyzing
data collected over a 20 - month period, scientists from NASA's Goddard Space Flight center
in Greenbelt, Md., and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology found that the number of cirrus clouds above the Pacific Ocean declines with warmer
sea surface temperatures.
«
In our study we used satellite
data for
sea ice and
sea surface temperatures to run some coordinated hindcast experiments with five different atmospheric models,» Ogawa says.
Nathaniel Johnson and Shang - Ping Xie at the University of Hawaii studied satellite and rain - gauge
data from the last 30 years and found that
sea surface temperatures in the tropics now need to be about 0.3 °C higher than they did
in 1980 before the air above rises and produces rain (Nature Geoscience, DOI: 10.1038 / ngeo1008).
The evaluation of the
data show a clear correlation between the
sea surface temperatures in the Irminger Sea in summer, the amount of surface freshwater in this region and the atmospheric conditions and onset of convection in the following wint
sea surface temperatures in the Irminger
Sea in summer, the amount of surface freshwater in this region and the atmospheric conditions and onset of convection in the following wint
Sea in summer, the amount of
surface freshwater
in this region and the atmospheric conditions and onset of convection
in the following winter.
To develop the model, they compared historic fire
data from NASA's Terra satellite with
sea surface temperature data in the tropical Pacific and North Atlantic oceans from buoys and satellite images compiled by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
The
data,
in the form of infrared images of the Earth's
surface, is used to detect changes
in sea surface temperatures for research -LSB-...]
Sea surface temperature data since 1882 document large El Niño - like patterns following four out of five big eruptions: Santa María (Guatemala)
in October 1902, Mount Agung (Indonesia)
in March 1963, El Chichón (Mexico)
in April 1982 and Pinatubo
in June 1991.
The first image, based on
data from January 1997 when El Nio was still strengthening shows a
sea level rise along the Equator
in the eastern Pacific Ocean of up to 34 centimeters with the red colors indicating an associated change
in sea surface temperature of up to 5.4 degrees C.
The reason could be linked to rising
sea surface temperatures — fueled
in part by global warming — as seen
in ocean buoy
data collected along the U.S. coast.
Climatology
data from the historical record give a picture of the fluctuations
in sea -
surface temperature over the last 160 years.
I found problems with the
data including: ««⠉ NOAA buoys measuring near - to -
sea -
surface air
temperature — e.g. inadequate shielding of direct solar heating ««⠉ ship - based
sea surface temperature — e.g. variable points
in cooling systems for diesel versus steam ship propulsion
It is widely realized that WWii saw changes
in the construction of sampling buckets for
sea surface temperature measurement, and many navies switching to water intake
temperatures in compiling
data from ships at
sea.
Like almost all historical climate
data, ship - board
sea surface temperatures (SST) were not collected with long term climate trends
in mind.
In addition, the early
data for
sea surface temperatures is not global, which further limits the usefulness of these
data for long period harmonic analysis.
«The treatment of the buoy
sea -
surface temperature (SST)
data was guaranteed to put a warming trend
in recent
data.
------------ PS: The Global Coral Reef Alliance has documented dramatic declines
in coral reefs caused by global warming of
surface waters, using satellite
data of of global coral reefs and
sea surface temperatures.
(1)
In addition to the data of the near - surface temperatures, which are composed of measurements from weather stations and sea surface temperatures, there is also the microwave data from satellites, which can be used to estimate air temperatures in the troposphere in a few kilometers altitud
In addition to the
data of the near -
surface temperatures, which are composed of measurements from weather stations and
sea surface temperatures, there is also the microwave
data from satellites, which can be used to estimate air
temperatures in the troposphere in a few kilometers altitud
in the troposphere
in a few kilometers altitud
in a few kilometers altitude.
For instance, for the Last Glacial Maximum, model -
data mis - matches highlighted by Rind and Peteet (1985) for the tropical
sea surface temperatures, have subsequently been more or less resolved
in favour of the models.
Using monthly - averaged global satellite records from the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP [5]-RRB- and the MODerate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)
in conjunction with
Sea Surface Temperature (SST)
data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric (NOAA) extended and reconstructed SST (ERSST) dataset [7] we have examined the reliability of long - term cloud measurements.
There is good evidence that the answer to both these question is no: (The insensitivy of the results to methodology of selecting rural stations, the Parker et al windy days study, and the fact that
data from satellite skin
surface measurements, from
sea surface temperatures, deep ocean temps as we as tropospheric temps are all
in good agreement).
One thing I would have liked to see
in the paper is a quantitative side - by - side comparison of
sea -
surface temperatures and upper ocean heat content; all the paper says is that only «a small amount of cooling is observed at the
surface, although much less than the cooling at depth» though they do report that it is consistent with 2 - yr cooling SST trend — but again, no actual
data analysis of the SST trend is reported.
Here we analyze a series of climate model experiments along with observational
data to show that the recent warming trend
in Atlantic
sea surface temperature and the corresponding trans - basin displacements of the main atmospheric pressure centers were key drivers of the observed Walker circulation intensification, eastern Pacific cooling, North American rainfall trends and western Pacific
sea - level rise.
But while the graph was only for SST (
sea surface temperature, something different of SAT —
surface air
temperature, even at
sea), the influence of the solar cycle and volcanic episodes (El Chicon and Pinatubo) is visible globally
in the oceans until a depth of 300 m
in the Levitus
data.
The first
data series — from calcareous shells of marine organisms that live 50 to 200 metres below the
sea surface in the northern Atlantic — shows the
temperature conditions there.
The AARI
data include drifting stations and ice information, although not the majority (my fault to see that as «main»), that means that the difference between only land based and total is
in warmer
sea surface temperatures.
