Sentences with phrase «in swing constituencies»

Populist conservatives can win in swing constituencies without abandoning their principles.

Populist conservatives in swing constituencies don't have to attack the intraparty opposition anymore than is absolutely necessary to make their point.

I live in a swing constituency.

Not exact matches

And, if they want to win in more swing constituencies, they should be more like Cory Gardner in style — even as they are unlike Gardner in substance.

Muslims In particular are a key electoral constituency in such swing states as Michigan (as Jews are In FloridaIn particular are a key electoral constituency in such swing states as Michigan (as Jews are In Floridain such swing states as Michigan (as Jews are In FloridaIn Florida).

In constituencies where over 60 % of the population had voted Leave, the swing, of 0.8 %, was in the Tories» directioIn constituencies where over 60 % of the population had voted Leave, the swing, of 0.8 %, was in the Tories» directioin the Tories» direction.

Not only does the electoral system work against us, making the whole election contingent on a handful of swing voters in marginal constituencies, but the rightwing media get to call all the shots.

According to our analysis, the Crosscheck list disproportionately threatens solid Democratic constituencies: young, black, Hispanic and Asian - American voters — with some of the biggest possible purges underway in Ohio and North Carolina, two crucial swing states with tight Senate races.

In the unique constituency of Brighton Pavilion, I found the Green Party ten points ahead, with a four - point swing from Labour.

http://jess-the-dog.blogspot.com/2009/12/prediction-for-2010-tory-landslide.html Now, a 300 majority in the Balls Normanton constituency may seem like a Tory wipeout given the swing of 20 - odd % from 2005, but the boundary changes will change the demographic somewhat, and not in Balls's favour.

The Klottey Korle constituency is a swing seat that has been represented in Parliament by both the NPP and the NDC.

What is even signaling a possible defeat of NDC candidates in these constituencies is that, except Madina Constituency, Ledzokuku and Krowor are swing seats, and any party with a united front is likely to carry the day.

Can those marginal Labour constituency MSPs hold on or will the national level swings in public opinion bode too strong?

The focus on Israel is interesting, as the district is more heavily Asian - American than anything else, but foreign policy - minded Jewish voters are considered an electorally significant swing constituency and the race is likely to see more plenty more events held in front of Jewish congregations like today.

In a council by - election taking place in his Sheffield Hallam constituency the Lib Dems doubled their majority, gaining a 4.3 % swing from LabouIn a council by - election taking place in his Sheffield Hallam constituency the Lib Dems doubled their majority, gaining a 4.3 % swing from Labouin his Sheffield Hallam constituency the Lib Dems doubled their majority, gaining a 4.3 % swing from Labour.

With FPTP, in a General Election a good local MP may lose their constituency because of the national swing against that MP's party, regardless of the personal merit and exemplary track record of the MP, because people decide to vote on a «party» basis.

jsfl, In order to calculate the swing from 2005 in these marginal seats, we need to have the party shares that occurred in these constituencies — not the national shares.Given that Anthony is quoting a 29 % Con lead over Labour and a swing of approximately 11 % from Lab to Con since 2005, the implication is that in 2005 the Tories enjoyed a 7 % lead over Labour in these paricular seatIn order to calculate the swing from 2005 in these marginal seats, we need to have the party shares that occurred in these constituencies — not the national shares.Given that Anthony is quoting a 29 % Con lead over Labour and a swing of approximately 11 % from Lab to Con since 2005, the implication is that in 2005 the Tories enjoyed a 7 % lead over Labour in these paricular seatin these marginal seats, we need to have the party shares that occurred in these constituencies — not the national shares.Given that Anthony is quoting a 29 % Con lead over Labour and a swing of approximately 11 % from Lab to Con since 2005, the implication is that in 2005 the Tories enjoyed a 7 % lead over Labour in these paricular seatin these constituencies — not the national shares.Given that Anthony is quoting a 29 % Con lead over Labour and a swing of approximately 11 % from Lab to Con since 2005, the implication is that in 2005 the Tories enjoyed a 7 % lead over Labour in these paricular seatin 2005 the Tories enjoyed a 7 % lead over Labour in these paricular seatin these paricular seats!

Outcome (Based on polling tracker, assuming national swing reproduced in every constituency) Conservatives: 239 seats Labour: 265 seats Liberal Democrat: 115 seats Other: 31 seats Labour short of an overall majority by 61.

Outcome Based on polling tracker, assuming national swing (adjusted) reproduced in every constituency.

Despite this, further small swings to the party in a number of Dail constituencies could see further seat gains being made by Labour, as the map above suggests.

While a resurgent Sinn Fein is viewed as posing a significant threat to Labour on the left of the political spectum, the previous post relating to Sinn Fein target constituencies did not identify any constituency as being one where a Labour seat would be lost on the basis of a 2 %, or less, swing to Sinn Fein, whereas three Sinn Fein seats would be lost to Labour if there was a 2 %, or less, swing from Sinn Fein to Labour in the Cork East, Dublin Central and Sligo - North Leitrim constituencies.

The Conservatives are in third place with 9.4 per cent of the vote and Nick would require a swing of over 30 per cent to win the constituency.

Because Ukip did not contest the constituency at the last election in 2010, it is not possible to calculate any swing from the Tories that could give a clue to impact on the national political map.

