Unfortunately this method has led to numerous problems
in the ocean heat content record.
There are also distinctive volcanic eruption signals
in the ocean heat content record.
Not exact matches
We've narrowed the uncertainty
in surface warming projections by generating thousands of climate simulations that each closely match observational
records for nine key climate metrics, including warming and
ocean heat content.»
«The reason this study is so exciting is that previous methods of reconstructing
ocean heat content have very large age uncertainties, [which] smooths out the more subtle features of the
record,» said co-author Sarah Shackleton, a graduate student
in the Severinghaus lab at Scripps.
However, lacking global observations of surface mass and
ocean heat content capable of resolving year to year variations with sufficient accuracy, comprehensive diagnosis of the events early
in the altimetry
record (e.g. such as determining the relative roles of thermal expansion versus mass changes) has remained elusive.
Least unexpected observations: (Joint winners) 2008 near -
record minima
in Arctic sea ice extent, last decade of
record warmth, long term increases
in ocean heat content,
record increases
in CO2 emissions.
The upper
ocean, which scientists know captures much of the excess energy trapped
in the atmosphere, also reached its largest
heat content on
record in 2017, Arndt said.
Least unexpected observations: (Joint winners) 2006 near -
record minima
in Arctic sea ice extent, near -
record maxima
in Northern Hemisphere temperatures, resumed increase
in ocean heat content,
record increases
in CO2 emissions
The graph of
ocean heat content shows a slight decline
in the year 2010; this co-occurred with a decline
in sea surface and a
record (or near
record) surface temperature.
With
ocean heat content, including the IPWP, running at
record high levels (literally off the chart), how much energy is released
in this El Niño and how quickly it fills back
in is of keen interest to me.
The advantage of the
ocean heat content changes for detecting climate changes is that there is less noise than
in the surface temperature
record due to the weather that affects the atmospheric measurements, but that has much less impact below the
ocean mixed layer.
The key points of the paper are that: i) model simulations with 20th century forcings are able to match the surface air temperature
record, ii) they also match the measured changes of
ocean heat content over the last decade, iii) the implied planetary imbalance (the amount of excess energy the Earth is currently absorbing) which is roughly equal to the
ocean heat uptake, is significant and growing, and iv) this implies both that there is significant
heating «
in the pipeline», and that there is an important lag
in the climate's full response to changes
in the forcing.
You may now understand why global temperature, i.e.
ocean heat content, shows such a strong correlation with atmospheric CO2 over the last 800,000 years — as shown
in the ice core
records.
In this work the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is estimated based on observed near - surface temperature change from the instrumental record, changes in ocean heat content and detailed RF time serie
In this work the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is estimated based on observed near - surface temperature change from the instrumental
record, changes
in ocean heat content and detailed RF time serie
in ocean heat content and detailed RF time series.
This is at least ten additional years compared to the majority of previously published studies that have used the instrumental
record in attempts to constrain the ECS.We show that the additional 10 years of data, and especially 10 years of additional
ocean heat content data, have significantly narrowed the probability density function of the ECS.
2017 set a clear
record for the highest
ocean heat content since
records began
in 1958, according to the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (IAP - CAS), which maintains an up - to - date
ocean heat content database.
From greenhouse gas levels to
ocean heat content, 2014 was a
record - breaking year for the Earth system
in many different ways.
The highest quality evidence directly supporting P1 is
ocean heat content and Arctic sea ice, although the utility of this evidence
in support of P1 is associated with quality issues, confounding factors, and short length of
record
OHC: • Different global estimates of sub-surface
ocean temperatures have variations at different times and for different periods, suggesting that sub-decadal variability
in the temperature and upper
heat content (0 to to 700 m) is still poorly characterized
in the historical
record.
2014 was the hottest year
in recorded history (arguably), and he is not including
ocean heat content.
Ocean Heat Content estimates produced by the ex-NODC at NCEI show that OHC anomalies
in each quarter of 2015 were the highest on
record for each quarter.
As seen
in Figure 4 - 3, the
ocean warming occurred
in the later years of the
record with little change
in globally averaged
ocean heat content prior to 1997.
Living
in the real world of a real country I am much more concerned with what the 350 year temperature
record is showing us, not the highly theoretical
ocean heat content of a poorly measured, medium with
records stretching back barely a decade.
As for
ocean heat content, Argo hasn't been
in the water long enough to show a clear signal, and there have been problems with the data, including a significant correction (you do recall the correction to the UAH satellite
record after years of insistence that their data showed the surface temp
record trends were completely wrong?).
Record droughts
in many areas of the world, the loss of arctic sea ice — what you see is an increasing trend that is superimposed on annual variablity (no bets on what happens next year, but the five - to - ten year average
in global temperatures, sea surface temperatures,
ocean heat content — those will increase — and ice sheet volumes, tropical glacier volumes, sea ice extent will decrease.