Canadian Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods As with CIS contributions
in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of
Surface Air
Temperature (SAT),
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predicto
Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear
data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and
sea ice predicto
sea ice predictors.
The gridded field is produced from ship and buoy
sea surface temperatures in the ICOADS release 2.5
data set (29) using bias correction and Empirical Orthogonal Teleconnection methodologies as described
in (13).
In a study published in the journal Nature the researchers say analysis of sea surface temperature data shows that the AMOC has slowed down by roughly 15 % since the middle of the 20th century, with human - made climate change a prime suspec
In a study published
in the journal Nature the researchers say analysis of sea surface temperature data shows that the AMOC has slowed down by roughly 15 % since the middle of the 20th century, with human - made climate change a prime suspec
in the journal Nature the researchers say analysis of
sea surface temperature data shows that the AMOC has slowed down by roughly 15 % since the middle of the 20th century, with human - made climate change a prime suspect.
In our analysis we use eight well - known datasets: 1) globally averaged well - mixed marine boundary layer CO2
data, 2) HadCRUT3
surface air
temperature data, 3) GISS
surface air
temperature data, 4) NCDC
surface air
temperature data, 5) HadSST2
sea surface temperature data, 6) UAH lower troposphere
temperature data series, 7) CDIAC
data on release of anthropogene CO2, and 8) GWP
data on volcanic eruptions.
The NINO3.4
data represent the
Sea Surface Temperature of a region
in the central equatorial Pacific bound by the coordinates of 5S - 5N, 170W - 120W.
The hybrid method used by Cowtan and Way (2013) fills
in missing
data (both land air and
sea surface temperature) using lower troposphere
temperature data from UAH.
In the case of ORAS4, this includes ocean
temperature measurements from bathythermographs and the Argo buoys, and other types of
data like
sea surface height and
surface temperatures.
«
In regards to sea surface temperature, scientists have shown that across the board, data collected from buoys are cooler than ship - based data,» one of the study's co-authors wrote, adding, «Scientists have developed a method to correct the difference between ship and buoy measurements, and we are using this in our trend analysis.&raqu
In regards to
sea surface temperature, scientists have shown that across the board,
data collected from buoys are cooler than ship - based
data,» one of the study's co-authors wrote, adding, «Scientists have developed a method to correct the difference between ship and buoy measurements, and we are using this
in our trend analysis.&raqu
in our trend analysis.»
GISS also masks
sea surface temperature wherever
sea ice has existed so there is little
data in the Arctic Ocean.
In the main part of the paper, for China, we compare a new homogenized station
data set with gridded
temperature products and attempt to assess possible urban influences using
sea surface temperature (SST)
data sets for the area east of the Chinese mainland.
I also suspect that a good portion of the additional warming shown
in the hybrid version of the Cowtan and Way (2013)
data (versus their Krig
data) comes from the Southern Ocean surrounding Antarctica, where
sea surface temperatures are cooling and lower troposphere
temperatures are warming.
The basic assumption behind the Cowtan and Way (2013) paper appears to be, because the HADCRUT4
data doesn't capture the Arctic Ocean (there are no
temperature measurements there other than
sea surface temperatures when
sea ice melts seasonally), the warming
in the Arctic is underreported.
As a result, directly comparing the
Sea Surface Temperature data from the early 20th century to the current
Sea Surface Temperature data is like «comparing apples and oranges» — there have been too many changes
in the
data sources for such comparisons to have much meaning.
Investigators outside NOAA are finding interesting trends and showing that they seem to be correlated with trends
in such variables as SST [
Sea Surface Temperature]
in key regions, the changes of which almost certainly are due to human - induced changes
in the climate, though having enough
data to get all the statistics right is often problematic.
Give the students the graph below from Johnstone 2014 and ask them to compare changes
in sea surface temperatures (SST
in red) with the raw and recently homogenized
temperature data from southern California.
In summary, the historical [Sea Surface Temperature] record... may well contain instrumental bias effects that render the data of questionable value in determining long period trends in ocean surface temperatures... Investigators that use the data [to try this] bear a heavy, perhaps impossible, responsibility for ensuring that the potential instrument bias has not contaminated their result
In summary, the historical [
Sea Surface Temperature] record... may well contain instrumental bias effects that render the data of questionable value in determining long period trends in ocean surface temperatures... Investigators that use the data [to try this] bear a heavy, perhaps impossible, responsibility for ensuring that the potential instrument bias has not contaminated their r
Surface Temperature] record... may well contain instrumental bias effects that render the
data of questionable value
in determining long period trends in ocean surface temperatures... Investigators that use the data [to try this] bear a heavy, perhaps impossible, responsibility for ensuring that the potential instrument bias has not contaminated their result
in determining long period trends
in ocean surface temperatures... Investigators that use the data [to try this] bear a heavy, perhaps impossible, responsibility for ensuring that the potential instrument bias has not contaminated their result
in ocean
surface temperatures... Investigators that use the data [to try this] bear a heavy, perhaps impossible, responsibility for ensuring that the potential instrument bias has not contaminated their r
surface temperatures... Investigators that use the
data [to try this] bear a heavy, perhaps impossible, responsibility for ensuring that the potential instrument bias has not contaminated their results.
When sceptics look at statistical
data, whether it is recent ice melt, deep
sea temperatures, current trend
in global
surface temperatures, troposphere
temperatures, ice core records etc. they look at the
data as it is without any pre-conceptions and describe what it says.
In this
data analysis activity, students explore how hurricanes extract heat energy from the ocean
surface by tracking Hurricane Rita and sampling
sea surface temperatures along its path.