Some of these Independent candidates are former representatives of existing political parties: for example, the ex-Labour MP Tony Clarke is standing in his old seat of Northampton South (which should helpfully split the Left wing vote
in the seat being defended by Conservative MP Brian Binley), whilst John Stevens, who is challenging John Bercow in Buckingham, is an ultra-europhile former Tory MEP who set up the Pro-Euro Conservative Party before joining the Liberal Democrats.
One consequence of this pattern is that the Conservatives are doing worse where they started strongest and particularly
in seats they are defending.
In fact,
in seats we are defending against Labour, only just over a quarter of Conservative Defectors now say they will vote UKIP.
Tory Defectors
in seats we are defending against the Lib Dems have doubts about the party's competence, clarity and values — whereas UKIP voters really are for «none of the above», disliking all three parties, and being interested only in immigration, Europe and defence — though as I found in my previous research, most of those who are attracted to UKIP are not motivated by policy issues at all.
If they are indeed losing most heavily
in the seats they are defending they are set to lose several more seats than national polls with uniform swing would predict.
We find that Conservative support is holding up better in its key marginal seats than the rest of the country, and also that the Liberal Democrats are recovering strongly, albeit from a low base,
in the seats they are defending.
Not exact matches
Republicans will
be defending 24
seats on Election Day, while Democrats only have 10
in play.
With the Republicans
defending 24
seats, and the Democrats just 10, five of which they needed to win, the odds, by some estimates,
were in the Democrats» favour.
Many of the most vulnerable
seats House Republicans will have to
defend in 2018
are in places like Orange County, California, or affluent suburban areas of New Jersey.
The motto of
Seat - 12
was «Dead men can not
defend themselves»: Pius had died
in 1958.
If i die tonight, I too will
seat in the judgment
seat but Jesus will stand and
defend me, He will tell the Father
in Heaven that I
am His and how my sins have
been washed away by Jesus» blood - I will stand before God righteous not because of what I did or didn't do but because I believed and trusted
in Him!!
How many times they had to take a back
seat in activities, or not
be defended as another parent probably would have because it would
be seen as «the pastor»
is playing favorites with his kid, rather than a father
is defending / supporting his child.
Republicans
are defending a mere eight
seats, with only one of those, Dean Heller
in Nevada, occurring
in a state where Hillary Clinton prevailed.
Some atrocious
defending last night for sure we could have lost by a big margin ospina kept it together for us and cavani waisted a few Thank God we survived but this should
be a wake call a call for tuning: -(analyze the pitfalls rectify and execute solution) we
are not
seating in mud but we need to adjust our posture so we don't slid into the mud hole.....
The 2014 and 2015 Europa League champions
are now firmly
in the driving
seat for the return leg as they look on course to
defend the tournament for the third year
in a row.
Everyone
was impressed by their strong morale
in Glasgow last autumn and the general view now
is they may
be able to
defend more of their
seats than
was previously thought.
The Labour MP, Oona King, whose father
was an African - American political refugee witch - hunted out of the United States by McCarthyites
in the 1950s
was attacked as a Jew when she
defended her East London
seat against the Respect Party
in 2005.
In England, the Conservatives
are defending 1,477
seats and Labour just 255.
Walter
was first elected
in 2011 and has successfully
defended his
seat on several occasions.
Democrats, potentially as early as March
in a special election, will have to
defend the
seat being vacated by George Latimer, the county executive - elect
in Westchester.
Today's Siena poll brings good news for Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, who
is again seeking to
defend the
seat she inherited from Hillary Clinton
in her second statewide re-election campaign since 2010.
The Senate Republicans, who
are already at a fundraising disadvantage since
being relegated to the minority
in 2008, have
been put
in the unexpected position of having to spend precious resources to
defend open
seats — possibly Morahan's and also the one Sen. Vincent Leibell will vacate to run for Putnam County executive.
Flanagan, meanwhile,
is defending seats in battleground areas that could elect moderate Democrats
in suburban and upstate areas, including Long Island and the Hudson Valley.
Not that I
'm looking ahead to Democratic gains
in the Fall, since we
're defending far too many marginal
seats picked up
in the wave of 2008, but I do see a more typical incumbent - party loss
in the range of 20 - 30
seats in the House and a handful
in the Senate.
Both lawmakers
were elected
in 2014, both defeating incumbent congressmen of the opposite party, and both
defended their
seats in rematch challenges
in 2016.
The Cumbrian semi-rural
seat of Copeland
was seized by the Conservatives — the first time the main opposition party has lost a
seat it
was defending in a byelection since 1982.
