If the relative humidity is held fixed as the air is warmed, the implied
increase in specific humidity of the air will further increase the downward infrared flux, though it might somewhat decrease the latent flux.
Here are some model results of change in surface temperature for changes
in specific humidity at different heights:
«[T] he CMIP5 [climate model] results instead show an increase in temperature and a much subdued
increase in specific humidity, which may be due to GHG - induced warming and subsequent increases in the water vapor holding capacity of the atmosphere, respectively.
To analyze the other mechanisms making up regional P * — E * changes, we can split the moisture budget change into thermodynamic and dynamic components based on changes
in specific humidity, q, and changes in winds, u, respectively: Dynamic changes, that is, changes in stationary - eddy circulations, are strongly correlated with the full P * — E * change (Fig. 2).
Now they do something even more interesting and plot the results of changes
in specific humidity (q) with temperature and compare with the curve for constant relative humidity:
-LSB-...] Most studies of global atmospheric moisture indicate that recent warming is associated with an increase
in specific humidity and little change in relative humidity (Dai 2006; Trenberth et al. 2007; Willett et al. 2008).
Thus, even if the NCEP Reanalysis perfectly reflected the actual climatological changes
in specific humidity, the authors» findings (at 400 hPa for NH) are not robust to a simple and appropriate shift in the geographical definition of the midlatitudes.