In all, a small swing to Labour (of 2 %, or less) from other parties could see further seat gains fall into the party's hands in a number constituencies (highlighted by the yellow shaded constituencies on the map), with a particular cluster of these target constituencies being located in the Munster regioIn all, a small swing to Labour (of 2 %, or less) from other parties could see further seat gains fall into the party's hands in a number constituencies (highlighted by the yellow shaded constituencies on the map), with a particular cluster of these target constituencies being located in the Munster regioin a number constituencies (highlighted by the yellow shaded constituencies on the map), with a particular cluster of these target constituencies being located in the Munster regioin the Munster region.

Pritchard was first elected to parliament for The Wrekin constituency in 2005, defeating Peter Bradley, the incumbent Labour MP, by just 942 votes although this represented a 5.4 % swing from Labour to Conservative.

17:22 - The latest constituency results from London don't look good for Labour The swing to Labour in Bexley and Bromley is just 0.2 % while there was a swing from Labour to the Conservatives of 3.7 %.

In particular, it acquired the support of swing voters in the marginal constituencies that, thanks to our electoral system, decide elections in the UIn particular, it acquired the support of swing voters in the marginal constituencies that, thanks to our electoral system, decide elections in the Uin the marginal constituencies that, thanks to our electoral system, decide elections in the Uin the UK.

The polls found just a two per cent overall swing from the Liberal Democrats to the Conservatives in the marginals, with some constituency polls even finding support switching back the other way.

With 194 marginal constituencies (those with majorities of 10 % or less) that can be won by an opposing party with just a 5 % swing, the youth vote could be the deciding factor in which party makes it into power on May 7th 2015.

He was the victim of a massive 26.9 % swing from Labour to the SNP in the Paisley and Renfrewshire South constituency.

He needs a 6.25 % swing to take the seat from Labour, making Barrow - in - Furness exactly the kind of constituency David Cameron needs to win in order to form a government.

These are seats that would fall to Labour if they were about equal with the Tories in the national polls, so given the variation between the swing in different constituencies we are getting to the point were we should start seeing some seats with the Tories ahead, and indeed we do — Ashcroft found the Conservatives ahead in three seats (Blackpool North, Kingswood and Loughborough).

However, as we've seen in previous Lord Ashcroft polls of Lib Dem marginals there is an awful lot of variation between individual constituencies — some seats (Carshalton & Wallington and Thornbury & Yate) are actually showing swings from Con to LD.

Results, they say, increasingly hinge on the preferences of a small number of voters in a handful of swing constituencies which is undemocratic.

If you REALLY care about them vote for an electable candidate or at least tell us why you think Corbyn is electable in the middle class constituencies that swing elections.

The Labour Party polled below expectations and won 30.4 % of the vote and 232 seats, 24 fewer than their previous result in 2010, even though in 222 constituencies there was a Conservative to Labour swing, as against 151 constituencies where there was a Labour to Conservative swing.

We don't yet know for sure the impact of the reduction in the number of constituencies — the Conservatives should be the net beneficiaries, but the parties will fight over every boundary line; until the new map is drawn we won't know how many seats will change hands for a given swing.

In three of the four constituencies the swing to Labour was at least as big as was the case in the spring, with leads of between 13 points and 19 pointIn three of the four constituencies the swing to Labour was at least as big as was the case in the spring, with leads of between 13 points and 19 pointin the spring, with leads of between 13 points and 19 points.

John Bell the local candidate was selected for Clwyd South, John stood for the Constituency in the Welsh Assembly Elections achieving a 6.6 % swing from Labour to Conservatives and increased our share of the vote by 10.2 % whilst increasing the Conservative vote by some 60 %.

In the 2015 Westminster election, the larger Westminster constituency that includes Holyrood's North East Fife saw a 27 % swing to the SNP who had previously taken fourth place.

In the Labour - held constituencies the overall swing to the SNP was 25.4 %.

The Conservatives did very well in the old Thanet South constituency with a significant swing at the 2010 General Election.

Outcome (Based on polling tracker, assuming national swing reproduced in every constituency) Conservatives: 283 seats Labour: 283 seats Liberal Democrat: 53 seats Other: 31 seats Conservatives and Labour short of an overall majority by 43.

Outcome (Based on polling tracker, assuming national swing reproduced in every constituency) Conservatives: 319 seats Labour: 247 seats Liberal Democrat: 54 seats Other: 30 seats Conservatives short of an overall majority by seven

However, it will be won or lost in the 117 marginal seats we need to win in order to gain an overall majority; and it will be won or lost on the decisions of swing voters in those constituencies.

The Lib Dems need a swing of around 6.5 % to take the seat from Labour, and are hopeful given that 68 % of the constituency (probably) voted Remain in the referendum.

He is also chairman of the Longendale ward Conservatives in the constituency, where he would need a swing of 12 % to overturn Purnell's notional majority of 8,455.

A former Welsh Woman of the Year (in recognition of her work on disability rights), Karen fought the Cardiff South and Penarth constituency at the 2007 Welsh Assembly election, achieving a swing of over 5 % from Labour to the Conservatives.

The research, conducted in 26 constituencies, showed a 6.5 % swing away from the Conservatives, which would be enough for Labour to topple more than 83 MPs if the result were repeated at an election.

Common sense alone tells us that marginality should have some effect upon the size of the swing — if there was a 10 % swing at the election, it is unlikely that the Conservatives would actually pick up an extra 10 % of the vote in places like inner - city Glasgow and the Welsh valleys, while there are some home counties constituencies where Labour barely has 10 % to lose.