Continue reading «Rob Hayward: The Liberal Democrats lost 40 % of the council
seats they
were defending but did much better
in places where they had an incumbent MP»»
The two main parties look to
be in a strong position to
defend what they won
in 2010 but seem less well placed to launch attacks on their target
seats — hence the likelihood of a stalemate.
@Watchman and others — targetting the Tories will do very well
in seats where either the Lib Dems
are defending against them or
in three - way
seats where Labour has little to no chance.
Perhaps the fiercest fight over the payroll tax
is happening
in southern Suffolk County, where incumbent Brian X. Foley
is defending his
seat against Republican Lee Zeldin.
The Conservatives, though,
were thought likely to
be the bigger losers, having done well
in 2011 and therefore
defending far more
seats than Labour, and having also
been more damaged by UKIP's dramatic rise.
Republicans, who hold a slim majority
in the Senate, will
be defending 24
seats next year, including
in presidential battleground states where Democrats
are mounting strong challenges.
My study of the most marginal
seats the Lib Dems
were defending against Labour and the Conservatives, published
in June, found the party on course to lose most of its most vulnerable
seats, with a few notable exceptions.
Over the summer I have looked at
seats in England where the Lib Dems
are defending bigger majorities to see how vulnerable they
are against either rival.
In his Brentwood and Ongar constituency the Tories
were defending five County
seats but
were shocked to lose two to the LibDems.
However, if he claims to
be a democrat, he can not
defend a system which,
in Scotland,
in 2003 for example, gave his party 41 per cent of the
seats in local councils on 32.6 per cent of the votes.
This
is a recognition that the GOP finds itself
in the unexpected position of
defending four open
seats — Leibell, Morahan, Volker, Winner — at a time when it needs to
be spending its already diminished resources on challenges to incumbent Democrats if it hopes to win back control of the chamber.
The appointment of a successor
is also complicated because it
's an election year, and any appointee may need to quickly form a campaign committee and
defend the
seat this fall
in both a primary and general election, according to longtime Albany legislators.
Republicans
were working with a fantastic political baseline
in 2014 — low presidential approval, a slew of Democratic Senate incumbents
defending their
seats in Red states, a midterm election, and high - quality candidates drawn into battle this year,
in part precisely because it
was so favorable to Republicans
in the first place.
In seats where Labour is defending a majority of more than 25 points the swing in the poll from Labour to the SNP since 2010 is 24 points, rather higher than the 19.5 point swing for Scotland as a whol
In seats where Labour
is defending a majority of more than 25 points the swing
in the poll from Labour to the SNP since 2010 is 24 points, rather higher than the 19.5 point swing for Scotland as a whol
in the poll from Labour to the SNP since 2010
is 24 points, rather higher than the 19.5 point swing for Scotland as a whole.
The Tories fielded Humberston parish council chairman Harry Hall to
defend the
seat but,
in a possible sign of Ukip's continuing momentum stemming from their second place finish
in the Eastleigh by - election
in February,
were only able to secure second place.
The Tories gained three
seats from Labour out of 15 the party
was defending in swing town Nuneaton, long
been given as an example of which way the wind's blowing.
The successful candidate would need a swing of 10 % to overturn the notional Labour majority of 8,830, which will
be defended by Barry Gardiner - who beat long - standing Tory MP Sir Rhodes Boyson to win the
seat (on somewhat different boundaries)
in 1997.
I imagine that any extra donations to association funds would
be especially welcome right now
in a
seat where Gareth
is seeking to oust a first - term Lib Dem MP who
is defending a three - figure majority.
Virtually all the Conservative - held marginals
are being defended by MPs who gained their
seats (mainly from Labour)
in 2010.
Democrats currently control the Senate 53 - 47, with two independents who caucus with the Democrats, but
are defending 23 of the 33
seats up for grabs
in November.
Labour
are defending half the 60
seats in the Assembly, with leader of Welsh Labour Carwyn Jones the current First Minister.
The Democrats currently have a 53 - 47 (51 Democrats and two independents who caucus with the party) majority
in the Senate, but they
are defending 23 of the 33
seats up for grabs this November.
With the battle over, the question now
is whether the Republicans can form any sort of detente that will allow them to
defend several Council
seats against
in the next city election, take on State Sens. Tony Avella and Joe Addabbo
in 2012, and
defend Bob Turner «
s congressional
seat.
Democrats will also
be defending open
seats in Iowa, Michigan and New Jersey, where the playing field
is better for the party.